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Chapter 8

Chapter 8. Long-Term (Capital Investment) Decisions. Introduction. Capital Investment Decisions Which do I purchase? What is the return on the investment? What are the qualitative costs and benefits? What are the quantitative costs and benefits?. Focus on Cash Flow.

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Chapter 8

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  1. Chapter 8 Long-Term (Capital Investment) Decisions

  2. Introduction • Capital Investment Decisions • Which do I purchase? • What is the return on the investment? • What are the qualitative costs and benefits? • What are the quantitative costs and benefits?

  3. Focus on Cash Flow Long-term investment decisions require a consideration of the time value of money. The time value of money is based on the concept of a dollar received (paid) today being worth more (less) than a dollar received (paid) in the future.

  4. Focus on Cash Flow • Original investment • Repairs and maintenance • Extra operating costs • Incremental revenues • Cost reductions in operating expenses • Salvage value • Release of working capital at the end What cash flows should I consider??

  5. Focus on Cash Flow Long-term investment decisions require a consideration of the time value of money. The time value of money is based on the concept that a dollar received today is worth more than a dollar received in the future.

  6. The Payback Method The length of time needed for a long-term project to recapture or pay back the initial investment. Original Investment Net Annual Cash Inflows Payback Period =

  7. The Payback Method The payback method can be useful as a fast approximation of the discounted cash flow methods when the cash flows follow similar patterns.

  8. Discounted Cash Flow Analysis Net Present Value The cost of capital represents what the firm would have to pay to borrow (issue funds) or raise funds through equity (issue stock) in the financial marketplace. In NPV, the discount rate serves as a hurdle rate or a minimum required rate of return. What do I use for a discount rate?

  9. Discounted Cash Flow Analysis The time value of money is considered in capital investment decisions, using one of two techniques: the Net Present Value (NPV) method or the Internal Rate of Return (IRR) method.

  10. Net Present Value If the present value of cash flows is greater than or equal to the present value of cash outflows (the NPV is greater than or equal to zero), the investment provides a return at least equal to the discount rate (the minimum required rate or return), and the investment is acceptable.

  11. Net Present Value • Cost: $50,000 • Net increase in cash flows (Revenues-Expenses): $14,000 for six years • No salvage value • MRR = 12% and use for discount rate Should B&R purchase a new refrigerated delivery van?

  12. Net Present Value Present Value $(50,000.00) 57,559.60 $7,559.60 Year Now 1-6 Amount $(50,000) 14,000 12% Factor 1.0000 4.1114 Cash Flow Initial Investment Annual Cash Income Net Present Value Because the NPV is positive, the delivery van should be purchased.

  13. Internal Rate of Return The internal rate of return (IRR) is the actual yield or return earned by an investment. The IRR is the discount rate that makes the NPV = 0.

  14. Internal Rate of Return IRR can be found by using a NPV table, financial calculator, or Excel. When determining whether to accept a project, you must also consider the impact of uncertainty on the decision. Changes in assumptions about future revenues and costs are likely to affect the decision.

  15. Screening and Preference Decisions • Screening decisions involve deciding if an investment meets some predetermined company standard. • Preference decisions involve choosing between alternatives.

  16. Screening vs. Preference Decisions Decision on what method to use IRR NPV IRR < cost of capital NPV>0 YES YES Invest in Project NO NO Consider all qualitative factors in the decision Reject Project Reject Project

  17. Screening vs. Preference Decisions Profitability Index (PI): Calculated by dividing the present value of the cash flow by the initial investment. A PI greater than 1.0 means that the NPV is positive and the project is acceptable.

  18. The Impact of Taxes on Capital Investment Decisions Nonprofit organizations such as hospitals, museums, churches, and other organizations are structured as organizations exempt from federal and state income taxes.

  19. The Impact of Taxes on Capital Investment Decisions Profit-making companies must pay income taxes on any taxable income earned.

  20. The Impact of Taxes on Capital Investment Decisions Taxes are a major source of cash outflows for many companies and must be taken into consideration in calculations of the time value of money.

  21. Extended Example Amber Valley ski resort is considering installing another chair lift for a new undeveloped area that would expand the amount of area available for skiing. The options are to put in a double, triple, or quadruple chair lift to carry two, three, or four skiers on each chair.

  22. The Impact of Uncertainty on Capital Investment Decisions What if the number of skiers did not increase at the rate that was projected? Will the acquisition of the new lift still result in a sufficient return of and on investment?

  23. The Impact of Uncertainty on Capital Investment Decisions How do I try to adjust for uncertainty? One way to adjust for risk is to increase the cost of capital used in the NPV calculations.

  24. Uncertainty Sensitivity Analysis: Used to highlight decisions that may be affected by changes in expected cash flows. Use what-if analysis to determine how sensitive capital investment decisions are to changes (number of skiers per day).

  25. The Impact of the New Manufacturing Environment on Capital Investment Decisions • Automating a process is more extensive and expensive than just purchasing a piece of equipment. Other expenses include: • Software needed • Training of personnel and complementary machines • Processes needed

  26. The Impact of the New Manufacturing Environment on Capital Investment Decisions • Benefits of automating production processes: • Decreased labor costs • Increase in the quality of the finished product • Increased speed of production process • Increased reliability of the finished product • An overall reduction in the amount of inventory

  27. The Impact of the New Manufacturing Environment on Capital Investment Decisions Analyzing the costs and benefits of investments in automated and computerized design and manufacturing equipment and robotics can be very difficult and requires careful consideration of both quantitative and qualitative factors.

  28. Appendix • Time Value of Money and Decision Making • Future Value • Present Value • Annuities

  29. Time Value of Money and Decision Making The present value of cash flows is the amount of future cash flows discounted to their equivalent worth today. So how do we find the present value? If I receive cash at different times, how do I determine the time value of money?

  30. Future Value • The time value of money is the result of the ability of money to earn interest over time. • Future Value is what $1 today will be worth in the future, including interest. • Simple Interest is interest on the invested amount only. • Compound Interest is interest on the invested amount plus interest on previous interest earned but not withdrawn.

  31. Future Value Year 1 $100 @ 4% $104 How much will this $100 be worth three years from now if I invest it at 4%? Year 2 $104 @4% $108.16 Year 3 $108.16 @ 4% $112.19

  32. Future Value FV = PV (1 + r)n FV = Future Value PV = The $ Amount r = Interest Rate n = Number of Time Periods

  33. Future Value • Future value can be calculated by using: • The formula • FV tables • Hand-held calculators • Computers

  34. Present Value Year 3 $112.19 1.04 $108.16 Year 2 $108.16 1.04 $104.00 If I need $112.19 three years from now, and I can invest at 4%, how much do I have to invest now? Year 1 $104.00 1.04 $100.00

  35. Present Value FV (1+r)n PV = FV = Future Value r = Interest Rate n = Time Period

  36. Present Value • Present value can be calculated using: • Formula • Tables • Hand-held calculators • Computers

  37. Annuities An annuity is a series of cash flows of equal amount paid or received at regular intervals. Common examples include mortgage and loan payments. The present value of an ordinary annuity is the amount invested or borrowed today that will provide for a series of withdrawals or payments of equal amount for a set number of periods.

  38. End of Chapter 8 With practice, you can figure out how to determine the time value of money.

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