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Defining Genuine Progress

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blenda
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Genuine Progress Index for Atlantic Canada Indice de progrès véritable - Atlantique Is Nova Scotia Making Genuine Progress? An Overview of Some Key Trends Halifax, 30 October, 2008. Defining Genuine Progress. Are there consensus values on the kind of Nova Scotia we want to leave our children?

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Defining Genuine Progress
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  1. Genuine Progress Index for Atlantic CanadaIndice de progrès véritable - AtlantiqueIs Nova Scotia Making Genuine Progress? An Overview of Some Key Trends Halifax, 30 October, 2008
  2. Defining Genuine Progress Are there consensus values on the kind of Nova Scotia we want to leave our children? Health and wellbeing, safety and security, decent living standards, educated populace, access and inclusion, healthy environment and natural resources, strong and caring communities Beyond ideology
  3. From indicators to accounts What distinguishes GPI from other wellbeing indicator systems = adds economic valuation component -> moves towards accounting system = In line with 5 capitals in OSP, which recognizes that social, human, and natural capital also have value ->accounting framework And EGSPA: Recognizing “the economic value of Nova Scotia’s environmental assets is essential to our long-term prosperity.”
  4. -> A new accounting system This new accounting framework allows assessment of full economic, social, and environmental costs and benefits, & of cost-effectiveness of alternative policy options vs existing accounting system: Social, human, natural capital ignored; and their depletion misleadingly measured as gain; + anything can make economy grow regardless of OSP/Weaving Threads goals
  5. A mixed picture Improvements in employment, real income, income equity (inclusion), poverty reduction, provincial debt status, waste and air quality (20-year timeline), smoking rate, GHGs….. Declines or insufficient progress (in relation to targets) in agriculture, forests, fisheries, ecological footprint, energy shift, wealth equity, obesity, volunteering, student debt.…. Just a few examples follow:
  6. Official unemployment rates, Canada and Nova Scotia, 1976-2007
  7. Official unemployment rates by region, Nova Scotia, 2001 to 2007
  8. Disposable Household Income (Richest : Poorest 20%) Canada and Provinces, 1981-2004 ($2004)
  9. Average disposable (after-tax) economic family income by quintile, adjusted for family size, Canada and Nova Scotia, 1976-2006 ($2006)
  10. Prevalence of low income after tax (92 LICOs base), total population, Canada and Nova Scotia, 1997-2006
  11. Prevalence of low income after tax (92 LICOs base), selected groups, Nova Scotia, 1997-2006
  12. Gini coefficients of after-tax income, all family units (economic families and unattached individuals), Canada and provinces, 1981 to 2004
  13. Civic and voluntary work, average hours per year, total population, 15 years and older, Canada and provinces, 1992, 1998, and 2005
