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GEO Work Plan Symposium 2011 Days 2 & 3 DS-04 - Oceans

GEO Work Plan Symposium 2011 Days 2 & 3 DS-04 - Oceans. DS-04 Ocean Monitoring, Forecasting and Resources Management - Definition - Monitoring Marine and Coastal Ecosystems (Ecosystems and Biodiversity Strategic Targets)

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GEO Work Plan Symposium 2011 Days 2 & 3 DS-04 - Oceans

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  1. GEO Work Plan Symposium 2011 Days 2 & 3DS-04 - Oceans

  2. DS-04 Ocean Monitoring, Forecasting and Resources Management - Definition - Monitoring Marine and Coastal Ecosystems (Ecosystems and Biodiversity Strategic Targets) - Earth observations for fisheries, and aquaculture (Agriculture Strategic Target) - Provide sustained ocean observations to underpin development of, and assess the efficacy of, climate change adaptation measures such as those related to vulnerability and impacts of sealevel rise. -Ensure the availability of all Essential Ocean Climate Variables needed by the WCRP, the IPCC and the UNFCCC (Climate Strategic Target)

  3. Deliverables • Monitoring of marine and coastal ecosystems • Global operational ocean forecasting network • Fishery and aquaculture management • Availability of Essential Ocean Climate Variables Leads (tentative): Canada (CSA), European Commission, South Africa, USA (NOAA), CEOS, FAO, GOOS, IEEE, IOC, POGO, WMO …

  4. Related 2009-2011 Work Plan Subtasks – All incorporated (implicitly) • AR-09-03c) Global Ocean Observation System • DA-09-02b) Ensemble-Technique Forecasting Demonstrations • CB-09-03d) Building Capacity for Operational Oceanography • WA-08-01g) Global Water Quality Monitoring • EC-09-01c) Regional Networks for Ecosystems • AG-06-02: Data Utilization in Fisheries and Aquaculture

  5. New Proposals – All included (implicitly) • Blue Planet: Ocean and Society (POGO) • Global Ocean Information System (Germany, Bremen University) • Extension of Ensemble Forecasting Techniques to Operational Ocean Forecasting Systems (UK) • Vulnerability and Integrated Management of Coastal Zone (South Africa) • Global High Frequency Radar Network (USA, USGEO)

  6. Monitoring of marine and coastal ecosystems Member States,EC (GEO-WOW), OBIS, POGO, GOOS, … Global operational ocean forecasting network France, Australia, USA, WMO/IOC JCOMM, … Fishery and aquaculture management Member States, Canada and USA (SAFARI), CEOS, FAO (?), … Availability of Essential Ocean Climate Variables USA, JAPAN, Europe, Australia, IOC, WMO, GOOS, CEOS, …Existing Annual GOOS Climate (=GCOS Ocean) Module investment by Nations ~$1 Billion, Coordination investment, primarily by IOC, ~1 Million (source: GOOS summary for Policy Makers) Resources Available for Implementation

  7. Initial Global Ocean Observing System for Climate Designed for detection and attribution. Reporting to UNFCCC. Origin 62% Total in situ networks December 2010 Milestones Surface Driters 2005 Argo Floats 2007 VOSClim 2007 100% 100% 59% 80% 100% 62% 73% 48% 34% Original goal: Full implementation in 2010 System % complete

  8. Contributions to Global Coordination GOOS Summary for Policy Makers, “Cost and Benefits of coordinated ocean observations”12, 2009

  9. Many nations are not (fully) participating Broadest Participation: Tide Gauges Typical Participation: Hydrographic Sections

  10. Evolution of the GLOSS tide gauge network 1999-2009

  11. Evolution of the GLOSS tide gauge network 1999-2009

  12. Evolution of the ocean satellite network 2006-2009

  13. Evolution of the ocean satellite network 2006-2010

  14. The ARGO array of profiling floats from 2003…

  15. The Argo network has achieved its initial design target.Sustaining the network remains a major challenge.

  16. Argo Floats with Biological Sensors (Oct. 2009) Guidelines Towards an Integrated Ocean Observation System for Ecosystems and Biogeochemical Cycles. Claustre et al, 2010.

  17. Human Impact on Marine Ecosystems: Early warning for management decisions?

  18. Ocean Color • IOCCG, CholorGIN, Antares, SAFARI…

  19. Global Patterns of Marine Biodiversity Tittensor et al, Nature, 2010

  20. Human Impact on Marine Ecosystems: global, substantial, not climate dominated. Halpern et al, Science, 2008

  21. Conservation and resource management One of the most pristine marine areas on Earth? Halpern B. et al, Science, 2008 Media Release | Feb. 4, 2011 Fisheries catches in the Arctic totaled 950,000 tonnes from 1950 to 2006, almost 75 times the amount reported to the United Nations Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO). Zeller et al, Polar Biology, 2011

  22. Global Patterns of Marine Biodiversity Tittensor et al, Nature, 2010

  23. Sea Ice Extent Ecosystem Impacts Kahru, M. et al, Global Change Biology 2010

  24. These Changes Are Substantial! Eg. Timing of annual Chlorophyll maximum (Foxe Bay): 7th September 19th July Kahru, M. et al, Global Change Biology 2010

  25. Regional Products Near real time ocean conditions (t, s, and currents) are now freely available on the web, and widely used. These products depend on data streams from the observing system (eg. www.mercator-ocean.fr)

  26. Natural system state variables: global and regional sea level, heat content, glacial ice mass Sea level rise example

  27. Human vulnerability: populations in low-lying areas, capacity to adapt Sea level rise example

  28. Vulnerability: Small Island Developing States • can add projections of future change Sea level rise example

  29. Open for Plenary Discussion → Identify Synergies → Improve Cross-Fertilization → Identify Measures and Actions to Fill Gaps

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