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STRATEGIES FOR BECOMING DISASTER RESILIENT DURING 2013. Walter Hays, Global Alliance for Disaster Reduction, Vienna, Virginia, USA . PART 3: MAKE THE MEGACITIES MORE DISASTER RESILIENT. MEGACITIES FACE HUGE DISASTERS FROM …. EARTHQUAKES FLOODS SEVERE WINDSTORMS LANDSLIDES
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STRATEGIES FOR BECOMING DISASTER RESILIENT DURING 2013 Walter Hays, Global Alliance for Disaster Reduction, Vienna, Virginia, USA
MEGACITIES FACE HUGE DISASTERS FROM … • EARTHQUAKES • FLOODS • SEVERE WINDSTORMS • LANDSLIDES • VOLCANIC ERUPTIONS • WILDFIRES • TSUNAMIS • DROUGHTS
WHAT HISTORY TEACHES • CITIES AND MEGACITIES EXIST BY GEOLOGIC, HYDROLOGIC, AND ATMOSPHERIC CONSENT, WHICH CAN BE WITHDRAWN WITHOUT NOTICE.
A DISASTER OCCURS WHEN THE MEGACITY’S PUBLIC POLICIES ALLOW IT TO BE … UN—PREPARED UN—PROTECTED UN--WARNED UN—ABLE TO RESPOND EFFECTIVELY UN (NON)—RESILIENT IN RECOVERY
QUESTION • WHAT IS A MEGACITY AND WHAT VULNERABILITY REDUCTION MEASURES WILL MAKE IT LESS VULNERABLE TO THE POTENTIAL DISASTER AGENTS OF A NATURAL HAZARD?
TOKYO: 21.9 M NEW YORK: 15.6 M MEXICO CITY: 13.9 M SAO PAULO: 12.5 M SHANGHAI: 11.7 OSAKA: 10.0 M BUENOS AIRES: 9.9 M LOS ANGELES: 9.5 M CALCUTA 9.0 M BEIJING 9.0 M SOURCE: THE POPULATION INSTITUTE 2/3/01 MEGACITIES IN 1900WORLD POPULATION:1.6 BILLION
TOKYO: 25.4 M BOMBAY: 18.6 M MEXICO CITY: 18.3 M SAO PAULO: 18.0 M NEW YORK: 16.7 M LAGOS: 14.1 M CALCUTA 13.2 M LOS ANGELES: 13.2 M SHANGHAI: 13.0 M BUENOS AIRES: 12.7 M SOURCE: THE POPULATION INSTITUTE 2/3/01 MEGACITIES IN 2000WORLD POPULATION:6 BILLION
BOMBAY: 28.5 M TOKYO: 27.3 M LAGOS: 26.5 M DHAKA: 24.0 M KARACHI: 21.7 M SAO PAULO: 21.3 M MEXICO CITY: 19.6 M JAKARTA: 19.4 CALCUTA 18.8 M NEW DEHLI: 18:4 M SOURCE: THE POPULATION INSTITUTE 2/3/01 MEGACITIES IN 2020WORLD POPULATION:10 BILLION
ISTHANBUL: CAUSES OF VULNERABILITIES • SIZE • FRAGILITY OF EXISTING BUIDINGS/INFRASTRUCTURE • INADEQUATE PROTECTION MEASURES • CONSTRUCTION MATERIALS AND PRACTICES
SAN FRANCISCO: DEPENDENT ON TRANSPORTATION • DAMAGE TO ONE SPAN OF THE BAY BRIDGE IN 1989 CHANGED THE LIVES OF MILLIONS AND DISRUPTED MANY BUSINESSES. • NO ONE KNOWS THE TRUE COST.
LOS ANGELES: DEPENDENT ON UTILITY SYSTEMS • DAMAGE TO A UTILIYY CORRIDOR CAUSED WIDESPREAD OUTAGES OF POWER, GAS, WATER, AND WASTE CENTERS. • OUTAGES LED TO LOSSES IN THE BILLIONS.
NAT. HAZARDS • INVENTORY • VULNERABILITY • LOCATION • PREPAREDNESS • PRPTECTION • EARLY WARNING • EMERGENCY RESPONSE • RECOVERY • EDUCATIONAL SURGES RISK ASSESSMENT DISASTER RESILIENCE ACCEPTABLE RISK RISK UNACCEPTABLE RISK VULNERABILITY REDUCTON DATA BASES AND INFORMATION MEGACITY HAZARDS: GROUND SHAKING GROUND FAILURE SURFACE FAULTING TECTONIC DEFORMATION TSUNAMI RUN UP AFTERSHOCKS
QUESTION • CAN WE MAKE MEGACITIES MORE RESILIENT TO NATURAL HAZARDS?
YES BUT, IT IS A TIME-, PEOPLE-,, AND STAPLE- DEPENDENT PROCESS!
INTERLOCKING CONCEPTS ON MEGACITIES AND NATURAL HAZARDS • NATURAL HAZARDS, GENERATE POTENTIAL DISASTER AGENTS WHICH CREATE RISK TO THE BUILT ENVIRONMENT. • THE CHOICE: LIVE WITH UNACCEPTABLE RISK OR ACCEPTABLE LEVELS OF RISK.
INTERLOCKING CONCEPTS ON MEGACITIES AND NATURAL HAZARDS • UNACCEPTABLE RISK CALLS FOR PUBLIC POLICIES TO REDUCE VULNER-ABILITIES.
INTERLOCKING CONCEPTS ON MEGACITIES AND NATURAL HAZARDS • VULNERABILITIES REFLECT POLICY FLAWS WITH RESPECT TO PREPAREDNESS, PROTECTION, EARLY WARNING, EMERGENCY RESPONSE, AND RECOVERY
INTERLOCKING CONCEPTS ON MEGACITIES AND NATURAL HAZARDS • PREPAREDNESS, PROTECTION, RESPONSE, AND RECOVERY ARE THE MOST EFFECTIVE MEASURES. • BUT, THEY ARE HARD TO SELL TO THE PUBLIC AND TAKE TIME TO IMPLEMENT.
POLITICAL SOLUTIONS CA MEGACITY DISASTER RESILIENCE WHAT’S NEEDED: A COMMON AGENDA (CA) OF TECHNICAL AND POLITICAL SOLUTIONS TECHNICAL SOLUTIONS
POLITICAL SOLUTIONS CA STAPLE FACTORS S P O T THE EFFECTIVE SOLUTION FOR GREATER DISASTER RESILIENCE FACT: BUILD ON EACH MEGACITY’S UNIQUE STAPLE FACTORS TECHNICAL SOLUTIONS
A COMMUNITY’S STAPLE FACTORS ARE UNIQUE • SOCIAL • TECHNICAL • ADMINISTRATIVE • POLITICAL • LEGAL • ECONOMIC