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FUTURE PowerPoint Presentation

FUTURE

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FUTURE

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  1. FUTURE Jeff Kimpel, Director National Severe Storms Laboratory October 15, 2004

  2. Three Themes • Three legged Stool • Radar • Modeling • hydrometeorology

  3. RADAR VISION

  4. RADAR VISION • Phased Array Radar –big, S or C band • Phased Array Radar – little, low power, X or K band, cheap, CASA-like • Mobile Radars

  5. MODELING VISION

  6. MODELING VISION

  7. MODELING VISION

  8. Forecast versus Observed Storm Tornado Tracks Green dash - Obs Mesocyclone track Green solid - Obs Tornado track White - model mesocyclone track Red - model tornado-cyclone track (z > 0.05 s-1)

  9. MODELING VISION • Diagnostic, forecast, decision support • Warn on detection to warn on forecast • Very high resolution, very short range, ensemble based forecast models • Doppler radar data is an important information source for assimilation • Includes “big” and “little” radars • The Dt is less than a minute

  10. HYDROMETEOROLOGY VISION Wind Gusts>50kts Hail>2 in. Flash Flooding

  11. HYDROMETEOROLOGY VISION • Rainfall from radar will revolutionize hydrometeorology • Dual-Polarization will yield better rainfall estimates • Dual-Pol phased array (big and small) will further improve estimates • NSSL should lead applications of radar based rainfall estimates to rest of world

  12. PART OF VISION • Transition science and technology to NWS • Archival, refereed publications • Conference papers, meetings • Service on boards, councils, committees • Education, especially graduate level • Outreach • Community service

  13. NOT PART OF VISION • Unsound science and technology hype • Seeking reimbursable funds for funding sake • Competing with the private sector, universities, others