1 / 29

Solar Power: A National Perspective

Solar Power: A National Perspective. Julia Judd, Executive Director Solar Electric Power Association. Presentation Overview. Who is SEPA? Solar Market Trends and Data Policies that Make a Difference Technologies of Today and Tomorrow A Look into the Crystal Ball. Who is SEPA?.

zenia
Télécharger la présentation

Solar Power: A National Perspective

An Image/Link below is provided (as is) to download presentation Download Policy: Content on the Website is provided to you AS IS for your information and personal use and may not be sold / licensed / shared on other websites without getting consent from its author. Content is provided to you AS IS for your information and personal use only. Download presentation by click this link. While downloading, if for some reason you are not able to download a presentation, the publisher may have deleted the file from their server. During download, if you can't get a presentation, the file might be deleted by the publisher.

E N D

Presentation Transcript

  1. Solar Power: A National Perspective Julia Judd, Executive Director Solar Electric Power Association

  2. Presentation Overview • Who is SEPA? • Solar Market Trends and Data • Policies that Make a Difference • Technologies of Today and Tomorrow • A Look into the Crystal Ball

  3. Who is SEPA?

  4. AboutSEPA • Formed in 1992 as the Utility PhotoVoltaic Group (UPVG) • Association membership: • Electric Utilities – 75 members • Solar Electric Industry – 75 members • Solar Electric “Stakeholders” (researchers, consultants, investors, architects, etc) – 30 members

  5. Association Goals • Tools - Provide tools to utilities and electric service providers on the use and integration of solar. • Networking - Foster business to business networking. • Information - Share information on solar electric technologies, applications, and programs. • Policy/Regulation Tracking – Evaluate and report on policies, regulations, and legislation.

  6. Solar Market Trends and Data

  7. Big Name Manufacturers

  8. Big Name Customers • Wal-Mart • US Postal Service • Staples • Johnson & Johnson • Google • Microsoft • The list goes on and on…

  9. Financing Trend - Purchasing Solar Electricity Rather than Solar Panels • Power purchase agreements (PPAs) are emerging as a preferred deal structure • No capital investment by building owner • Fixed price of electricity for long time period • No balance sheet impact • Allows customers to benefit from federal tax credit even if they aren’t allowed to take it

  10. Photovoltaic Installations by Country - 2006 Source: Solarbuzz

  11. Solar Resource Compared to Germany

  12. US Grid-Tied Installs Source: IREC

  13. Grid-Tied Installations by State(kW-dc) Source: IREC (e) Includes some estimates

  14. Policies that Make a Difference

  15. Securing America’s Energy Independence Act (HR 550, S 590) • Extends ITC for 8 years • Removes 30% cap for commercial systems and $2,000 cap on residential systems • Modifies credit to $1,500 per ½ kW • Provides AMT (alternative minimum tax) relief • Provides 3-year accelerated depreciation for commercial systems

  16. According to the Solar Energy Industries Association • An 8-year extension of the ITC will: • Create more than 55,000 new American jobs in the solar industry and over $45 billion in economic investment by 2015. • Displace over 4 trillion cubic feet of natural gas and save American consumers over $32 billion. • SEIA makes it simple for individuals to join letter writing campaign – www.seia.org

  17. California Solar Initiative (CSI) • 3,000 megawatts of new, solar-produced electricity by 2017 • CPUC will provide over $2 billion in incentives for existing residential homes and existing and new commercial, industrial, and agricultural properties • CEC will manage a $350 million program to encourage solar in new home construction through its New Solar Homes Partnership

  18. CSI offers: • Incentives starting at $2.50 per watt for systems up to 1 MW in size • Pay-for-performance incentive structure to reward high-performing solar projects • Funds for solar installations for existing and new low-income and affordable housing • More info at www.gosolarcalifornia.ca.gov

  19. California Senate Bill 1 (SB1) Highlights • Mandates the creation of municipal utility solar programs • Increases net metering cap • Requires production homebuilders to offer solar as an option

  20. Technologies of Today and Tomorrow

  21. Today – Crystalline Cells • Silicon shortage is driving innovation • Higher efficiency • SunPower – 22% efficient cell • Sanyo – 21% efficient cell • Thinner wafers • Reduces consumption of expensive silicon

  22. Less so Today - Thin-film Production Capacity vs. Calendar Year Source: NREL

  23. Crystalline versus Thin-FilmMarket Share

  24. Entrance of Concentrator PV (CPV) Source: Sharp Electronics

  25. A Look into the Crystal Ball

  26. Short Term • Softening market = price decreases • Saw price increase in 2006 due to polysilicon shortage • Polysilicon supply is not as tight as originally expected • Prometheus Institute anticipates 20% drop in 2007 (from $4/watt to $3.25/watt)

  27. Longer Term - 2010 • Thin film growing to ~20% of market • Price decreases up to 50% • $4.25 installed • Largest potential problem – pool of qualified installers to meet demand

  28. America’s largest solar eventwww.SolarPowerConference.com

  29. For more information: Julia Judd, Executive Director (ext. 4) jjudd@solarelectricpower.org 202-857-0898 www.SolarElectricPower.org

More Related