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Climatic changes and evaluation of their effects on agriculture in Asian monsoon region (CAAM)

The First International Workshop of CAAM 3-5 March 2012. Climatic changes and evaluation of their effects on agriculture in Asian monsoon region (CAAM). Project leader: Prof . Masaru Mizoguchi Department of Global Agricultural Science The University of Tokyo. What is CAAM Project?.

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Climatic changes and evaluation of their effects on agriculture in Asian monsoon region (CAAM)

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  1. The First International Workshop of CAAM 3-5 March 2012 Climatic changes and evaluation of their effects on agriculture in Asian monsoon region (CAAM) Project leader: Prof. Masaru Mizoguchi Department of Global Agricultural Science The University of Tokyo

  2. What is CAAM Project? • under the research framework of the Green Network of Excellence (GRENE) • One of 7 selected-projects • Biodiversity, Climate, Land, Water, Agriculture, Health, DIAS • from 2011 to 2015 (by the end of March 2016) • supported by the Japanese Ministry of Education, Culture, Sports, Science and Technology (MEXT)

  3. Budget in 5 years • (2011) 63 Million JPY • (2012) 54 Million JPY • (2013) 50 Million JPY (hopefully) • (2014) 50 Million JPY (hopefully) • (2015) 50 Million JPY (hopefully) • (Total)Approx. 267 Million JPY

  4. Objective of this workshop • To discuss our research implementation and collaboration in each country • by exchanging present research activities related with CAAM project • To make short presentation • about research activities on the related topic and expectation for CAAM project.

  5. Background • Asian monsoon region • Large population (more than 60 % in the world) • Many agricultural countries • Rapid development • Rapid change in land use • Need for adaptation and mitigation strategies in agriculture • against the predicted climatic changes • Control of GHG from agricultural fields • Problem • Lack of agro-meteorological and climatological data-bases

  6. Research plan

  7. Project aims • To improve the reliability of future climate prediction • To develop the information platform • which will be useful to design adaptation and mitigation strategies in agriculture • against the predicted climatic changes in Asian monsoon region

  8. Research targets • Development of agro-meteorological and climatological data-bases • Evaluation of land surface conditions on climate • Elucidation of the effects of climatic changes on major crops • Development of the information platform to design adaptation and mitigation strategies of major crops against the predicted climatic changes • in Asian monsoon region

  9. Objectives • Development of information system on agrometeorologicaland climatological data in Asian monsoon region • that can be utilized in DIAS (Data Integration and Analysis System) • Evaluation of land surface conditions on climate characteristic in Asian monsoon region • by utilizing climate model outputs available in DIAS

  10. Objectives • Elucidation of climate changes on major crops in Asian monsoon region • by field surveys and development of evaluation system utilizing meteorological data and crop models • Development of information platform to design adaptation strategies of major crops • against the predicted climatic changes • to evaluate the mitigation potential • by reducing green house gasses from agricultural sector in Asian monsoon region

  11. Planned benefits • Development of information platform on climate changes, land use, and agro-meteorology, • that on the prediction of major crops against the predicted climatic changes for designing adaptation and mitigation strategies in Asian monsoon region • Education of young scientists in Asian developing countries who will lead researches on • adaptation and mitigation strategies against the future climatic changes • development of regional collaboration network by them

  12. Planned benefits • Development of research platform • for adaptation and mitigation policies in Asian agricultural sector • against the future global warming in the coming post-Kyoto Protocol period

  13. Members • Climate change research team 1 (CCR-1) • Department of Geography, Tokyo Metropolitan University (GEO-TMU) • Leader: Dr. Hiroshi G. Takahashi • Member: IkumiAkasaka • Climate change research team 2 (CCR-2) • Research Institute for Global Change, Japan Marine-Earth Science and Technology (RIGC-JMSTEC) • Leader: Prof. Jun Matsumoto • Members: Shin-yaOgino, Nobuhiko Endo, Hisayuki Kubota, Shuichi Mori

  14. Members • Agricultural effect research team 1 (AER-1) • Department of Global Agricultural Science, The University of Tokyo (GAS-UT) • Leader: Prof. Masaru Mizoguchi • Members: Seishi Ninomiya, Kazuhiko Kobayashi • Agricultural effect research team 2 (AER-2) • National Agricultural Research Center, National Agriculture and Food Research Organization (NARC-NARO) • Leader: Dr. Kei Tanaka • Members: TakujiKiura, HiroeYoshida

