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Nanotechnology: A Look Into the Invisible Future. Prepared for Technology Awareness Forum January 19, 2005. Agenda. Venture Capital Industry Funding Environment for Nanotech Is the VC Industry Interested in Nanotech Venture Firms Investing in the Category What Venture Capitalists Look for
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Nanotechnology: A Look Into the Invisible Future Prepared for Technology Awareness Forum January 19, 2005
Agenda • Venture Capital Industry • Funding Environment for Nanotech • Is the VC Industry Interested in Nanotech • Venture Firms Investing in the Category • What Venture Capitalists Look for • Capturing the Attention of Venture Investors • Summary
Venture Capital Investments($ in 000s) ~ ~ $50,000 $45,000 $54.5 B Est. $20.0 B $40,000 $105.9 B $35,000 $30,000 $25,000 $20,000 $15,000 $10,000 $5,000 $0 2002 2003 2004 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1999 2000 2001 Source: Thomson Venture Economics
Uninvested Venture Capital“Overhang” still Significant $53.4 Billion Source: SVB Estimates & Venture Economics
Overhang AnalysisAvailable Cash/Investment Rate Current Overhang / Expected Investment
Good News $200 Million Annually
Not So Good News Only 1% of Venture Investments
Federal Funding Nano R&D $116M in 1997 to $961M in 2004 An 8x Increase….
Draper Fisher (10 deals) Harris & Harris group (9) Ardesta/MEMS Tech (4) NGEN Partners (NextGen Partners) (4) Sevin Rosen (4) Zero Stage (4) Alloy Ventures (3) Arch Venture Partners (3) CB Health Ventures (3) Eastman Ventures (3) Morgenthaler (3) New Enterprise Associates (3) SBV Venture Partners (Sigefi, Burnette & Vallee) (3) Leading Nanotech Investors
Which Way is the Wind Blowing? • Bulk of the Investments • Tools • Distant Second • Optics • Close Third • Bio/Pharma; Materials; and, Solar/Power
Google Amazon.com Apple Computer Genentech eBay Samsung Electronics Yahoo! Electronic Arts Pixar Cisco Systems New User ExperienceTop 10 Wired 40
Management Relevant domain expertise Fundable Product/Service Explicit customer need Clear and compelling value proposition (ROI) Market Size (> $100M) and sustainable business drivers Target segment well defined Validation Customers, customers, customers Maturity of the distribution plan Deal Reasonable valuation and terms Raising enough money to hit meaningful milestones Mini Due Diligence ProcessIs it “Venture Capable”
Investing In Talent Factors considered most important by investment professionals (Weighted importance out of 100*) Management Team 37 24 Market Sector Business Model 20 Proprietary Product/Service 19 Source: Spencer Stuart/NVCA VC-backed Leadership survey
“As a founder, think hardest about the team. Are these the people I want to be in trouble with for the next 5, 10, 15 years of my life? Because as you build a new business, one thing’s for sure: you will get into trouble.”John Doerr, Kleiner Perkins Caufield & Byers
Sustaining vs. Disruptive Technologies • Sustaining Technology • Foster improved product performance • Disruptive Technology • Bring to the market a very different value proposition The Innovator’s Dilemma – Clayton Christensen
Sustaining Technology B A Sustaining vs. Disruptive Technologies Cost Sustaining Technology • Improves performance along an existing utility curve Performance
B Disruptive Technology A Sustaining vs. Disruptive Technologies Cost Disruptive Technology • Moves the market to new utility curve Performance
Market Characteristics • Worth Winning • $250 million • Sustainable Drivers • Y2k • Well Defined • Subsegment
Return Expectations 5-10x your investment or 30%+ IRR
Sherpa Pocket Guide to Success Quick Go vs. No Go Decision (4x in 5 Years = 32% IRR)
“It is not the strongest of the species that survives, nor the most intelligent; it is the one that is most adaptable to change.” Charles Darwin, British Naturalist
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