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The July 2010 Monetary Policy Report highlights the robust performance of the Swedish economy despite ongoing fiscal issues in Europe. With continued global recovery, Sweden shows significant GDP growth and increasing employment, while inflation aligns with targets. The report notes a limited impact on financial markets, with the interbank and government bond rates differing minimally. Public finances in the euro area remain a concern, but higher domestic demand is expected to drive further economic progress.
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…despite fiscal problems in Europe Sources: OECD and the Riksbank Public financial balance as a percentage of GDP
Limited impact on the financial markets Difference between interbank rates and government bond rates (TED spread) Sources: Reuters EcoWin and the Riksbank Note. The differetial is calculatde as the difference between the three-month interbank rate and three-month treasury bills.
The global recovery is continuing Sources: Bureau of Economic Analysis, Eurostat, Statistics Sweden and the Riksbank GDP, quarterly percentage change calculated as an annual rate, Seasonally-adjusted data
Broad upturn in Swedish economy Quartrely percentage change calculated as an annual rate, seasonally adjusted data Source: Statistics Sweden
The upturn is continuing Source: National Institute of Economic Research Net figures
Employment is increasing Note. Expectations have been moved to the period to which they refer. Source: National Institute for Economic Research Net figures
Lower unemployment ahead Sources: Statistics Sweden and the Riksbank Percentage of the labour force, seasonally-adjusted data
Inflation in line with target Sources: Statistics Sweden and the Riksbank Annual percentage change
Interest rate increased from low level Source: The Riksbank Per cent, quarterly averages
A forecast, not a promise Higher domestic demand Public finances crisis in the euro area Source: The Riksbank Per oent, quarterly averages