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PROJECT ENVIRONMENTAL AND LIFE CYCLE COST DRIVERS BASED AROUND MARINE VEHICLE CONCEPT DESIGN

PROJECT ENVIRONMENTAL AND LIFE CYCLE COST DRIVERS BASED AROUND MARINE VEHICLE CONCEPT DESIGN. Presentation. Environmental Concern or Maybe Not Whole Life Costing Environmental Drivers Life Cycle Analysis Tools Future Upgrading Considerations Risk Assessment and Safety Case Consideration

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PROJECT ENVIRONMENTAL AND LIFE CYCLE COST DRIVERS BASED AROUND MARINE VEHICLE CONCEPT DESIGN

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  1. PROJECT ENVIRONMENTAL AND LIFE CYCLE COST DRIVERS • BASED AROUND MARINE VEHICLE CONCEPT DESIGN ENGM91 ENVIRONMENTAL and LIFE CYCLE COST DRIVERS

  2. Presentation • Environmental Concern or Maybe Not • Whole Life Costing • Environmental Drivers • Life Cycle Analysis Tools • Future Upgrading Considerations • Risk Assessment and Safety Case Consideration • Whole Life Analysis and Costing • Conclusions and Discussion ENGM91 ENVIRONMENTAL and LIFE CYCLE COST DRIVERS

  3. Environmental Concern or Maybe Not ENGM91 ENVIRONMENTAL and LIFE CYCLE COST DRIVERS

  4. Environmental Concern or Maybe Not ENGM91 ENVIRONMENTAL and LIFE CYCLE COST DRIVERS

  5. Environmental Concern or Maybe Not ENGM91 ENVIRONMENTAL and LIFE CYCLE COST DRIVERS

  6. Environmental Concern or Maybe Not ENGM91 ENVIRONMENTAL and LIFE CYCLE COST DRIVERS

  7. Environmental Concern or Maybe Not • Effective EIA that is acted on is required • Some companies want conclusive proofbefore they will act • Others will act on the balance of probability • World-wide trend is towards developing more environmentally friendly working practices Need for concept design tools to handle: through life costing environmental drivers • Disaster provokes action or often just talk of action ENGM91 ENVIRONMENTAL and LIFE CYCLE COST DRIVERS

  8. Positive Cash Flows Product Price Product Throughput GrantsandSubsidies TaxCredits AssetSales Sales Revenue Annual Net Cash Flows NPV CapitalCosts Initial SparesCosts OperatingCosts EnergyCosts M & RCosts Down-timeCosts MajorUpdateCosts Environ-mentalCosts DisposalCosts Negative Cash Flows Whole Life Costing ENGM91 ENVIRONMENTAL and LIFE CYCLE COST DRIVERS

  9. Product Price Product Throughput GrantsandSubsidies TaxCredits AssetSales Sales Revenue Annual Net Cash Flows Whole Life Costing Positive Cash Flows – Typical Commercial Negative Cash Flows ENGM91 ENVIRONMENTAL and LIFE CYCLE COST DRIVERS

  10. Asset Sales Treasury Annual Net Cash Flows Whole Life Costing Positive Cash Flows - Governmental Negative Cash Flows ENGM91 ENVIRONMENTAL and LIFE CYCLE COST DRIVERS

  11. Asset Lease (Treasury) Asset Availability GrantsandSubsidies TaxCredits AssetSales Lease Revenue Annual Net Cash Flows NPV CapitalCosts Initial SparesCosts OperatingCosts EnergyCosts M & RCosts Down-timeCosts MajorUpdateCosts Environ-mentalCosts DisposalCosts Whole Life Costing Positive Cash Flows – Private Finance Negative Cash Flows ENGM91 ENVIRONMENTAL and LIFE CYCLE COST DRIVERS

  12. Market Advantage Market Disadvantage National International Regional DataRequirements LifeCycleAnalysis Env Stds ISO 14000 Commercial Concern Regulation Environmental Impact Assessment Design Models AnalysisEngine UPC Treatment Clean Design and Environmental Drivers Life Cycle Cost Ballast Water TLC NoBallast Benefit ConstantExchange CO2 Anti Fouling Coatings Emissions Discharges Legislation VOC GreyWater NOx, SOx Accidental Types Soot Particles CO, CnHm BlackWater Oils Environmental Drivers ENGM91 ENVIRONMENTAL and LIFE CYCLE COST DRIVERS

  13. Market Advantage Market Disadvantage National International Regional DataRequirements LifeCycleAnalysis Env Stds ISO 14000 Commercial Concern Regulation Environmental Impact Assessment Design Models AnalysisEngine UPC Treatment Clean Design and Environmental Drivers Life Cycle Cost Ballast Water TLC NoBallast Benefit ConstantExchange CO2 Anti Fouling Coatings Emissions Discharges Legislation VOC GreyWater NOx SOx Accidental Types SootParticles CO, CnHm BlackWater Oils Environmental Drivers ENGM91 ENVIRONMENTAL and LIFE CYCLE COST DRIVERS

  14. Life Cycle Analysis Tools • Number of LCA Tools developed and utilised • Investigation of UncertaintyAleatory - variability of input dataEpistemic - lack of knowledge in specific area • But …. currently LCA Tools are of little use to most organisations • Basic communications on Environmental Issues needed Once achieved a LCA Tool may be of use • Requirement for Complex Data • Application of MCDM could decrease uncertainty ENGM91 ENVIRONMENTAL and LIFE CYCLE COST DRIVERS