  14. Free Time, Nova Scotia and Canada, 1992,1998, 2005 (hours per day)
  15. Share of population indicating high time stress, NS and Canada, 1998 & 2005
  16. Crime rate, total incidents per 100,000 population, Canada and Nova Scotia, 1962-2007
  17. Crime rate comparison: NS and Canada rates of increase, 1962-2007 (1962=100)
  18. Crime rates (per 100,000 population), by offence breakdown, Nova Scotia, 1962-2007 Crime cost = $700 million/year +
  19. Youth crime rate per 100,000, aged 12-17, Canada, provinces and territories, 2006
  20. Change (Percent) in Total After-Tax Income (1999–2004) and Median Debt Value (1999–2005), Canada
  21. Net Worth by Wealth Quintile ($ Trillions, 2005 Constant $), Canada, 1999 and 2005
  22. Share of Wealth (Percent), by Net Worth Quintile, Canada, 1999 and 2005
  23. Current Youth Smokers, aged 15–24, Canada and NS, 1999–2005
  24. Percentage Decline in Tobacco Use, Canada & Provinces, 1999-2005
  25. Measured obesity rates by province, aged 18+, 2004
  26. Overweight and obesity rates by province, children, aged 2 -17, 2004
  27. Percentage of population aged 12 and over diagnosed with asthma, both sexes, Canada and provinces, 2007
  28. Average amount of government student debt at time of graduation ($2000 CDN), Classes of 1990, 1995, and 2000, Canada
  29. Percentile scores of correct answers to general political knowledge questions, by age group, 1984, 1993, 1997, 2000
  30. Total Farm Cash Receipts, NS, 1971–2007 (Millions of $2007)
  31. Total Net Farm Income, Nova Scotia, 1971–2007 (millions of $2007)
  32. Expense to Income Ratio (%), Nova Scotia Farms, 1971–2006
  33. Total Net Farm Income and Total Debt, NS Farms, 1971-2006 (millions of $2007)
  34. Debt to Net Income Ratio, Nova Scotia Farms, 1971–2006
  35. Solvency Ratio, Nova Scotia, QC, and Canadian farms, 1971–2006
  36. Fishery GDP for Nova Scotia, 1984-1999 (1997$ millions)
  37. Value of cod stocks, Eastern Scotian Shelf region, 1972-2002, (2007$ millions).
  38. Lobster landings in Nova Scotia, 1972-2007 (metric tonnes)
  39. Mean trophic level (weighted by landed weight) in Nova Scotia Fisheries, 1972-2007
  40. Estimated total biomass of porbeagle shark in the northwest Atlantic, 1961, 1991 and 2001
  41. Employment trend in Nova Scotia fisheries, 1987-2007
  42. Age distribution of Nova Scotian fishers, 1931-2006
  43. Protected areas, Nova Scotia, 2007
  44. Total area harvested and area clearcut, Nova Scotia, 1975-2005, (hectares)
  45. Percentage of area harvested by clearcutting, 1975-2005
  46. Value-added per cubic metre of wood harvested, by province, 1998 & 2004, ($2007)
  47. Nova Scotia Total Greenhouse Gas Emissions (kt of CO2 equivalents), 1990-2006
  48. Per capita GHG emissions, Canada, provinces, territories, 2006 (kt of CO2 equivalents)
  49. 2006 NS greenhouse gas emissions broken down by sector (kt of CO2 equivalents)
  50. Major sources of GHG emissions, Nova Scotia, 2006
  51. NS GHG emissions (kt CO2 equivalents) 1990-2006, compared to NS EGSPA target for 2020
  52. NS GHG emissions (kt CO2 equivalents) 1990-2006, cf Suzuki Fdn. emissions target for 2020
  53. Cumulative potential damage cost avoidance through achieving the NS Environmental Goals and Sustainable Prosperity Act and Suzuki Foundation Targets (based on graduated emission reductions from 2008-2020)
  54. Cumulative potential co-benefits through achieving the NS Environmental Goals and Sustainable Prosperity Act and Suzuki Foundation Targets (based on graduated emission reductions from 2008-2020)
  55. Control cost estimates of meeting the NS Environmental Goals and Sustainable Prosperity Act and Suzuki Foundation Targets (based on graduated emission reductions from 2008-2020)
  56. Summary of damage avoidance benefits and control costs in year 2020 and cumulatively 2008-2020, (C$2005 mill.)
  57. Cost-effectiveness: Every $1 invested in reducing GHG emissions through 2008-2020 will save $29 in avoided damages. When control costs are subtracted from benefits attained by avoiding climate change damages and achieving co-benefits (cleaner air), net cumulative benefit of achieving EGSPA greenhouse gas emissions target by 2020 is $846 million Meeting the Suzuki target will produce a net cumulative benefit of $1.8 billion Stern: "The benefits of strong, early action on climate change outweigh the costs."
