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MCCAG Revisited: Comprehensive Analysis of Policy Goals and Emissions Avoision Strategies

This document presents the ongoing efforts and findings related to the Midwestern Climate and Energy Action Group (MCCAG) from August 2012 to January 2014. It includes a reanalysis of MCCAG options, assessing their reasonableness, and evaluating the effectiveness of policy goals such as meeting E50 standards for motor fuels by 2020. The report also covers greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions forecasts from 2012 to 2030 and analyzes emissions avoided from various sectors, including electric power, agriculture, transportation, and industry, alongside next steps for policy evaluation.

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MCCAG Revisited: Comprehensive Analysis of Policy Goals and Emissions Avoision Strategies

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  1. MCCAG Revisited: Work-to-Date Peter Ciborowski January 5, 2014

  2. Bodies of MCCAG-Related Work: August 2012 to Present • MCCAG Options Reanalyses • Assessment of Reasonableness of MCCAG Option Policy Goals, e.g., E50-effective for motor fuels by 2020 • GHG and Energy Use Forecast, 2012-2030 • Assessment of GHG Emissions-avoided, 1990-2011, 1990-2025

  3. rE-analysis OF mccag Electric Power Sector 2025 Emissions-avoided

  4. GHG Emissions Forecasts

  5. MCCAG Options Re-Analyzed • Energy Supply (ES): ES-3, ES-5 • Residential/Commercial/Industrial: RCI-1a, RCI-4 • Transportation/Land Use: TLU-6, TLU-9, TLU-13 • Agriculture, Forestry, Solid Waste: AFW-1a, AFW-1b, AFW-3a, AFW-3b, AFW-3c, AFW-4, AFW-5a, AFW-5b, AFW-6

  6. MCCAG Emissions-Avoided: RE-Assessed Effectiveness

  7. Reasonableness of MCCAG Policy Goals: Examples

  8. Next Steps • Agriculture Forecast • Industrial Sector Forecast • Update and completion of emissions-avoided analysis, 2005-2011 • Update of to Electric Power, Residential and Transportation Forecast • Remaining 15 MCCAG Options for Reanalysis • Assessment of Alternative Options to MCCAG Options

  9. Extra Slides

  10. MCCAG Emission Forecasts

  11. Emissions-Avoided: Example Calculations

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