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US Hardwood Exports: A Global Perspective Michael S Snow Executive Director AHEC

US Hardwood Exports: A Global Perspective Michael S Snow Executive Director AHEC. AHEC member companies supply the growing worldwide demand for U.S. hardwoods, exporting the full range of hardwood products including lumber, flooring, veneer, molding, and dimension materials.

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US Hardwood Exports: A Global Perspective Michael S Snow Executive Director AHEC

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  1. US Hardwood Exports:A GlobalPerspectiveMichael S SnowExecutive DirectorAHEC

  2. AHEC member companies supply the growing worldwide demand for U.S. hardwoods, exporting the full range of hardwood products including lumber, flooring, veneer, molding, and dimension materials. AHEC Members include: 111 direct company members; 12 export association members; 8 associate members; 4 sponsor members; Represents 90% of the U.S. hardwood industry AHEC Membership

  3. AHEC’s Global Reach

  4. U.S. Hardwood Exports1986-2007 $ Million

  5. World’s Leading Hardwood Lumber Exporters: 2007 Source: Global Trade Atlas

  6. Growing Importance of US Hardwood Exports:Exports as a % of US Production Source: Hardwood Review,

  7. Red Alder Exports $Millions FAS value)

  8. Main destinations for Red Alder Exports- 2007 $,Millions

  9. Red Alder Exports: Major Markets 2005-2007(Millions of Dollars) Source: GTA

  10. Value of Hardwood Lumber Exports to Japan1997-2007 ($ Thousand F.A.S. Value) Source: US Census Bureau

  11. Value of Hardwood Lumber Exports to Korea1997-2007 ($ Thousands F.A.S. value) Source: US Census Bureau

  12. China: Threat AND Opportunity (Photo by Dr. Dave Cohen, UBC) Center for International Trade in Forest Products

  13. US Hardwood Lumber Exports to China ($ Millions FAS value)

  14. Demand Drivers • Housing Privatization • Commercial Construction • Rising consumer wealth and sophistication; • Domestic and export oriented • manufacturing in furniture and interior fittings sectors; • Hospitality industry – 2008 Beijing Olympics/2010 Asian Games in Guangzhou

  15. Chinese GDP Growth 1999-2007 Pillars of Growth: • High levels of investment spending • Trade and Opening to world economy.

  16. Chinese Domestic Market • China Accounted for 20% of Global Economic Growth 2000-2005 • Automobile Market Exceeds Germany • Largest Mobile Phone Market in the World • Estimated 10% of Population with “Middle Class” Purchasing Power. Represents 130 million consumers and growing!

  17. Hardwood Demand Driver I:Furniture

  18. China Furniture Production & Exports Billion USD • China National Furniture Association

  19. Greater China: Furniture Sector Chinese Furniture Export by Province 2006 (Million US$) Province Guangdong province accounts For over 50% of China furniture exports.

  20. Greater China: Furniture Sector Export Markets for Chinese Furniture in 2004 .

  21. Greater China: Furniture Sector Export Markets for Chinese Furniture 07 .

  22. Hardwood Demand Driver II:Property Development

  23. Greater China: Property Development • Approximately 700 million square meters of finished construction each year • Flooring demand to hit 2.5 billion square meters in 2008 • Door and window market to hit 500 million units in 2008   Source: ITTO,

  24. AHEC Model Home: Shanghai

  25. 厨房：美国红橡木橱柜 Kitchen: American Red Oak Cabinets

  26. Hardwood Demand Driver III:Flooring and Secondary Manufactures

  27. China Flooring Production: 2002-2006 • China is the largest wood flooring producer & consumer • Account for 50% world flooring production. million m2

  28. US Hardwood Flooring Imports: Major Suppliers 2004-2006(Millions of Dollars) Source: GTA

  29. 2004-2006 China Door Production & Export United States is the largest export market for Chinese door, account for over 40% of the total export value. million USD

  30. What’s Next? • Will China become a major player in the lumber/veneer export markets? • How much growth left in the furniture industry? • Can Chinese plantations make them more self-sufficient in wood fibre?

  31. China’s rank in wood products global trade: • Production:Global Rank • Plywood #1 • MDF #1 • Blockboard #1 • Furniture #2 • Hardwood lumber #2 • Particleboard #3 • Softwood lumber #4 (higher than Sweden) • Finished Products Soaring • Imports #2 (after the USA) • Exports #1 Source: Wood Markets Inc

  32. Chinese Wood Product Exports:(Millions of Dollars/ 8 month totals) Source: World Trade Atlas

  33. China is a Low Cost Producer, But… Source: Wood Markets Inc

  34. World’s Leading Hardwood Log Importers Source: Global Trade Atlas

  35. Chinese/Russian Border - Suifenhe

  36. Chinese/Russian Border - Suifenhe

  37. US Hardwood Log Exports to China: 1997-2007(Thousands of Cubic Meters) Source: USDA-FAS

  38. China: Hardwood LogImports 2007 % Market Share Source: World Trade Atlas:

  39. China Domestic Timber Output Under NFCP Source: China Timber Import Export Co/IFSA Consulting

  40. Per Capita Wood Consumption In cubic meters per capita Source: China Timber Import Export Co/Hardwoodmarkets.com 2005

  41. Other Markets to Watch • Southeast Asia/Vietnam • Middle East • Latin America • India • **The EU**

  42. S.E. Asia: Market Overview Million US$

  43. VIETNAM U.S. Hardwood Log, Lumber & Veneer to VIETNAM Million US$

  44. 2 1 3 4 5 6 7 8 Establishment (company – enterprise) Picture of wood processing factories in VN Source: Ministry of Agriculture & Rural development

  45. Hardwood Lumber Exports to Mexico Source: Global Trade Index

  46. Mexico: Hardwood Import Market Share Source: Global Trade Index

  47. New Markets: Middle East (Dubai 1990)

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