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Adaptive Management: Coping with Change & Uncertainty in a Complex World

This article explores the process and goals of adaptive management, a valuable approach for managing resources in the face of global changes and uncertainties. It discusses key points, such as system analysis, experimental design, social learning, decision analyses, and feedback dynamics. The text language is in English.

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Adaptive Management: Coping with Change & Uncertainty in a Complex World

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  1. FRST 532COMPLEX ADAPTIVE SYSTEM, GLOBAL CHANGE SCIENCE AND ECOLOGICAL SUSTAINABILITY Adaptive MANAGEMENT: Strategies for coping with change and uncertaintyj. briannyberg Presented by Patrice METEUNOU MSFM/UBC

  2. OUTLINE • Definition • Goals • Adaptive Management Process • Key points • Question

  3. The world is changing, Many uncertainties, continual changes in societal and environmental values WE ALSO…

  4. ADAPTIVE MANAGEMENT IS ONE WAY TO COPE WITH THIS CHANGING WORLD BUT WHAT IS ADAPTIVE MANAGEMENT ?

  5. DEFINITION ADAPTIVE MANAGEMENT is a process for improving policies and practices by managing system( ecological, administrative and other) so as to produce desired outputs and learn about the systems’ dynamics and responses. • it is also a systematic management paradigm that assumes natural resource management policies and actions are not static, but are adjusted based on the combination of new scientific and socio-economic information.

  6. Adaptive management is widely recommended as a valuable method for managing resources in the face of change and uncertainty. -Forest Management -Water Management -wildlife Management -Environmental impact Management… Uncertainty is always present in natural resource management

  7. System Analysis An integrative approach with a focus on ADAPTIVE MANAGEMENT Experimental design Social learning Decision analyses Feedback dynamics

  8. Goal Inform managers of the probable consequences of decisions they will make in the future,  so management programs will be more likely to achieve  society’s goals andobjectives.

  9. PROCESS

  10. Assess the problem: management objectives, indicatorsof success, options for action, assumptions, keyuncertainties, alternative hypotheses Design: Design actions to test hypotheses; predictoutcomes based on current knowledge Implement: Implementtheactions as designed

  11. Monitor: Monitor implementation (is there any deviation from the design?) and effectiveness (were the objectives achieved?) Evaluate: Evaluate outcomes and learn :which actions weremost effective, andwhich hypotheses toaccept / reject? Adjust: Adjust future decision ; revise uncertaintiesand hypotheses andrepeat; share whathas been learned

  12. Key points, 1 adaptive management acknowledges uncertainty about how natural resource system function and how they respond to management action.

  13. Key points, 2 adaptive management is designed to improve understanding of how a resource system works, so as to achieve management objectives.

  14. Key points, 3 adaptive management makes use of management interventions and followup monitoring to promote understanding and improve subsequent decision making.

  15. http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=T9xm3cUsY7k 14minutes video on Adaptive Management

  16. THANK YOU…

  17. QUESTIONS Do Adaptive Management is sufficient to cope with the changing world and its uncertainties giving the fact that humans philosophy ….?

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