1 / 22

Preliminary, Tentative Results of Questionable Value

Preliminary, Tentative Results of Questionable Value. by No-one who wants to be Identified. Preliminary analysis of T1279 2013 simulations of SST, soil wetness, precipitation and surface temperature. Fennessy, Cash, Manganello , Dirmeyer , Kinter, Altshuler , ECMWF.

hayley
Télécharger la présentation

Preliminary, Tentative Results of Questionable Value

An Image/Link below is provided (as is) to download presentation Download Policy: Content on the Website is provided to you AS IS for your information and personal use and may not be sold / licensed / shared on other websites without getting consent from its author. Content is provided to you AS IS for your information and personal use only. Download presentation by click this link. While downloading, if for some reason you are not able to download a presentation, the publisher may have deleted the file from their server. During download, if you can't get a presentation, the file might be deleted by the publisher.

E N D

Presentation Transcript

  1. Preliminary, Tentative Results of Questionable Value by No-one who wants to be Identified

  2. Preliminary analysis of T1279 2013 simulations of SST, soil wetness, precipitation and surface temperature Fennessy, Cash, Manganello, Dirmeyer, Kinter, Altshuler, ECMWF

  3. T1279 7-Month Simulations:12 Year Model Climatology:01 May 2000,2001,…,2011 -15 Members2013: 01 May 2013 – 2 Members (thus far)Focus on North American Dry/Wet Pattern- Especially possible forcing mechanisms

  4. TENTATIVE Summary Regarding the Spring-summer 2013 North American Precip/TSfc, preliminary (ENS=2) MINERVA T1279 MJJA 2013 Simulations have: • Reasonable SST Forcing upstream versus OBS ? • Reasonable SWET Forcing locally versus OBS ? • Possible Impact of SST requires further investigation into teleconnection mechanisms. • Local evaporation anomalies imply Impact of local SWET • Dry West / Wet East Precip pattern roughly simulated • Hot West / Cold East TSfcpattern roughly simulated • Larger Ensemble and further analysis required

More Related