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Closing Remarks

Dr. Louis W. Uccellini President American Meteorological Society 40 th Conference on Broadcast Meteorology Boston, MA August 22, 2012. Closing Remarks. Preparing for the American Meteorological Society Annual Meeting Austin, TX, January 6-10, 2013 . 2013 AMS Annual Meeting theme:

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Closing Remarks

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  1. Dr. Louis W. Uccellini President American Meteorological Society 40th Conference on Broadcast Meteorology Boston, MA August 22, 2012 Closing Remarks

  2. Preparing for the American Meteorological Society Annual Meeting Austin, TX, January 6-10, 2013 • 2013 AMS Annual Meeting theme: • “Taking Predictions to the Next Level: Expanding Beyond Today’s Weather, Water and Climate Forecasts and Projections” • Designed to build off interdisciplinary partnerships • Applications include coastal, health vectors, ecosystem prediction • An important developing partnership involving the atmospheric-ocean sciences-bio/chem communities • Completing the “last mile” to expand beyond today’s forecasts points to a physical science-social science intersection/overlap, especially for mitigation and adaptation  Decision Support and Services • Need to keep academic/research communities fully engaged with the AMS • Sessions designed to support K-12 science goals (STEM) at Teacher Workshops

  3. 2013 Annual Meeting Emphasis is on Earth System Science Approach • Themed Joint Sessions highlighting advancing predictive capabilities across many disciplines and applications, including • Climate Trends and Projections in the Coastal Environment • Economic Impacts and Value of Improved Forecast Information • Drought Prediction and Applications from a Hydrological Science Perspective • Ocean, Atmosphere, Hydrosphere, and Land Surface Interaction in the Coastal Environment • Water, Food Security, and Human Health • Town Hall Meetings, including • Keeping the Lights On: Is the Current State of Weather Communications and Forecasts Powerful Enough? • Improving Forecasts and Warnings Through Social Science Partnerships • National Climate Assessment: Further Defining Actionable Information • Presidential Forum speakers • Dr. Alan Thorpe, Director-General, ECMWF • Dr. Tony Hey, VP Microsoft Research • Major General Michael Walsh, Deputy Commanding General for Civil and Emergency Operations, United States Army Corps of Engineers • Mr. Nigel Snoad, Product Manager for Google Crisis Response

  4. Short CoursesJanuary 6, 2013 • Ten Short Courses Scheduled, among them • AMS Short Course on Space Weather • Aimed at all who desire an understanding of space weather and its associated impacts in order to better communicate space weather information to their audience • AMS Short Course on Aviation Weather—A User and Provider Perspective • Will provide a fundamental understanding of the end-to-end pathway of weather data and information critical to pilots’ decisions from the perspectives of both forecasters and aviation weather researchers. For more info see http://annual.ametsoc.org/2013/ index.cfm/programs-and-events/short-courses/

  5. NOAA Center for Weather and Climate Prediction • Four-story, 268,762 square foot building in Riverdale, MD housing 800+ Federal employees, and contractors • 5 NCEP Centers (NCO, EMC, HPC, OPC, CPC) • NESDIS Center for Satellite Applications and Research (STAR) • NESDIS Satellite Analysis Branch (SAB) • OAR Air Resources Laboratory • Includes 40 spaces for visiting scientists • Includes 464 seat auditorium/ conference center, library, deli, fitness center and health unit

  6. Configuration Comparison Between Climate Forecast System (CFS) v1 and CFS v2

  7. Include Impacts of Changing Climate InWeather and Seasonal Forecasts Investigation of ISI-Decadal linkages CFS capability to recreate decadal temperature trend

  8. NOAA’s Model Production Suite Oceans HYCOM WaveWatch III Forecast • NOS – OFS • Great Lakes • Northern Gulf of Mexico • Bays • Chesapeake • Tampa • Delaware Climate Forecast System Hurricane GFDL HWRF Coupled GFSMOM4 NOAH Sea Ice ~2B Obs/Day Satellites + Radar 99.9% Dispersion ARL/HYSPLIT Regional NAM WRF NMM Regional DA Global Forecast System Global Data Assimilation Severe Weather WRF NMM/ARW Workstation WRF Short-Range Ensemble Forecast Space Weather North American Ensemble Forecast System Regional DA WRF: ARW, NMM ETA, RSM Air Quality GFS, Canadian Global Model ENLIL NAM/CMAQ Rapid Refresh for Aviation 8 8 NOAH Land Surface Model

  9. Data Latency Issue • The data wait time is driven principally by the satellite “latency” from polar orbiters. Morning News Evening News Late Night News Data Wait Time GFS Model Runtimes 2.75 hrs 2.75 hrs 2.75 hrs 2.75 hrs 24Z OOZ O6Z 18Z 12Z

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