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Analyzing Global Fuel Oil Prices and Market Trends

Dive into the structure of world fuel oil prices with Lawrence Axelrod at Axelrod Energy Projects Workshop in Beijing, October 29, 2009. Explore trends in various regions, including the United States, Europe, and Singapore, as well as crude oil ratios and price differentials impacting the industry. Discover insights on high sulfur fuel oil (HSFO) dynamics, narrowing spreads, bunker margins, and more.

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Analyzing Global Fuel Oil Prices and Market Trends

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  1. WORLD FUEL OIL PRICES:IN SEARCH OF STRUCTURE Lawrence Axelrod Axelrod Energy Projects Jifeng Workshop October 29, 2009 Beijing

  2. Overview • United States • New York 1%S • US Gulf 3%S • Europe • Med 1%S • NWE 3.5%S • Singapore • LSWR • HSFO 380 cSt

  3. Crude ($/bbl)

  4. Ratios (%)

  5. New York ($/bbl)

  6. New York ($/bbl)

  7. New York ($/bbl)

  8. New York ($/bbl)

  9. US Gulf ($/bbl)

  10. US Gulf ($/bbl)

  11. US Gulf ($/bbl)

  12. US Gulf ($/bbl)

  13. Med ($/bbl)

  14. Med ($/bbl)

  15. Med ($/bbl)

  16. NWE ($/bbl)

  17. NWE ($/bbl)

  18. NWE ($/bbl)

  19. NWE ($/bbl)

  20. Singapore LSWR ($/bbl)

  21. Singapore LSWR ($/bbl)

  22. Singapore LSWR ($/bbl)

  23. Singapore HSFO ($/bbl)

  24. Singapore HSFO ($/bbl)

  25. Singapore HSFO ($/bbl)

  26. Singapore HSFO ($/bbl)

  27. Conclusion • Strong HSFO -- narrow Hi-Lo’s • Narrowing spreads -- .3LP/.3HP & Sing 180/380 • Steady HSFO arb to East • Reversal of inter-regional LSFO spreads • Bunker margins under pressure

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