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Doubling the Market Share of Public Transport Worldwide by 2025: A Smart Future for Cities

Doubling the Market Share of Public Transport Worldwide by 2025: A Smart Future for Cities Hans Rat. Gratulations to JSP Skopje and city of Skopje for your new bus fleet. Contents.

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Doubling the Market Share of Public Transport Worldwide by 2025: A Smart Future for Cities

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  1. Doubling the Market Share of Public Transport Worldwide by 2025: A Smart Future for Cities Hans Rat

  2. Gratulations to JSP Skopje and city of Skopje for your new bus fleet

  3. Contents • Why doubling the market share of public transport worldwide is necessary to safeguard the quality of life in cities? • What are the adequate measures to support the development of public transport in Macedonia?

  4. Transport and city competitiveness Source: MCD

  5. Methodology • UITP developed urban transport scenarios for 2025 to compare “Business as Usual” and “PTx2” • Projections computed through Mobility Model developed by the International Energy Agency. • Based on demographic, economic and technology factors.

  6. Urban transport today (2005) • World’s urban population is 3.2 billion. • About 7.5 billion trips made in urban areas every day. • Public transport represents about 16% of those trips.

  7. Urban population in 2025 • Urban population will increase from 3.2 to 4.5 billion. • Contrasted situations: • Fast urban population growth in Asia, Africa and the Middle-East. • Almost no urban population increase in Europe and Eurasia.

  8. Business as usual vs. PTx2 • More urban population means more mobility in urban areas: +50% by 2025. • Business as usual: growth of urban mobility followed by growth of its negative consequences. • PTx2: growth of urban mobility decoupled from growth of its negative consequences.

  9. Studied impacts • Urban transport energy consumption • Urban transport GHG emissions • Urban traffic fatalities • Public health

  10. (1) Urban transport energy consumption • Business as usual • Increase by 30% • Urban transport oil consumption grows faster than oil production • Huge increase of energy bill • PT x 2 • Almost stable • Release pressure on oil demand (with effect on reserves and prices)

  11. (2) Urban Transport GHG emissions • Business as usual • Increase by 30% • In total contradiction with efforts to limit globalwarming to 2C° • PT x 2 • Almost stable • Support targets agreed in Cancun • Urban mobility carbon footprint per capita reduced by 25% Buses, trams, metros, pedestrians, cyclists

  12. (3) Urban traffic fatalities • Business as usual • Increase by 30% • Reaching 500,000 deaths per year in 2025: twice the number of victims of the Indian Ocean Tsunami in 2004 • PT x 2 • Decrease by 15% • Almost no growth of fatalities in developing countries and sharp decrease in developed countries

  13. (4) Public health • If PTx2: daily mobility will provide 30 min. of physical exercise. • It means less risk of coronary heart disease and obesity (-50%), less hypertension risk (-30%). • (source WHO)

  14. Making PTx2 a reality • Set of mutually reinforcing policies: • Providing lifestyle services • Developing a new business culture • Securing adequate and stable funding • Integrating public transport and other urban policies • Smart mobility management

  15. Cities with ambitious policies and targets • Beijing – China • Bogota – Colombia • Dubai - UAE • Geneva – Switzerland • Lagos – Nigeria • Paris - France • London – UK • Madrid – Spain • Shanghai – China • Belfort - France • New Zealand • Perth – Australia • Singapore • Sweden • Tehran – Iran • Melbourne - Australia • Toronto – Canada • Vienna – Austria • Luxemburg • Lille – France

  16. Life style services Diversification of services: giving choice to citizens and targeting new segments. Provision of high quality mobility services. Examples: Sofia – extension of metro network, tram and trolley modernisation Belgrade – improving infrastructure and implementing new ticketing system

  17. A new business culture Favourable business and regulatory framework to develop competences, innovation and entrepreneurship. Change corporate culture towardsfullycustomeroriented services. Example: innovative marketing approachtowards entreprises in Geneva.

  18. Adequate and stable funding streams Developing revenue strategies and optimizing fare policies. Earmarking charges based on polluter pays and beneficiary pays principles to support public transport. Developing reciprocal understanding with asset managers and asset owners. Example: Asian cities lead the way

  19. Visionary integrated urban policies Coordinating public transport and urban development Integrated mobility management Example: Odense – Development of soft modes, pedestrian areas, fewer cars, and competitive PT

  20. Smart demand management Influence citizens’ mobility behavior towards the use of sustainable transport modes. Example: congestion charging in London, Stockholm and Milan

  21. Thankyou for your attention!

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