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Enhancing Military and Civil Planning through AI Technologies: Case Studies and Future Directions

This report explores the integration of AI planning technologies in military and civil applications. It provides three case studies: Coalition/Joint Planning, Civil Emergency Planning, and Integrated Planning & Simulation. The document highlights the complex challenges faced in crisis management and collaborative response efforts, illustrating how AI can enhance decision-making, assist in planning processes, and optimize operations. By focusing on dynamic replanning capabilities and integrating technology with human expertise, it aims to support more accurate and robust planning for future crises.

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Enhancing Military and Civil Planning through AI Technologies: Case Studies and Future Directions

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  1. Information & Decision SuperiorityCase studies in applying AI planning technologies to military & civil applications Dr Roberto Desimone Innovations Manager Knowledge & Information Systems Division

  2. Non-MoD Solutions Customers MoD Solutions Customers Defence Solutions Division Specialised Channels Through Life Services Division Technology Ventures Fund Sensors & Electronics Division Knowledge & Information Systems Division Equity investors Managed Service Customers Estates Division QinetiQ Structure - designed to extract value from core technology Future Systems Technology Division

  3. Contents 1 Problem domain - military & civil 2 Case Study 1: Coalition/Joint Planning 3 Case Study 2: Civil Emergency Planning 4 Case Study 3: Integrated Planning & Simulation 5 Future research, applications & exploitation

  4. Problem Domain - Military & Civil • Complex planning tasks in support of major crises • Facilitating collaboration between multi-agency teams • Assisting response co-ordination & controlling operations • Auditing plans to comply with regulations & policy • Training and learning from responses to major crises • Providing planning aid support to assist decision-making • Help manage planning process in dynamic manner ... above all, support human planners in developing more accurate, consistent, timely, robust plans

  5. Case 1 - Coalition/Joint Planning Aids • Examine how planning aids can support co-ordinating and integrating coalition/joint operations planning tasks • Capitalise on planning languages for capturing coalition/joint military doctrine and for recording planning decisions and lessons learned • Explore the integration of planning aids with operational C2 systems & develop insertion strategy into future UK/Coalition C2 systems ... above all, support coalition operations planners in developing more accurate, consistent, timely, robust COAs, plan guidance & command directives for lower echelons

  6. Key Capabilities - Planning Aids • Recording coalition planning decisions & intentions • Determining feasible COAs, coalition and support forces • Resolving resource conflicts & plan inconsistencies • Browsing current & past COAs in multiple contexts • Provide collaborative & dynamic replanning capability Generate and validate coalition plans reflecting roles, tasks, resources of coalition partners in achieving overall mission/campaign objectives

  7. Guiding plan choices Recording plan rationale direct match J2 Intelligence Info J3 Operations Constraints J1 ORBAT Info J6 Comms & IS Constraints J4 Logistics Constraints Plan Fragment Library J5/9 Political Constraints Hierarchical plan development Supporting COA generation

  8. Case 2 - Civil Emergency Planning • Decision support for the emergency planning process • Focussed at strategic (Gold) & tactical (Silver) command levels • Planning, preparing for and preventing major incidents • Co-ordinating responses & controlling operations • Documenting & investigating accidents and responses • Training and learning from responses to major crises • Potential End-users • Emergency Services • Local authorities • Government & Regulatory Agencies • Industry & Commerce …. help manage planning process in dynamic manner, rather than just provide access to relevant information

  9. Simulations Simulations Planners Planners Shared Architecture/ Coupling Query and Data Manager Case 3 - Integrating Planning & Simulation Currently Databases Databases INTERFACE INTERFACE Planning Architecture Simulation Architecture

  10. results Simulations Query & Data Manager results Planners sets up initiates • PLAN QUERY • SOURCES • QUERY TYPE • METRICS • CONSTRAINTS • SIM QUERY • STARTING CONDITIONS • SIMULATION CONTROL Mapping Query details Data Query & data Queries - The basis of communication

  11. QDM Prescripted Sim Query Database Generic Sim Query Database S I M U L A T O R P L A N N E R Plan Query Manager Simulation Script Matcher/Retriever Sim Query Enactor Complex Query Composer Data + Requests Query & Data Manager

  12. Future research, applications & exploitation Medium & Long-term research • Facilitating semantic interoperability through explicit planning & command decision languages • Interleaving planning & simulation to optimise decisions and to support mission rehearsal & training • Natural language interfaces to planners to support coalition/joint operations • Highlighting uncertainty & plan robustness measures to support risk management Short-term applications & exploitation • Technology insertion of planning aids into operational military C2 systems • Transition of AI planning & scheduling technology into wider civil commercial products … provide assisted dynamic replanning capability in response to rapidly changing events

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