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Post-Election Analysis Lowell Joint School District Measure LL – November 6, 2018

This post-election analysis examines the results of Measure LL in the Lowell Joint School District and highlights voter turnout, support by geography, age, and party affiliation, as well as key findings and future efforts.

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Post-Election Analysis Lowell Joint School District Measure LL – November 6, 2018

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  1. Post-ElectionAnalysis Lowell Joint School District Measure LL –November 6, 2018

  2. Measure LL FinalResults • MeasureLLwas1036votesabovethe55% threshold needed towin

  3. Poll vs Final Results for November 2018Election • TheearlypollingconductedbyTrueNorthResearchaccurately predictedthepotentialsupportforMeasureLL • MeasureLLfarsurpassedthe55%thresholdneededtopass which is likely due to effective communication, both in the informationphasefromLJSDandthroughoutthecampaign

  4. Voter & SupporterTurnout • Therewasadrop-offof1,315voters–peoplewhovotedbutnoton MeasureLL–whichisalowerleveldrop-offthanwetypicallysee • Identifiedsupporterturnoutwasalmost20%aboveoverallturnout

  5. Results byGeography • MeasureLLpassedinthecommunitiesofLaHabra,Whittierand intheunincorporatedareassurroundingthosecities

  6. Turnout byAge • Almost1/3ofballotscastwerebyvoters65andolderorthosewho chosenottostatetheirage

  7. Turnout byParty • RepublicanshavearegistrationadvantageintheDistrict • Duetothespreadofpartypreference,supportforMeasureLL hadto bebipartisan

  8. Ballot Returns OverTime 100.0% 100.0% 90.0% 80.0% 70.0% 60.0% 50.0% 40.0% 30.0% %of Ballots Returned 24.1% 20.0% 11.7% 4.5% 13-Oct 20-Oct 27-Oct 3-Nov ElectionDay 10.0% 0.0% • Onlyabout1/3ofballotsweremailedbeforeElectionDay

  9. KeyFindings • Resultstrackedconsistentlywithpolling,whichincludedAB195language • Measure LL won solidly in the areas near the schools, indicating that in additiontotheinformationalmessagingandcampaignmailersthestrong presence of lawn signs and neighborhood walk efforts were successful messagingtechniques • Morethanhalfthevoterswereover55,highlightingtheimportanceof outreach to thosevoters • MeasureLLhadbipartisansupport–somethingthatisincreasingly difficultinthiseraandespeciallyinOrangeCounty • FutureEfforts:Itisimportanttoupdatethecommunityonprogressof thebondandtobetransparentinconsideringallpossibilitiestosecure anynecessaryfundinginthefuture

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