  15. Bare Minimum Plant Capacity Added Space Change in Input PredictabilityScenarios(Times and Probabilities) Added Services Change in Output Margins on Ancillaries Technical Change Margins onMajor Equipment Most Generous Plant Capital can Provide Regulatory Change Future Upgrading Considerations Reasons for Upgrades Impact ENGM91 ENVIRONMENTAL and LIFE CYCLE COST DRIVERS

  16. Risk Assessment andSafety Case Consideration • Quantitative Risk Assessment predictions can happen .. ENGM91 ENVIRONMENTAL and LIFE CYCLE COST DRIVERS

  17. Risk Assessment andSafety Case Consideration • Quantitative Risk Assessment predictions can happen .. • 17 years on such methods still developing Target constantly moving • To ensure comprehensiveness Quantitative Risk Assessments should incorporate: HAZOP, SWIFT, FMECA • Risk based safety assessment now seen as a necessity in Offshore Oil and Gas industry • Safety Case: - UK legal requirement for Land-based and Offshore Process Plant ENGM91 ENVIRONMENTAL and LIFE CYCLE COST DRIVERS

  18. Risk Assessment andSafety Case Consideration • Risk Assessment of ship designs is also important .. ENGM91 ENVIRONMENTAL and LIFE CYCLE COST DRIVERS

  19. Risk Assessment andSafety Case Consideration • Risk Assessment of ship designs is also important .. • Such an assessment should cover: - Normal Operation hull maintenance reliability - Performance during and after an incident .. ENGM91 ENVIRONMENTAL and LIFE CYCLE COST DRIVERS

  20. Risk Assessment andSafety Case Consideration ENGM91 ENVIRONMENTAL and LIFE CYCLE COST DRIVERS

  21. Risk Assessment andSafety Case Consideration ENGM91 ENVIRONMENTAL and LIFE CYCLE COST DRIVERS

  22. Risk Assessment andSafety Case Consideration ENGM91 ENVIRONMENTAL and LIFE CYCLE COST DRIVERS

  23. Risk Assessment andSafety Case Consideration ENGM91 ENVIRONMENTAL and LIFE CYCLE COST DRIVERS

  24. Risk Assessment andSafety Case Consideration • Risk Assessment of ship designs is also important .. • Such an assessment should cover: - Normal Operation hull maintenance reliability - Performance during and after an incident .. • Models are now being developed for the Risk Assessment of various aspects of ship design ENGM91 ENVIRONMENTAL and LIFE CYCLE COST DRIVERS

  25. ProductPrice ProductOutput GrantsandSubsidies Fiscal andTaxAllowances ResidualValue Revenue Market Changes Risk Factors DCFCalc Annual Net Cash Flows Equipmentselection Performance Change Cost Escalation CapitalCosts Commis-sioningCosts OperatingCosts EnergyCosts M & RCosts Down-timeCosts UpdateCosts Sustain-abilityCosts DisposalCosts OUTLINEDESIGNMODEL PerformanceSizingLayout MCDMFactors LifeCycleProcess REVISEDESIGN Comparisonsand DesignDecisions ManufacturingProcess ProcurementProcess ManningConsumables SparesReliability Design MarginsMidlife Update DecommissioningClean-up InfrastructureCosts Efficiency, ConsFuel Price AvailabilityRevenue Loss EmissionsLegislation Whole Life Analysis and Costing ENGM91 ENVIRONMENTAL and LIFE CYCLE COST DRIVERS

  26. ProductPrice ProductOutput GrantsandSubsidies Fiscal andTaxAllowances ResidualValue Revenue Annual Net Cash Flows OUTLINEDESIGNMODEL PerformanceSizingLayout Whole Life Analysis and Costing ENGM91 ENVIRONMENTAL and LIFE CYCLE COST DRIVERS

  27. Treasury ResidualValue Annual Net Cash Flows OUTLINEDESIGNMODEL PerformanceSizingLayout Whole Life Analysis and Costing ENGM91 ENVIRONMENTAL and LIFE CYCLE COST DRIVERS

  28. Asset Lease Asset Availability LeaseRevenue GrantsandSubsidies Fiscal andTaxAllowances ResidualValue Market Changes Risk Factors DCFCalc Annual Net Cash Flows Equipmentselection Performance Change Cost Escalation CapitalCosts Commis-sioningCosts OperatingCosts EnergyCosts M & RCosts Down-timeCosts UpdateCosts Sustain-abilityCosts DisposalCosts OUTLINEDESIGNMODEL PerformanceSizingLayout MCDMFactors LifeCycleProcess REVISEDESIGN Comparisonsand DesignDecisions ManufacturingProcess ProcurementProcess ManningConsumables SparesReliability Design MarginsMidlife Update DecommissioningClean-up InfrastructureCosts Efficiency, ConsFuel Price AvailabilityRevenue Loss EmissionsLegislation Whole Life Analysis and Costing ENGM91 ENVIRONMENTAL and LIFE CYCLE COST DRIVERS

  29. Conclusions • Environmental Sustainability becoming increasingly important in the Marine / Military Industries • Assessment of the Whole Life Cycle • Application of Latest Technologies regarding Construction and Operation • Requirement to assess potentially conflicting Design Drivers to produce optimal Concept Designs • Application of robust Analysis Techniques • Methodologies must be combined as a coherent whole to form the basis of an “Applications Toolbox” ENGM91 ENVIRONMENTAL and LIFE CYCLE COST DRIVERS

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