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Understanding System Dynamics: Military Power, Global Interdependence, and Political Stability

This article explores the intricate interactions between units within international systems, focusing on military power's declining usefulness, moral legitimacy of war, and the economic and political costs involved. It examines the implications of bipolar and multipolar systems on global stability, as well as nuclear proliferation's dual effect on war likelihood. The discussion also highlights the causes and consequences of global interdependence, contrasting classical Realist views with emerging complexities that redefine state relationships and influence.

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Understanding System Dynamics: Military Power, Global Interdependence, and Political Stability

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  1. SYSTEM LEVEL EXPLANATION = interaction between units within boundaries of the system STRUCTURE PROCESS EQUILIBRIUM STABILITY

  2. usefulness of military power declined? 1. moral legitimacy of war? 2. economic costs 3. domestic political cost 4. fungibility

  3. Tragedy of the Commons private good high rivalry low ? public good low high excludability When the world is dominated by a hegemon, more international public goods will be provided ???

  4. BIPOLAR SYSTEMS zero sum confrontation mutual gain from collusion 1. few cases 2. stability = ? 3. nuclear weapons 4. time 5. compared to what?

  5. MULTIPOLAR SYSTEMS 1. stable? 2. unstable? If offensehas advantage If defense has advantage

  6. NUCLEAR PROLIFERATION MAKES WAR MORE LIKELY? 1. RISK ACCEPTANT “ROGUE” STATES 2. ACCIDENTS & MALFEASANCE NUCLEAR PROLIFERATION MAKES WAR LESS LIKELY? 1. DETERRENCE VALUE 2. SIGNALLING VALUE

  7. GLOBAL INTERDEPENDENCE 1. what causes it? 2. what are the results? 3. has it been increasing? 4. so what?

  8. CAUSES OF INTERDEPENDENCE? 1. Economic Sensitivity Vulnerability 2. Political Cultural Constraints on sovereignty Political groups cross boundaries “Stateless” econ. organisations

  9. Result:“complex interdependence”(vs old Realist world) IO D F B C state 1 state 2 classical Realist international politics interdependence new lines of influence A society 1 society 2 E 1. states 2. means 3. goals

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