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Mapping foresight in Europe and the rest of the world

Second International Seville Seminar on Future-Oriented Technology Analysis (FTA): Impacts on policy and decision making 28th- 29th September 2006. Mapping foresight in Europe and the rest of the world. Michael Keenan (PREST) Maurits Butter (TNO) Graciela de la Fuente (PREST)

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Mapping foresight in Europe and the rest of the world

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  1. Second International Seville Seminar on Future-Oriented Technology Analysis (FTA): Impacts on policy and decision making28th- 29th September 2006 Mapping foresight in Europeand the rest of the world Michael Keenan (PREST) Maurits Butter (TNO) Graciela de la Fuente (PREST) Rafael Popper (PREST

  2. Mapping foresight in Europe and the rest of the world Introduction to the EFMN Main aim: Systematically monitor foresight activities and identify future emergingissues and innovations as input for innovation policy and strategy Objectives: • Global platform for FTA information • Foresight briefs • Foresight mapping • Identify key emerging issues • Annual workshops • Information management infrastructure

  3. Mapping foresight in Europe and the rest of the world Introduction to the EFMN 2: CORRESPONDENTS workingwith CONSORTIUM members 1: An internationalNETWORK of policyprofessionals, foresightexperts & practitioners 3: Periodic provision ofCONTENT 4: An annualISSUE ANALYSISWORKSHOP BRIEFS MAPPING 5: A WEBSITE forinformation transfer

  4. Mapping foresight in Europe and the rest of the world Introduction to the EFMN Correspondents Gathering information and writing of briefs Partners Information gathering & attacting new correspondents Core partners management: TNO Atlantis briefs: ARC-sys mapping: Prest MCST Louis Lengrand & Associates Fraunhofer ISI information:CKA issue analysis: VDI TCP Dialogik

  5. Mapping foresight in Europe and the rest of the world Mapping foresights Approach • Identification of new future initiatives by correspondents, EFMN- partners • Mapping of initiatives by dedicated EFMN experts • Quality control by contact persons of the specific initiatives • Information managed in the Dynamo expert system Results 2006: • 1410 future initiatives identified and collected • 820 future initiatives mapped

  6. Mapping foresight in Europe and the rest of the world Mapping foresights Approach • Identification of new future initiatives by correspondents, EFMN- partners • Mapping of initiatives by dedicated EFMN experts • Quality control by contact persons of the specific initiatives • Information managed in the Dynamo expert system Results 2006: • 1410 future initiatives identified and collected • 820 future initiatives mapped

  7. Mapping foresight in Europe and the rest of the world Mapping dimensions • Audience • Sponsor • Content domain • Country • World region • Territorial scale • Market • Methods • Number of participants • Output • Time horizon • Year of completion • Research • Industry

  8. Mapping foresight in Europe and the rest of the world World regions Sponsors Target audience

  9. Mapping foresight in Europe and the rest of the world World regions Methods used

  10. Mapping foresight in Europe and the rest of the world World regions Outputs Multi usage of methods

  11. Mapping foresight in Europe and the rest of the world World regions Territorial scope

  12. Mapping foresight in Europe and the rest of the world Just another appetizer Frequency of methods used

  13. Mapping foresight in Europe and the rest of the world Just another appetizer Sponsors

  14. Mapping foresight in Europe and the rest of the world Just another appetizer Methods used vs time horizon

  15. Mapping foresight in Europe and the rest of the world Further results • Content perspective • Perspective of participation, audience and sponsors • Methodological perspective • Outlook perspective • Time horizon EFMN Annual Mapping report www.efmn.eu

  16. Mapping foresight in Europe and the rest of the world Concluding • Rich source of information • But just a first start • More work to do on quality and quantity Become a EFMN correspondent

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