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In February 2011, The Riksbank emphasizes that the balance in the economy necessitates ongoing increases in the repo rate. Sweden shows promising growth ahead, as indicated by annual GDP changes and forward-looking indicators in the manufacturing sector. The IMF projects positive recovery trends in the BRIC countries, influencing global economic dynamics. Meanwhile, Sweden experiences lower unemployment rates and strong recruitment plans, despite rising inflation and commodity prices. This economic landscape requires careful monitoring and strategic policy adjustments.
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Balance in the economy requires continued repo rate increases
Good growth in Sweden ahead GDP, quarterlychanges in per cent calculated as an annual rate, seasonally-adjusted data Sources: Statistics Sweden and the Riksbank
Recovery abroad GDP, annualpercentagechange. IMF’sOctoberforecast for Brazil, Russia, India and China (BRIC) Sources: The IMF and the Riksbank
Forward-looking indicators point to high growth Purchasing managers’ index in the manufacturingindustry, BRIC =Brazil, Russia, India and China Sources: Institute for Supply Management, MarkitEconomicsand Swedbank
Lower Swedish unemployment Percentageoflabour force, seasonally-adjusted data Source: Statistics Sweden and the Riksbank
Strong recruitment plans Sources: National InstituteofEconomicResearch and Statistics Sweden Net figures total resp. annualpercentagechange
Labour shortages increasing Source: National InstituteofEconomic Research Per cent, seasonally-adjusted data
Stronger Swedish krona Source: The Riksbank Index, 18 November 1992 = 100
Higher commodity and energy prices USD, Index 2005=100 Sources: The Economist and Reuters
Inflation higher than expected Annualpercentagechange Sources: Statistics Sweden and the Riksbank
Inflation close to target Annualpercentagechange Sources: Statistics Sweden and the Riksbank
Repo rate increased slightly faster Per cent, quarterlyaverages Source: The Riksbank
A forecast, not a promise Domesticdemand/ Commodityprices Strongerproductivity/ Exchange rate Per cent, quarterlyaverages Source: The Riksbank
Balance in the economy requires continued repo rate increases