DRDC Support to EMBC Hazard Risk Vulnerability Analysis and Critical Infrastructure Programs

1. DRDC Support to EMBC Hazard Risk Vulnerability Analysis and Critical Infrastructure Programs Presentation to Risk Assessment Users Group Lynne Genik, DRDC CSS 7 November 2012

2. DRDC-EMBC Collaborative Project Post V2010, established 2 year DRDC-EMBC collaborative project focused on: • Risk assessment • Critical infrastructure • Information sharing as it relates to above areas DRDC goals: • Support EMBC in achieving their objectives • Demonstrate value of scientific approach • Develop approaches (methodologies, tools, etc.) that can be applied nationally • DRDC resources: • 1.5 scientists, co-op student (1 FT term, 1 PT term), 2 contracts 2

3. EMBC HRVA and CI Programs Hazard, Risk and Vulnerability Analysis (HRVA) Program • Centred on HRVA Tool Kit • Purpose: To help a community make risk-based choices to address vulnerabilities, mitigate hazards and prepare for response to and recovery from hazard events Critical Infrastructure Assurance Program (CIAP) • Purpose: • To assist stakeholders to better prepare for, prevent, and manage incidents • To provide a framework, guidance, tools for enhancing CI reslience and reducing risk from vulnerabilities 3

4. The Problem • Somewhat ambiguous objectives • HRVA: Take it to next level • CI: Enhance resilience • Multiple stakeholders • Public and private sectors • All levels of government • Both issues have characteristics of “wicked” problems • Defining the problem is the problem • First step - problem formulation and solution stragegy (stakeholders consultations, literature review, etc.) • Iterative, learning process 4

5. DRDC Projects Projects (currently under way or completed) to address some of the gaps identified: • Systems Analysis of Community Resilience • Scenario “Mission to Task” Analysis • CI Pilot Projects • Extensive Literature Searches 5

6. 1. Systems Analysis of Community Resilience • Purpose: • To examine a community as a (complex) system to understand factors that underpin its resilience and identify steps to improve resilience against key hazards and threats Contract with Serco UK Community requirements: • Population 5,000 – 50,000 • Has conducted all hazards risk assessment • Limited resources • Engaged Emergency Program Coordinator (EPC) 6

7. Systems Analysis of Community Resilience (cont’d) • Community: Pemberton Valley • Includes Village of Pemberton, Squamish Lillooet Regional District, Mount Currie First Nations • Population ~5000 Status: • Initial community visit June 2012 • Stakeholder workshops Oct 2012 • Four sessions: First Nations, Community, Business, First Responder • Hazards and essential services

8. 2. Scenario “Mission to Task” Analysis • Purpose: • To create approaches for developing hazard specific plans for communities with limited resources and minimal external support • Contract with CMC Electronics • Community requirements: • Population 5,000-50,000 and volunteer fire dept • Population > 50,000 and professional fire dept • Both communities should have conducted all hazards risk assessments • Signficiant population difference between communities • Engaged EPCs 8

9. Scenario “Mission to Task” Analysis (cont’d) • Communities: • Nanaimo • Population ~90,000 • Hazards: Earthquake and hazmat • Parksville • Population ~12,000 • Hazards: Earthquake and interface fire • Status: • Initial community visits July 2012 • Stakeholder workshops late November 2012 • Objectives in context of frameworks scenarios, success criteria 9

10. 3. CI Pilot Projects • Purpose: To develop an understanding of priority CI issues facing organizations/communities and create tool(s) to provide insight on issues • Consulting with BC CI Steering Committee (chaired by EMBC) • Participant requirements: • 1-2 commercial companies (from transportation, energy, communications sectors) • 1 urban local authority (LA) • 1 rural LA • 1 LA that has used the EMBC CI Rating Tool, 1 that hasn’t 10

11. CI Pilot Projects (cont’d) • Participants: • TransLink • Corporation of Delta • Status: • Currently working with TransLink • Non-Disclosure Agreement in place • Model under development • Workshop with TransLink representatives January 2013 • Gather data and validate model 11

12. 4. Literature Searches • Risk assessment (RA) and critical infrastructure (CI) • Focus on references that are: • Relevant to public safety and security • Consider all hazards and threats • From developed countries such as Canada, the US, UK, Australia, New Zealand, the Netherlands, and Germany • Current 12

13. Literature Search Results • Two literature search documents, each of which presents a categorization scheme and descriptions for approximately 200 references, including: • Government publications • Academic papers • Practitioner reports • Work of non-governmental or private sector organizations 13

14. RA Categorization Scheme 14

15. CI Categorization Scheme 15

16. How to Use the Literature Search Documents • Categorization and organization • Guides readers to the references they are looking for • Descriptive information • Aids readers in determining the relevance of the references to their work and/or interests • Bibliographic information • Hyperlinks permit readers to retrieve references • If hyperlinks are unavailable, readers must use own databases or library resources (for example, some references must be purchased) 16

17. Q & A Questions? 17