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D-MTEC, Chair of Technology and Innovation Management Management of disputed technologies. serec swiss electromagnetics research & engineering centre ETH Zürich, HG F5 21. Dezember 2009 Prof. Dr. Roman Boutellier Vizepräsident für Personal & Ressourcen ETH Zürich. R. Boutellier.
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D-MTEC, Chair of Technology and Innovation ManagementManagement of disputed technologies serec swisselectromagnetics research & engineering centre ETH Zürich, HG F5 21. Dezember 2009 Prof. Dr. Roman Boutellier Vizepräsident für Personal & Ressourcen ETH Zürich R. Boutellier 33204d
Heavy smoking: Risk or opportunity? Heavy smokers Overestimate risk: Reduction of life expectation 9 years (statistics: 6 years) Live happier Increase of life expectation 6 years Winston Churchill 1874 - 1965 R. Boutellier 32502e
Asbestos in United KingdomDelay of 50 years between cause and effect: No theory 1989: EPA ban on most products Gee et al. (2001) R. Boutellier 31343e
Trade-off: Benefits – Dangers, no overreaction please http://www.eurochlor.org/chlorine/reviews/2004/A809-02.htm R. Boutellier 31348e
Scientific results depend on who pays! Estrogenic activity of Bisphenol A mentioned in 1936: 21 years prior to first industrial application “Are low doses of Bisphenol A harmful?” Uncertainty Analysis: vom Saal, 2005 R. Boutellier 31354e
Absence of evidence is not evidence of absenceTrust makes the difference Credibility of respondents attributed to different information channels n = 1321 ETH students, 2007 R. Boutellier 32795e
WCT users have problems with antennas 8 accept mobile communication antennas on their sites Some do not accept: reputational risks 4 report internal discussions about antennas Visibility is important GSM-antenna railway station Chur n = 21 Companies, 2007/2008 R. Boutellier 32805e
A single photograph may have done more to halt Vietnam war than all the writings of moral philosophers • Vietnam War • 1954 – 1975 • 2 million civilians • 1 million Viet Cong fighters • 200 000 South Vietnamese soldiers • 57 939 US soldiers Public perception Hung Cong Ut, Accidental Napalm Attack, Vietnam, 1972 R. Boutellier 32247e