  15. Members • Agricultural effect research team 3 (AER-3) • National Institute for Agro-Environmental Sciences • Leader: Dr. Tsuneo Kuwagata • Members: ShigetoSudo, Yusuke Takada, Kazunori Minamikawa

  16. Development of Agro-climatological Data-base in the Developing Countries in Asian Monsoon Region (Climate Change Research Team 1: CCR-1)(JAMSTEC) Overseas collaborating institutes Collection and digitization of agro-meteorological and climate data Special obs. solar radiation longwave radiation Routine obs. duration of sunshine, temperature, humidity, wind speed, rainfall 2011 - 2012 Improvement of surface water and energy budget model and calculation of agro-meteorological elements 2012 -2013 In-situ observation (Vietnam, Philippines) Comparisons 2012 - 2013 Formulae Development of station-based and gridded database 2013 - 2014 Calculation CCR2 Scenario data of agro-climatic conditions from AER1, 2 Estimated values solar radiation longwave radiation potential evapotranspiration climatic wetness Completion and opening of the agro-climate database 2014 - 2015 DIAS

  17. 2) Impact of Land-Use/Land-Cover (LULC) Changes on the Asian Monsoon Climate-Land-Atmosphere Interaction Study-(Climate Change Research Team 2: CCR-2)(Tokyo Metropolitan University) Long-term changes in Rainfall over 40 years in May Long-term changes in rainfall (inter-comparison of several rainfall datasets) 2011 - 2012 ＋ ー Meteorological data from CCR1 Boundary condition datasets for climate simulation (soil moisture etc.) 2012 - 2013 Takahashi (2011) Rainfall Change due to land use change Meteorological data from AER2,3 Inter-comparison of CMIP3/5 in terms of Land-Atmospheric interaction. 2013-2014 ＋ DIAS ー Impact of LULC changes on Asian monsoon climate using regional climate model 2014-2015 Takahashi et al. (2010)

  18. 3) Climatic Changes and Evaluation of Their Effects on Agriculture in Asian Monsoon Region Based on a Field Survey -Validation of evaluation system by field survey - (Agricultural Effect Research Team 1: AER-1) (Univ. of Tokyo) Presets for joint research (Thailand, Indonesia) 2011 Cropping survey and understand their characteristics 2012- 2013 rice cassava spinach Spinach field Rain-fed rice field Examination of potential cultivation by crop models Possible cultivation test for suitable crop system CCR-1 2013 - 2014 Cassava field AER-3 AER-2 Development of infrastructure for Web applications use 2015 Simulator for Cultivation Possibility of Rice

  19. 4) Climatic Changes and Evaluation of Their Effects on Agriculture in Asian Monsoon Region Based on a Field Survey- Construction of an Assessment System Using Meteorological Data and Crop Models -(Agricultural Effect Research Team 2: AER-2)(NARO) Existing Results 2011 - 2012 Collecting crop models & params. （for Asian Monsoon Region） • Clop models • Webapplications • Framework for developing applications Rice Cultivar A Rice Cultivar B ・・・ Spinach Cassava ・・・ Rain Fed Rice Field Rice cultivation possibility prediction tool 2012 Implementing cultivation simulators with flexibility which can exchange a crop model Improvement of the framework Simulator execution 　　　　　　↓ Climate change evaluation 2013 - 2014 Results of Climate Change ResearchMeteorological Data+ Climate Change Coef. Verification Correction Improvement of simulators 2015 Implementing web applications → Deploying to DIAS

  20. 5) Development of Information Platform to Design Adaptation and Mitigation Strategies of Major Crops against the Predicted Climatic Changes in Asian Monsoon Region(Agricultural Effect Research Team 3:AER-3) (NIAES) CCR-1 CCR-2 AER-1, 2 Measurement of greenhouse gas emissions from cropland Foreign Institutes for joint research 2011 - 2014 Collecting data of meteorology, soil, land cover and agriculture 2011 - 2014 Evaluation of soil temperature and moisture of cropland 2012 - 2014 Rice field Compilation of agro-climate change scenarios 2014 Database for planning adaptation and mitigation strategies Development of information platform for adaptation and mitigation strategies 2015

  21. ありがとうございましたขอบคุณคุณTerima kasihsalamat sa inyoCảm ơn bạn谢谢Thank you

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