  58. Energy use, final demand, terajoules (TJ), Nova Scotia, 1978 to 2006
  59. Power generation fuel mix for Nova Scotia Power, 1993-2006
  60. Total road passenger movement, in Nova Scotia, 1990-2006 (millions of passenger-km)
  61. Total road passenger movement, NS, by vehicle type, 1990 to 2006
  62. Total GHG emissions from transportation, NS, 1990 to 2005 (kt CO2 equivalents)
  63. Number of fatalities and injuries from road accidents per 100,000 residents, Nova Scotia, 1990 to 2005
  64. Modal share (percentage) of transportation to work, Nova Scotia, 1996-2006
  65. Reducing NS’s Ecological Footprint: eg) Transportation Drive less, walk & cycle more, use public transport, car-pool. Switch from 1/car -> 4/car, 3 days/week, reduces commuting footprint by 45% Coordinated land use/transportation planning is essential to bring about any substantial shift in transportation patterns
  66. Indicator: Nova Scotia Criteria Air Contaminant Emissions (kg/capita) 1990-2005
  67. NS Footprint Projected to 2020 Figure 16, The Nova Scotia Ecological Footprint, GPI Atlantic 2001
  68. Can we do it?Percentage Waste Diversion in Nova Scotia
  69. Full cost Accounting Results The new NS solid waste-resource system in 2000-01 produced net savings of at least $31.2 million, when compared to the old 1996-97 solid waste-resource system This translates into savings of $33 for each Nova Scotian, versus a cost of $25 as suggested when comparing strictly the operating and amortized capital costs of the two systems
  70. Benefits Total benefits of 2000-01 system range from $79 million to $221 million =$84-$236 pp, incl: $3.3 - $84.3 million in GHG emission reductions; $9 - $67 million in air pollutant reductions $18.8 million in extended landfill life $28.6 million in energy savings from recycling $6.5 - $8.9 million in employment benefits $1.2 - $1.9 million in avoided liability costs $1.1 - $1.7 million in export revenue of goods and services $187,000 in additional tourism
  71. Material Energy savings Paper 8.5 million Btu Plastic 20.1 million Btu Glass 2.4 million Btu Steel Cans 18.4 million Btu Aluminium Cans 166.9 million Btu Energy savings per tonne of waste recycled
  72. Costs Total costs of 2000-01 solid waste-resource system were $96.6-102.7 million: $72.4 m. in operating and amortized capital costs $14.3 m. for beverage container recycling prog. $2.7 million for used tire management program $1.6 million in RRFB operating and admin costs $5 - $9.5 million to increase participation $220,000 - $1.8 million in nuisance costs
  73. Conclusions: Accounts 1995 NS Solid Waste-Resource Strategy has led to a considerable net benefit, both in monetary and non-monetary terms: The solid waste-resource system in 2000-01, despite increased operating and amortized capital costs, provided a net savings of between $31 million and $167.7 million compared to the operating and amortized capital costs of the old system
  74. Indicators of Genuine Progress % diversion from landfills: <5%% -> 50% Access to curbside recycling in Nova Scotia jumped from less than 5% in 1989 to 99% today 76% of residents now have access to curbside organics pickup Access =highest rates in the country This is “genuine progress”
  75. Conclusions: Indicators Nova Scotia is a leader both internationally and nationally in solid waste diversion. The accessibility, comprehensiveness, and levels of waste being composted and recycled have all improved since the introduction of the Solid Waste-Resource Strategy. BUT backsliding: Diversion 50% (2000) -> 36% today (a/c NS DOE) 41% (Statcan)
  76. Per capita solid waste disposal (kg) for Canada and provinces, 2004 and 2006
  77. Diversion rate of waste by province and territory, 2004 and 2006
  78. Per capita solid waste disposal (kg per capita per year), Nova Scotia, 1996/97-2006/07
  79. Residential recycling rate, Canada and provinces, 2000-2004
  80. Percent of residents who compost, Canada and provinces, 1994 and 2006
  81. Volunteerism: Atlantic Provinces lead(formal rate)
  82. Measuring What we Value - Leaving a Sustainable and Prosperous Nova Scotia for our Children

  83. Genuine Progress Index for Atlantic CanadaIndice de progrès véritable - Atlantique

    www.gpiatlantic.org