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2013 ATLANTIC BASIN HURRICANE SEASON June 1 – December 30

2013 ATLANTIC BASIN HURRICANE SEASON June 1 – December 30. Walter Hays, Global Alliance for Disaster Reduction, Vienna, Virginia, USA . OVER 100 YEARS OF HISTORY: ATLANTIC AND PACIFIC BASINS. Storm Hazards: Wind pressure Surge Rain Flood Waves Salt water Missiles Tornadoes.

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2013 ATLANTIC BASIN HURRICANE SEASON June 1 – December 30

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  1. 2013 ATLANTIC BASIN HURRICANE SEASONJune 1 – December 30 Walter Hays, Global Alliance for Disaster Reduction, Vienna, Virginia, USA 

  2. OVER 100 YEARS OF HISTORY: ATLANTIC AND PACIFIC BASINS

  3. Storm Hazards: • Wind pressure • Surge • Rain • Flood • Waves • Salt water • Missiles • Tornadoes • SEVERE WINDSTORMS • INVENTORY • VULNERABILITY • LOCATION • PREPAREDNESS • PROTECTION • EARLY WARNING • EMERGENCY RESPONSE • RECOVERY and • RECONSTRUCTION RISK ASSESSMENT POLICY OPTIONS ACCEPTABLE RISK RISK UNACCEPTABLE RISK SEVERE WINDSTORM DISASTER RESILIENCE Wind profile DATA BASES AND INFORMATION Gradient Wind Ocean COMMUNITY

  4. PRE-SEASONFORECAST OF THE NATIONAL OCEANIC AND ATMOSPHERIC ADMINISTRATION FORECAST: 13-20 NAMED STORMS WITH 7-10 BECOMING HURRICANES

  5. STORM NAMES 2013 SEASON

  6. CHRONOLOGY OF 2013’s STORMS • ANDREA - Tropical Storm; June 5 • BARRY - Tropical Storm; June 19 • CHANTAL – Tropical Storm; July 7 • DORIAN – Tropical Storm; July 22 • ERIN – Tropical Storm; August 14 • FERNAND –Trop. Storm; August 16 • GABRIELLE – Trop. Storm; Aug. 25

  7. CHRONOLOGY OF 2013’S STORMS • HUMBERTO – Hurricane; Sept 10 • INGRID – Hurricane; Sept. 13 • JERRY – Tropical storm; Sept. 30 • KAREN – Tropical storm; Oct. 3 • LORENZO – • MELISSA – • NESTOR –

  8. CHRONOLOGY OF 2013’S STORMS • OLGA – • PABLO – • REBEKAH – • SEBASTIEN – • TANYA – • VAN -- • WENDY --

  9. STORM TRACKS OF ANDREA, BARRY, CHANTAL, AND DORIAN

  10. TROPICAL STORM ANDREA ---FIRST STORM OF 2013 SEASONA Rain Maker

  11. ANDREA: JUNE 5, 2013

  12. ANDREA’S IMPACTS • The precursor to Andrea dropped nearly 12 inches (300 mm) of rainfall in the Yucatán Peninsula. • In Cuba, the storm brought flooding, especially in the Pinar del Rio Province, and over 1,000 people fled their homes, mainly along the Cuyaguateje River. .

  13. ANDREA’S IMPACTS • In Florida, the storm brought heavy rainfall that caused localized flooding and five tornadoes that downed power lines and trees and caused significant roof damage. • As Andrea died, heavy rains occurred in the Eastern United States and Atlantic Canada, causing flooding in Nova Scotia. • .

  14. TROPICAL STORM BARRY ---SECOND STORM OF 2013 SEASONA Rain Maker and Power Disupter

  15. BARRY: JUNE 19, 2013

  16. BARRY’S IMPACTS • In the Mexican state of Yucatan, wind gusted up to 48 mph (77 km/h) and heavy rains downed trees and power lines; more than 26,000 residents lost power after lightning struck a nearby power station and caused a fire. • El Salvador experienced flooding.

  17. BARRY’S IMPACTS • Heavy rains in Honduras triggered flooding that damaged 60 homes and affected 300 people. • In southern Belize, an estimated 10 in (250 mm) of rain fell in 24 hours, causing several rivers to over-top their banks and some to evacuate.]

