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Decline of Christianity in Canada: Insights from the 2011 Census and Its Implications

Canada has seen a significant demographic change in religious affiliation over the past 80 years. From 2001 to 2011, the Christian population dropped from approximately 23 million to 67% of the total population. At the same time, those with no religious affiliation grew to 24%, and other religions increased to 9%. This pattern indicates a shift away from Christianity toward secularism. As congregations shrink, churches face critical decisions regarding renewal and planting initiatives to engage younger generations and reverse this trend.

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Decline of Christianity in Canada: Insights from the 2011 Census and Its Implications

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Presentation Transcript

  1. Church Planting Challenge FEBToronto

  2. Some Stats on Religion in Canada from the 2011 Census (& earlier)

  3. Canada has grown from 10M to 35M people in 80 years. “Christians” peaked at ~23M people in the 2001.

  4. Christians have declined from 98% to 67% of the population.

  5. Why did Canada’s Christian population decline from 98% to 67%?

  6. Other Religions have grown from 2% to 9% (2.8M).

  7. ‘No Religious Affiliation’ has grown from 0% to 24% (7.8M).

  8. Other Religions have grown, and millions have left Christianity for No Religious Affiliation.

  9. The Adoption of ‘No Religion’ in Canada appears to be following a predictable mathematical diffusion pattern. Source: http://www.jmir.org/2006/2/e7/, see Rogers Diffusion of Innovations

  10. What about Baptists?

  11. Baptists have declined from 4.3% to 1.9% in 80 years

  12. There are now more Buddhists than Baptists in Toronto!

  13. Seniors are almost twice as likely as Younger People to be Baptists

  14. The Adoption of ‘No Religion’ in Canada appears to be following a predictable mathematical diffusion pattern. Source: http://www.jmir.org/2006/2/e7/, see Rogers Diffusion of Innovations

  15. Half Empty Churches

  16. Churches  Condos

  17. We have lost at least two generations, and will continue losing them unless we do something different.

  18. One Thing is Certain: We can’t keep doing the same thing we have been doing

  19. PS: Both are Difficult! Two Options to turn this Around Church Renewal Church Planting

  20. Selected Data Sources: http://www5.statcan.gc.ca/cansim/a05?lang=eng&id=0750016&pattern=0750016&searchTypeByValue=1&p2=35 http://www12.statcan.gc.ca/nhs-enm/2011/dp-pd/prof/details/page.cfm?Lang=E&Geo1=CSD&Code1=3520005&Data=Count&SearchText=Toronto&SearchType=Begins&SearchPR=01&A1=All&B1=All&TABID=1 http://www12.statcan.ca/English/census01/products/standard/themes/Rp-eng.cfm?TABID=1&LANG=E&APATH=3&DETAIL=0&DIM=0&FL=A&FREE=0&GC=0&GID=431591&GK=0&GRP=1&PID=68339&PRID=0&PTYPE=55430,53293,55440,55496,71090&S=0&SHOWALL=0&SUB=0&Temporal=2001&THEME=56&VID=0&VNAMEE=&VNAMEF=&D1=0&D2=0&D3=0&D4=0&D5=0&D6=0 http://www.demographia.com/db-canrelig.htm Helpful Census info from the Evangelical Fellowship of Canada: http://files.efc-canada.net/min/rc/cft/V01I02/Evangelicals_Canadian_Census.pdf

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