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This report by Bill Burton from Oklahoma State University analyzes the current situation and outlook for wheat, corn, and soybean production in the U.S. It provides insights into planted acres, tight grain stocks, and projections for the upcoming exportable wheat crop. The document delves into the production, supply, total exports, and average farm prices for 2008-09 alongside a retrospective analysis of previous years. Weather conditions and global demand factors influencing the market are discussed, underscoring the significance of this year's harvest for U.S. agriculture.
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Wheat, Corn, & Sorghum Situation and Outlook Bill Burton Oklahoma State University
Talking Points • Planted wheat, corn & bean acres. • Tight U.S. and world grain stocks. • U.S. next exportable wheat crop to be harvested.
CBT Corn Monthly Dec
wheat, corn and bean seed acres 2008/09 2007/0810-yr avg Million Acres all wheat 63.6 60.459.3 32.5HRW 10.7SRW 13.6HRS corn 86.0 93.680.5 beans 74.8 68.572.8
Beginning stocks Production Supply, Total Exports Use, Total Ending Stocks Avg. farm price U.S. Wheat Supply and Use Kim’s 08/09 USDA 07/08 Million Bushels 456 2,067 2,613 1,225 2,371 242 $6.15 450 2,300 2,650 950 2,100 550 $6.30
$8.64 -.70 $7.94 KCBT July ‘08
Beginning stocks Production Supply, Total Exports Use, Total Ending Stocks Avg. farm price U.S. Corn Supply and Use Kim’s 08/09 USDA 07/08 Million Bushels 1,304 13,074 14,393 2,450 13,10 1,283 $4.30 1,275 12,360 13, 650 2,100 12,700 950 $5.00
$6.19 -0.10 $6.11 CBT Dec Corn ‘08
Beginning stocks Production Supply, Total Exports Use, Total Ending Stocks Avg. farm price U.S. Soybean Supply and Use Kim’s 08/09 USDA 07/08 Million Bushels 574 2,585 3,169 1,075 3,009 160 $10.40 160 3,100 3,260 1,000 3,000 260 $10.00
$12.00 -1.00 $11.00 CBT Nov Beans ‘08
Talking Points Weather most critical price factor World must have 2008 wheat, corn & beans. Even if relatively large foreign wheat crop, demand will be there for 2008 harvested U.S. HRW wheat, corn & beans.