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KULIAH KE 3 METODE EKONOMETRIKA

KULIAH KE 3 METODE EKONOMETRIKA. Oleh : Prof. Dr. Ir. Endang Siti Rahayu , MS. TUJUAN. METODE EKONOMETRI. TEORI EKONOMI. SPESIFIKASI Syarat : memilih var , menspesifikasikan hub berdasr teori ekonomi ( atau hipotesis ). LANGKAH 1. Rancangan statistik utk dapatkan DATA. LANGKAH 2.

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KULIAH KE 3 METODE EKONOMETRIKA

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  1. KULIAH KE 3METODE EKONOMETRIKA Oleh : Prof. Dr. Ir. EndangSitiRahayu, MS

  2. TUJUAN

  3. METODE EKONOMETRI

  4. TEORI EKONOMI SPESIFIKASI Syarat : memilihvar, menspesifikasikan hub berdasrteoriekonomi (atauhipotesis) LANGKAH 1 Rancanganstatistikutkdapatkan DATA LANGKAH 2 PENAKSIRAN/ESTIMASI Penaksirmilikisifat : Unbiased, konsisten, efisien & sufficient LANGKAH 3 VERIFIKASI/PENGUJIAN Taksiranekonomithdhasil pd langkah 3. penolakanjkteoritdk valid, buathipotesisbaru & mulailagidrlangkah 1 LANGKAH 4 LANGKAH 5 PENERAPAN/APLIKASI Perolehramalanutkpengambilankeputusan

  5. LANGKAH KE 1 : SPESIFIKASI MODEL

  6. LANGKAH KE 2 :PENAKSIRAN

  7. LANGKAH KE 3

  8. TigakriteriauntukEvaluasipadaTahapPengujian

  9. KRITERIA A-PRIORI EKONOMI

  10. KRITERIA STATISTIK (FIRST ORDER TEST)

  11. KRITERIA EKONOMETRI(Second Order Test)

  12. TIGA UJI DIATAS DISIMPULKAN

  13. LANGKAH KE 4 :PERAMALAN

  14. NEXT …

  15. Terima Kasih

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