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ULSD Workshop: Transition & Experience Sharing

Gain insights on transitioning to 15 ppm ULSD, RVP changes, introduction of oxygenated gasoline, and more. Learn from experiences to ensure smooth operations. Explore similarities and differences in past transitions for effective decision-making. Discover strategies for adjustments and facility division in the face of new regulations.

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ULSD Workshop: Transition & Experience Sharing

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  1. ULSD Workshop November 20-21, 2002 Houston, TX Transition to 15 ppmULSD

  2. Experiences to Draw on • Annual RVP change over – since 1989

  3. Experiences to Draw on • Annual RVP change over – since 1989 • Introduction of Oxygenated Gasoline – 1992

  4. Experiences to Draw on • Annual RVP change over – since 1989 • Introduction of Oxygenated Gasoline – 1992 • Introduction of low sulfur diesel fuel – 1993

  5. Experiences to Draw on • Annual RVP change over – since 1989 • Introduction of Oxygenated Gasoline – 1992 • Introduction of low sulfur diesel fuel – 1993 • Introduction of Simple Model RFG – 1995

  6. Experiences to Draw on • Annual RVP change over – since 1989 • Introduction of Oxygenated Gasoline – 1992 • Introduction of low sulfur diesel fuel – 1993 • Introduction of Simple Model RFG – 1995 • Introduction of Complex Model RFG – 1998

  7. After Further Review • Annual RVP change over – since 1989 • Can produce blends below the maximum RVP to facilitate turn over

  8. After Further Review • Annual RVP change over – since 1989 • Introduction of Oxygenated Gasoline – 1992 • Plenty of room between maximum oxygen limit and minimum specification requirement

  9. After Further Review • Annual RVP change over – since 1989 • Introduction of Oxygenated Gasoline – 1992 • Introduction of Simple Model RFG – 1995 • Very similar to RVP change over

  10. After Further Review • Annual RVP change over – since 1989 • Introduction of Oxygenated Gasoline – 1992 • Introduction of Simple Model RFG – 1995 • Introduction of Complex Model RFG – 1998 • Again, very similar to RVP change over

  11. After Further Review • Annual RVP change over – since 1989 • Introduction of Oxygenated Gasoline – 1992 • Introduction of Simple Model RFG – 1995 • Introduction of Complex Model RFG – 1998 • Introduction of Low Sulfur Diesel Fuel – 1993 • Some things are the same • Some things are different

  12. After Further, Further Review • Introduction of low sulfur diesel fuel in 1993 will be the closest parallel for ULSD

  13. Things That Are The Same • Introduction of new product

  14. Things That Are The Same • Introduction of new product • Drop dead compliance date

  15. Things That Are The Same • Introduction of new product • Drop dead compliance date • Immediate demand for product

  16. Things That Are The Same • Introduction of new product • Drop dead compliance date • Immediate demand for product • Choices to make

  17. Things That Are The Same • Introduction of new product • Drop dead compliance date • Immediate demand for product • Choices to make • Adjustments to operations

  18. Things That Are The Same • Introduction of new product • Drop dead compliance date • Immediate demand for product • Choices to make • Adjustments to operations • Division of facilities or new construction

  19. Things That Are Different • Competing product still being marketed

  20. Things That Are Different • Competing product still being marketed • Refinery Production is regulated 80/20, 100/0

  21. Things That Are Different • Competing product still being marketed • Refinery Production is regulated 80/20, 100/0 • Initial need (verses demand) is zero, demand is…

  22. Things That Are Different • Competing product still being marketed • Refinery Production is regulated 80/20, 100/0 • Initial need (verses demand) is zero, demand is… • Choices are short term

  23. Things That Are Different • Competing product still being marketed • Refinery Production is regulated 80/20, 100/0 • Initial need (verses demand) is zero, demand is… • Choices are short term • Radical changes to operations

  24. Things That Are Different • Competing product still being marketed • Refinery Production is regulated 80/20, 100/0 • Initial need (verses demand) is zero, demand is… • Choices are short term • Radical changes to operations • Sulfur Credits

  25. Things That Are Different • Competing product still being marketed • Refinery Production is regulated 80/20, 100/0 • Initial need (verses demand) is zero, demand is… • Choices are short term • Radical changes to operations • Sulfur Credits • Small refinery exclusion

  26. Things That Are Different • Competing product still being marketed • Refinery Production is regulated 80/20, 100/0 • Initial need (verses demand) is zero, demand is… • Choices are short term • Radical changes to operations • Sulfur Credits • Small refinery exclusion • Degrees of magnitude 3000 – 500 vs 400 - 15

  27. Physical Transition, Initial staging • June 1 – July ?

  28. Physical Transition, Initial staging • June 1 – July ? • Won’t be without problems

  29. Physical Transition, Initial staging • June 1 – July ? • Won’t be without problems • We have “outs” at this point

  30. Physical Transition, Initial staging • June 1 – July ? • Won’t be without problems • We have “outs” at this point • Downgrades • Little or no demand • Time

  31. Now Things Get Interesting • July ? – August 31

  32. Now Things Get Interesting • July ? – August 31 • Pace of downstream conversions

  33. Now Things Get Interesting • July ? – August 31 • Pace of downstream conversions • Who/how many will handle both products?

  34. Now Things Get Interesting • July ? – August 31 • Pace of downstream conversions • Who/how many will handle both products? • Price differential vs inventory

  35. Now Things Get Interesting • July ? – August 31 • Pace of downstream conversions • Who/how many will handle both products? • Price differential vs inventory • Use of Credits?

  36. Now Things Get Interesting • July ? – August 31 • Pace of downstream conversions • Who/how many will handle both products? • Price differential vs inventory • Use of Credits? • Out of the wood work/None to be had

  37. September 1, 2006 • A non-event

  38. September 1, 2006 • A non-event • No overnight change

  39. September 1, 2006 • A non-event • No overnight change • Production control, 80/20

  40. September 1, 2006 • A non-event • No overnight change • Production control, 80/20 • No major distribution problems

  41. ULSD Workshop November 20-21, 2002 Houston, TX Transition to 15 ppmULSD

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