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Fall 2013 Immigration Survey Summary Presentation

Fall 2013 Immigration Survey Summary Presentation. David Flaherty, CEO Magellan Strategies.

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Fall 2013 Immigration Survey Summary Presentation

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  1. Fall 2013 Immigration Survey Summary Presentation David Flaherty, CEO Magellan Strategies

  2. The following presentation is a summary of findings from seventeen Congressional Districts of likely 2014 voters. The primary focus of the research was to measure voter support and opposition to different immigration reform legislation proposals. Each survey interviewed between 650 and 700 voters, and has a margin of error of approximately +/- 3.7% at the 95% confidence interval. The surveys were conducted using automated voice recorded technology, and some included live cell phone interviews. The surveys were fielded in October and November of 2013. Magellan Strategies Immigration Reform Survey Summary December 11, 2013

  3. Congressional Districts Surveyed • CA-10 Jeff Denham • CA-21 David Valadao • CA-22 Devin Nunes • CA-23 Kevin McCarthy • CA-25 Howard McKeon • CA-49 Darrell Issa • CO-03 Scott Tipton • CO-04 Cory Gardner • CO-06 Mike Coffman • FL-10 Daniel Webster • FL-15 Dennis Ross • NV-02 Mark Amodei • NV-03 Joe Heck • NY-02 Peter King • NY-19 Chris Gibson • TX-02 Ted Poe • TX-27 Blake Farenthold Magellan Strategies Immigration Reform Survey Summary December 11, 2013

  4. Voter Support for “Broad” Immigration Reform Legislation Option

  5. Key Finding • There is deep, broad support among all “major” voter subgroups in each Congressional district for immigration reform legislation that contains the following criteria. • Significantly increase border security, • Block employers form hiring undocumented immigrants, • Make sure undocumented immigrants already in the U.S. with no criminal record register for legal status, with the possibility of eventual citizenship. Magellan Strategies Immigration Reform Survey Summary December 11, 2013

  6. “As you may know, the House of Representatives is beginning to consider different immigration reform proposals. One option is legislation that would significantly increase border security, block employers from hiring undocumented immigrants, and make sure that undocumented immigrants already in the U.S. with no criminal record register for legal status. If immigrants were to meet a list of requirements, they could eventually apply for citizenship.” “Knowing this information, would support or oppose this legislation?” Magellan Strategies Immigration Reform Survey Summary December 11, 2013

  7. “One option is legislation that would significantly increase border security, block employers from hiring undocumented immigrants, and make sure that undocumented immigrants already in the U.S. with no criminal record register for legal status. If immigrants were to meet a list of requirements, they could eventually apply for citizenship. Knowing this information, would support or oppose this legislation?” Magellan Strategies Immigration Reform Survey Summary December 11, 2013

  8. “One option is legislation that would significantly increase border security, block employers from hiring undocumented immigrants, and make sure that undocumented immigrants already in the U.S. with no criminal record register for legal status. If immigrants were to meet a list of requirements, they could eventually apply for citizenship. Knowing this information, would support or oppose this legislation?” Magellan Strategies Immigration Reform Survey Summary December 11, 2013

  9. Voter Support for Immigration Reform Plan Addressing Undocumented Immigrants

  10. Key Finding • A significant majority of voters, particularly Republican voters, support an immigration reform plan that addresses the issue of undocumented immigrants currently living in the U.S. with the following criteria; • Pay a penalty, • Learn English, • Pass a criminal background check, • Pay taxes, • Wait a minimum of thirteen years before they can be eligible for citizenship. Magellan Strategies Immigration Reform Survey Summary December 11, 2013

  11. “Would you support or oppose an immigration reform plan that ensures undocumented immigrants currently living in the U.S. pay a penalty, learn English, pass a criminal background check, pay taxes, and wait a minimum of thirteen years before they can be eligible for citizenship?” Magellan Strategies Immigration Reform Survey Summary December 11, 2013

  12. “Would you support or oppose an immigration reform plan that ensures undocumented immigrants currently living in the U.S. pay a penalty, learn English, pass a criminal background check, pay taxes, and wait a minimum of thirteen years before they can be eligible for citizenship?” Magellan Strategies Immigration Reform Survey Summary December 11, 2013

  13. “Would you support or oppose an immigration reform plan that ensures undocumented immigrants currently living in the U.S. pay a penalty, learn English, pass a criminal background check, pay taxes, and wait a minimum of thirteen years before they can be eligible for citizenship?” Magellan Strategies Immigration Reform Survey Summary December 11, 2013

  14. Survey Methodology

  15. The seventeen Congressional District surveys were conducted using automated voice recorded technology, and some included live cell phone interviews. The samples for all surveys were randomly drawn from a voter file. The survey response data was weighted based upon past voter turnout demographics. Three attempts were made to interview each household. Any questions regarding the survey methodology should be directed to David Flaherty. He can be reached at 303-861-8585 or dflaherty@magellanstrategies.com. Magellan Strategies Immigration Reform Survey Summary December 11, 2013

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