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Forecasting Visibility

This discussion highlights advanced methods for forecasting visibility using sensors that measure Rayleigh and Mie scattering from a xenon flash light source. It emphasizes the importance of offshore flow in enhancing visibility, particularly in the context of radiation fog. The forecast indicates possible MVFR conditions overnight, predominantly influenced by a northwest flow, while addressing the challenges posed by dust storms and varying fog densities in different geographical regions. The findings suggest that environmental factors, like grazing and vehicle activity, contribute to increased dust storm occurrences.

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Forecasting Visibility

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  1. Forecasting Visibility

  2. ASOS Visibility Sensor • Uses Xenon flash light source and then measures how much light is scatttered into sensor

  3. Rayleigh Scattering Mie Scattering

  4. Offshore Flow and Enhanced Visibility

  5. Radiation Fog

  6. Radiation Fog From Above

  7. 000 FXUS62 KGSP 131857 AFDGSP AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC 253 PM EDT THU APR 13 2006 .SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/... NORTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT WILL REMAIN OVER THE AREA THRU FRIDAY. …. THERE IS THE POSSIBILITY THAT KAND/KCLT COULD HAVE A BRIEF PERIOD OF MVFR FOG AROUND SUNRISE FRI GIVEN THE FORECAST HYDROLAPSE. HOWEVER CROSSOVER TEMPS ARE WELL BELOW FORECAST LOW TEMPS...THEREFORE WILL LEAVE OUT FOR NOW. CANNOT RULE OUT SOME VFR CEILINGS FROM TIME TO TIME...BUT CHANCE NOT HIGH ENOUGH TO INCLUDE AT THIS TIME. && .GSP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... GA...NONE. NC...NONE. SC...NONE. && $$ SHORT TERM...RWH/CSH LONG TERM...CSH AVIATION...RWH

  8. Advection Fog

  9. Upslope Fog

  10. Upslope Fog: Snoqualmie Pass

  11. Steam Fog

  12. The annual variation can be different in other locations • Where advection fog is dominant often max in late spring/summer. Like coastal CA!

  13. Why is VERY Dense Fog often a good sign?

  14. Duststorms: An increasing forecasting problem

  15. Dust/sand storms • Often associated with strong cold fronts or the outflow from strong convection. • Minimum wind speed threshold depends on characteristics of surface (fine dust easier to loft than large sand particles).

  16. April 21, 1931: The Biggest Duststorm in NW History

  17. Why increasing? • Drier conditions in western U.S • More disturbance of soils—more grazing, more off-road vehicles, more mountain biking, more exploration for oil and another resources. • More dust coming from Asia.

  18. Phoenix Dust Storm

  19. LA Smog

  20. The END

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