1 / 13

Correlations Between Hurricane Intensity and Hurricane Cost

Correlations Between Hurricane Intensity and Hurricane Cost. Elle Marks EAS 4803 Spring 2013. Saffir -Simpson Scale. Data. Hurricanes that made Landfall in the US. 1980-2012 Cost in Million USD. Hypothesis. There is a correlation between the category of a hurricane to the cost of damage

euclid
Télécharger la présentation

Correlations Between Hurricane Intensity and Hurricane Cost

An Image/Link below is provided (as is) to download presentation Download Policy: Content on the Website is provided to you AS IS for your information and personal use and may not be sold / licensed / shared on other websites without getting consent from its author. Content is provided to you AS IS for your information and personal use only. Download presentation by click this link. While downloading, if for some reason you are not able to download a presentation, the publisher may have deleted the file from their server. During download, if you can't get a presentation, the file might be deleted by the publisher.

E N D

Presentation Transcript

  1. Correlations Between Hurricane Intensity and Hurricane Cost Elle Marks EAS 4803 Spring 2013

  2. Saffir-Simpson Scale

  3. Data • Hurricanes that made Landfall in the US. 1980-2012 • Cost in Million USD

  4. Hypothesis • There is a correlation between the category of a hurricane to the cost of damage • Higher category hurricanes have a larger cost of damage

  5. Methods • Least square regression • Correlation • Principle Component Regression • Bootstrap Correlation

  6. Least Square Regression CorrcoefSignificance ‘p’: 0.1296 Corrcoef 95% confidence interval: 0.46738 to -0.064977 Least Squares Regression Slope: 3.6843e+03 LS Slope 95% Confidence Interval: 37304.7002 to -29936.0568 Slope is positive therefore means there is a positive correlation

  7. Correlation Coeff • r = • 1.0000 0.2173 • 0.2173 1.0000 • p = • 1.0000 0.1296 • 0.1296 1.0000 There is no significant correlations at p < 0.05 Small correlation because abs(r) < 0.3

  8. Principle Component Regression Most points follow LS regression (green) and major axis regression (blue), showing little correlation No correlation for principal component regression (black)

  9. Bootstrap Correlation Mean = .2280 Std=.1260

  10. Conclusions • There is small correlation between the cost of a hurricane and its category value • Reject null hypothesis

  11. Future Work • Test to see if there is a correlation when compared with topography

  12. Questions? Comments? Concerns?

  13. Sources • http://hurricanecentral.freeservers.com/Statistics/Costliest.htm • http://www.aoml.noaa.gov/hrd/tcfaq/TCFAQ_E.txt • http://www.iii.org/facts_statistics/hurricanes.html

More Related