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This report from Hans Timmer presents an in-depth analysis of global inflation trends as of June 2008, focusing on high-income and developing countries. It explores percentage changes in inflation rates, the prevalence of double-digit inflation in developing regions, and correlates these trends with real GDP growth and commodity price fluctuations. Key findings highlight significant inflationary pressures in both categories, with particular emphasis on Asian developing nations. The report uses data from the World Bank to provide a comprehensive overview of the economic situation.
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Global inflation Hans Timmer GDLN June 4, 2008
Inflation in high-income countriespercentage change, 5-yr moving average, GDP weighted Source: World Bank
Inflation in developing countriespercentage change, 5-yr moving average, median Source: World Bank
Percentage of developing countries with double-digit inflationpercentage in all developing countries Source: World Bank
Inflation in developing countriespercentage change, 5-yr moving average, median LMIC median inflation LMIC real GDP growth (right) Source: World Bank
Inflation in developing countriespercentage change, 5-yr moving average, median LMIC median inflation LMIC real GDP growth (right) Source: World Bank
Inflation in Asian developing countriespercentage change, 5-yr moving average, median Source: World Bank
Percentage of Asian developing countries with double-digit inflationpercentage in all Asian developing countries Source: World Bank
Real GDP growth, 1980 to 2010percentage change Developing countries High-income countries Source: World Bank
Global IP and metals pricespercentage change, year over year Global IP Metal Price (right) Source: World Bank
Global IP and GDPannual global growth in deviation of period average (%) Global IP Global GDP (right) Source: World Bank
Metals and oil use Percent of global GDP Metals Source: World bank
Metals and oil use Percent of global GDP Metals (left) Oil (right) Source: World bank
Commodity price inflation and domestic inflationPercentage change, median of all developing countries Commodity price inflation (left axis) Source: World Bank
Commodity price inflation and domestic inflationPercentage change, median of all developing countries Commodity price inflation (left axis) Domestic inflation (GDP deflator, right axis) Source: World Bank
World crude oil price U.S.$ per barrel Jun 05- Jan. 07
Internationally traded food prices Indices, 2000=100 Nominal US dollars Real, i.e. relative to developing countries’ CPI Source: World Bank
Prices of imported and domestic foodpercentage change in local currencies since January 2006 Regional price of imported food Domestic food price Source: World Bank
East Asia grain demand (w/China) rolling 5 yr growth rate Feed Total consumption
India grain & feed demand rolling 5 yr growth rate Feed Total consumption
Rising inflation CPI, Median developing countries, percent change year-over-year Source: World Bank, GEM database
Global inflation Hans Timmer GDLN June 4, 2008