  18. TROPICAL STORM CHANTAL ---THIRD STORM OF 2013 SEASONA Rain Maker

  19. TROPICAL STORM CHANTAL: JULY 8, 2013

  20. A tropical storm warning was issued for Puerto Rico, Barbados, Dominica, Saint Lucia, Martinique, Guadeloupe, and Miami. July 8th

  21. CHANTAL’S IMPACTS • Chantal produced heavy rainfall in Hispaniola, forcing thousands to evacuate their homes. • In the Dominican Republic, flooding from the storm killed one person in Maimon.1]

  22. TROPICAL STORM DORIAN ---FOURTH STORM OF 2013 SEASONRain in florida was Most Notable Impact

  23. DORIAN

  24. TROPICAL STORM ERIN ---FIFTH STORM OF 2013 SEASONA Short Lived Storm With no Notable Impact

  25. TROPICAL STORM ERIN

  26. TROPICAL STORM FERDNAND ---SIXTH STORM OF 2013 SEASON Tropical Storm Ferdnand brought heavy rainfall near Veracruz, killing fourteen

  27. FERDNANDAUGUST 16, 2013

  28. AUGUST 16thREVISED FORECAST OF THE NATIONAL OCEANIC AND ATMOSPHERIC ADMINISTRATION FORECAST: STILL AN ABOVE NOMAL SEASON, BUT ONLY 3 TO 5 MAJOR HURRICANES

  29. TROPICAL STORM GABRIELLE ---SEVENTH STORM OF 2013 SEASONNo Notable Impacts

  30. GABRIELLE

  31. ACTUAL STORM TRACKS AS OF SEPTEMBER 15, 2013

  32. SEPTEMBER 9th“2013 SEASON MAY GO IN THE RECORD BOOKS AS A “DUD””

  33. REASONS FOR A SLOWLY DEVELOPING SEASON

  34. REASONS FOR A SLOWLY DEVELOPING SEASON • "A large area of high pressure over the central Atlantic has been very strong and very good at driving dry air southward into the tropics into September." • Generally it is easier for tropical storms to form and tropical storms to streng-then into hurricanes when an un-obstructed supply of moisture available

  35. REASONS FOR A SLOWLY DEVELOPING SEASON • Frequent surges of wind shear [disruptive winds at mid-levels of the atmosphere] have occurred during the 2013 season. • Wind shear tends to disrupt the circulation around a developing system, shearing off the top of the system or causing it to be very lop-sided.

  36. TROPICAL STORM HUMBERTO ---EIGHTH STORM OF 2013 SEASONBecame Season’s 1st Hurricane DISSIPATED QUICKLY DUE TO VERTICAL SHEAR IN ATMOSPHERE

  37. HUMBERTO: SEPTEMBER 9-11, 2013

  38. TROPICAL STORM INGRID ---NINTH STORM OF 2013 SEASONBecame Season’s 2nd HurricaneSeptember 13 A RAINMAKER IN MEXICO THAT CAUSED DEATHS

  39. INGRID: NEADED FOR MEXICO SEPTEMBER 13, 2013

  40. TROPICAL STORM JERRY ---TENTH STORM OF 2013 SEASONSeptember 30 DIED BEFORE IT COULD DO ANYTHING

  41. TROPICAL STORM KAREN ---ELVENTH STORM OF 2013 SEASONOctober 3 EXPECTED TO BE A RAINMAKER IN THE USA

  42. KAREN: HEADED FOR USA LANDFALL: OCT. 3, 2013

  43. KAREN: FAVORABLE FACTORS: OCT. 3-5, 2013

  44. LOOKING BACK AT 2012

  45. 2012’s ACTUAL STORMS EXCEEDED THE FORECAST FORECAST: 15 NAMED STORMS WITH 4-8 BECOMING HURRICANES

  46. ACTUAL: TWENTY NAMED STORMS; 10 HURRICANES

  47. NAMED STORMS IN 2012 • ALBERTO - Tropical storm; May 19 • BERYL - Tropical storm; May 27 • CHRIS – Hurricane; June 21 • DEBBY – Tropical storm; June 23 • ERNESTO –Hurricane; Aug 3 • FLORENCE –Tropical storm: Aug 5 • GORDON –Hurricane, August 16

  48. NAMED STORMS FOR 2012 • HELENE –Tropical Storm, Aug. 19 • ISAAC – Hurricane, August 21 • JOYCE –Tropical Storm, Aug. 25 • KIRK –Tropical Storm. Aug. 27 • LESLIE –Hurricane, Sept. 5 • MICHAEL –Hurricane, Sept. 5 • NADINE – Hurricane, Sept. 12

  49. NAMED STORMS IN 2012 • OSCAR – Tropical Storm; Oct. 4 • PATTY – Tropical Storm; Oct. 11 • RAFAEL – Hurricane; October 12 • SANDY– A Super Hurricane; October 22 • TONY – Tropical Storm; Oct. 24

  50. SANDY: A $300 BILLION STORM; OCTOBER 24, 2012 Sandy, 2012’s ninth hurricane, became a huge storm with wind and rain bands reaching out 500 km or more from the storm center, producing 15-50 cm of rain and flooding in Jamaica, Bermuda, Haiti, Dominican Republic, Cuba, New Jersey, and New York

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