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Elections Compared:

Elections Compared:. The Effects of the Compromise of 1877 on Southern Voting, 1964-2004 Images from http://uselectionatlas.org. Was President Johnson Correct?.

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Elections Compared:

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  1. Elections Compared: The Effects of the Compromise of 1877 on Southern Voting, 1964-2004 Images from http://uselectionatlas.org

  2. Was President Johnson Correct? • When he signed the Civil Rights Act of 1964, President Johnson turned to an aid and said, “I think we have just delivered the South to the Republican Party.” Was he right?

  3. Elections of 1964 and 1968 • 1964 - Democrat Lyndon Johnson received 486 electoral votes (5 Southern states) and 61.05% of the popular vote, while Republican Barry Goldwater received 52 electoral votes (5 Southern states) and 38.47% of the popular vote. • 1968 - Republican Richard Nixon received 301 electoral votes (5 Southern states) and 43.42% of popular vote, Democrat Hubert Humphrey received 191 electoral votes and 42.72% popular vote, and Independent George Wallace received 46 electoral votes (5 Southern states) and 13.53% of the popular vote.

  4. Elections of 1976 and 1980 • 1976 - Democrat Jimmy Carter received 297 electoral votes (taking all Southern states) and 50.08% of popular vote, while Republican Gerald Ford received 240 electoral votes and 48.02% of the popular vote. • 1980 - Republican Ronald Reagan received 489 electoral votes (taking 9 Southern states) and 50.75% of popular vote, while Democrat Jimmy Carter received 49 electoral votes (taking Georgia, his home state) and 41.01% of the popular vote.

  5. Elections of 1988 and 1992 • 1988 - Republican George H.W. Bush received 496 electoral votes (taking all Southern states) and 53.37% of the popular vote, while Democrat Michael Dukakis received 111 electoral votes and 45.65% popular votes. • 1992 - Democrat Bill Clinton received 370 electoral votes (taking 4 Southern states) and 43.01% of the popular vote, Republican George Bush received 168 electoral votes (taking 6 Southern states) and 37.45% popular vote.

  6. Elections of 2000 and 2004 • 2000 - Republican George W. Bush received 271 electoral votes (taking all the states in the South) and 47.87% of the popular vote, while Democrat Al Gore received 266 electoral votes and 48.38% of the popular vote. • 2004 - Republican George W. Bush received 286 electoral votes (taking all the Southern states) and 50.73% of the popular vote, Democrat John Kerry received 251 electoral votes and 48.27% popular vote

  7. Elections Compared • The elections of 1964 and 1968 saw Southern states evenly split between Republicans and Democrats, or between Republicans and Independent George Wallace. • The election of 1976 saw all Southern states voting for its Georgian favorite son, Democrat Jimmy Carter. • The election of 1980 saw all Southern states vote Republican, except Carter’s home state of Georgia. • In 1988 saw all Southern states vote Republican for George H.W. Bush. • In 1992, the South divided again, with 6 states voting Republican for Bush and 4 voting for former Arkansas governor, Democrat Bill Clinton. • In both the 2000 and 2004 elections, the South voted solidly Republican for George W. Bush.

  8. Conclusions • During the Civil Rights Era, Southern states were still split between Democrats and Republicans. • The only years the Democrats controlled all (Carter’s 1976 election) or some of the Southern States (Bill Clinton’s 1992 election in which he carried 4 states), were when the Presidential candidate was born and raised in the South. • In all other elections - Nixon in 1968, Reagan in 1980 and 1984, George H.W. Bush in 1988, and George W. Bush in 2000 and 2004 - all the Southern states voted solidly Republican.

  9. Final Conclusion 1964 Those former presidents - and Lyndon Johnson in particular - were probably correct in their belief that any president who broke with the tradition set in the Compromise of 1877 - that the federal government would not intervene in the racial affairs of the South - was bound to lose the South for his party. 2004

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