Finding a job after unemployment: key factors in Russia and Germany

1. Finding a job after unemployment: key factors in Russia and Germany Gladnikova Ekaterina (HSE, Moscow) Ketzmerick Thomas (ZSH, Halle) Malkova Maria (HSE, Moscow)

2. Problem Scientific problem • Comparison of two countries by the same methodology => finding universal and specific factors Practical problem • High level of unemployment – problem of both countries • Long term unemployment => social exclusion • The need to reveal contributing factors of finding a job after unemployment (especially long term) • Recommendations to social policy

3. Transitions from unemployment to employment

4. Object and Subject • The object of the investigation is divided into two groups 1) Russians and Germans at the age of 20-60 who moved from unemployment into a job 2) Russians and Germans at the age of 20-60 who were and stay unemployed • The subject is factors influencing the probability of finding a job after unemployment

5. The Aim and Tasks The aim: to find out factors influencing the probability of finding a job after unemployment in Russia and Germany. To achieve the aim it is necessary to set the following tasks: • To describewho arethe unemployed (particularly long-term) in Russia and Germany? • To reveal factors that have a negative / positive impact on finding a job after unemployment in each country. • To find and to explain differences and similarities between countries.

6. Methodology • 1st task methods of descriptive statistics (frequencies and crosstabulations, methods of comparing means etc.) • 2nd task regressional analysis: binary logistic regression

7. Database and Variables • Russian Longitude Monitoring Survey, RLMS (Russia), 2001-2007 • German Socio-Economic Panel, GSOEP (Germany), 2001-2007 Variables Dependent: • Successfulness in a job finding after unemployment (two groups who are succeed and are not) Independent (in t-1 period): • wave (year) • socio-economical and demographic characteristics of employees (sex, region, family structure, education etc.) • ways of job searching • duration of unemployment or economic inactivity • expectations about future job etc.

8. Hypothesis • Positive factors of finding a job: • Duration of unemployment (short term), • Education (higher), • Sex (male), • Age (30-40), • Type of area (urban), • Region (West Germany, Moscow, St. Petersburg), • Family structure (partnership, no children at the age of 0-3 years), • Year (2006 in Germany and 2003-2006 in Russia) etc.

9. Thanks for your attention!