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Higher Education: Why It Matters

National Center for Higher Education Management Systems 3035 Center Green Drive, Suite 150 Boulder, Colorado 80301-9752. Higher Education: Why It Matters. Dennis P. Jones Presented to the Illinois Higher Education Summit Chicago, Illinois November 9, 2005.

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Higher Education: Why It Matters

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  1. National Center for Higher Education Management Systems 3035 Center Green Drive, Suite 150 Boulder, Colorado 80301-9752 Higher Education: Why It Matters Dennis P. Jones Presented to the Illinois Higher Education SummitChicago, Illinois November 9, 2005

  2. Characteristics of an Attractive/Competitive State • Strong Economy • High Per Capita Income • High-Wage Jobs • Low Unemployment • Low Levels of Poverty (continued)

  3. Characteristics of an Attractive/Competitive State (cont.) • Good Quality of Life • Safe Environment—Low Crime Rate • Healthy Population • Civic Involvement • Participation in the Democratic Process • Volunteerism • Charitable Giving

  4. Public Private Increased Tax Revenues Greater Productivity Increased Consumption Increased Workforce Flexibility Decreased Reliance on Government Financial Support Reduced Crime Rates Increased Charitable Giving/Community Service Increased Quality of Civic Life Social Cohesion/Appreciation of Diversity Improved Ability to Adapt to and Use Technology Higher Salaries and Benefits Employment Higher Savings Levels Improved Working Conditions Personal/Professional Mobility Improved Health/Life Expectancy Improved Quality of Life for Offspring Better Consumer Decisionmaking Increased Personal Status More Hobbies, Leisure Activities Economic Social The Array of Higher Education Benefits Source: Reaping the Benefits: Defining the Public and Private Value of Going to College.Washington, DC: Institute for Higher Education Policy.

  5. CT 28,766 28,766 NJ MA MD CO VA NH NY DE MN IL WA CA AK MI Per Capita Income NV FL RI HI WI GA OH OR PA KS IN NC AZ MO IA TX NE ME TN WY SC AL UT KY ID ND OK SD AR LA WV MS 15,853 15,853 14.8 14.8 33.2 Percent with Bachelor’s Degree or Higher Relationship Between Educational Attainment and Personal Income by State, 2000 Note: R = .796 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2000 Census

  6. 139.3 108.4 100.0 71.4 Ohio Iowa Utah Idaho Texas Maine Illinois Hawaii Alaska Florida Indiana Kansas Oregon Virginia Arizona Nevada Georgia Missouri Vermont Montana Michigan Alabama Colorado Maryland Kentucky Wyoming Arkansas California Delaware Nebraska Louisiana New York Wisconsin Minnesota Oklahoma Mississippi Tennessee New Jersey Washington Connecticut New Mexico North Dakota West Virginia Rhode Island Pennsylvania United States South Dakota North Carolina South Carolina Massachusetts New Hampshire Per Capita Personal Income—State Values as a Proportion of U.S., 2001 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Statistical Abstract of the United States, 2003

  7. Per Capita Personal Income as a Percent of U.S. Average—Illinois, 1960-2000 U.S. Average Source: U.S. Census Bureau

  8. Pennsylvania New Mexico Washington Wisconsin Oklahoma New York Delaware California Wyoming Michigan Montana Missouri Nevada Arizona Kansas Oregon Indiana Hawaii Alaska Illinois Idaho Iowa Utah Ohio Texas Maine Florida Virginia Georgia Vermont Alabama Colorado Maryland Kentucky Arkansas Louisiana Nebraska Minnesota Mississippi Tennessee New Jersey Connecticut Rhode Island North Dakota West Virginia South Dakota North Carolina South Carolina Massachusetts New Hampshire Per Capita Personal Income—Percent Change Relative to the U.S. , 1960-2001 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Statistical Abstract of the United States, 2003

  9. 30 MN NH VT UT HI MA ND 15 CT WI IA ME NE CO RI WA KS NJ SD VA ID OR PA CA AZ OH AK MT State Health Index—United Health Foundation WY IL NY 0 IN US DE MI MD TX MO NV NM KY OK NC FL WV AL GA AR SC TN - - 15 MS LA Percent of Adults 25-64 with a Bachelor’s Degree or Higher - - 30 10% 20% 30% 40% Relationship Between Educational Attainment and Health Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2000 Census; United Health Foundation Note: R = .69

  10. Illinois Ranked 29th Utah Iowa Ohio Idaho Maine Illinois Hawaii Alaska Oregon Kansas Virginia Arizona Vermont Montana Michigan Colorado Wyoming California Nebraska New York Wisconsin Minnesota New Jersey Washington Connecticut North Dakota Rhode Island Pennsylvania South Dakota Massachusetts New Hampshire South Carolina North Carolina West Virginia New Mexico Tennessee Mississippi Oklahoma Louisiana Delaware Arkansas Kentucky Maryland Alabama Missouri Georgia Nevada Indiana Florida Texas Index Scores on State Health Rankings, 2004 Source: United Health Foundation—State Health Rankings 2004

  11. Education and the Workforce

  12. Who’s Entering the State’s Workforce? The State Workforce and Economy Who’s Leaving the State Workforce? Characteristics of Characteristics of Characteristics of Characteristics ofIn-Migrants Characteristics ofthe Workforce Characteristics ofOut-Migrants Entrants into theWorkforce Retirees Leaving theWorkforce Economic Conditions Net Gain/Loss Net Gains/Losses –Retirement –Migration Retirement Ages Retirement Ages State Workforce and Economy

  13. Things to Know About the Workforce • Incumbent Workforce • Demographics • Employment—Occupations • Entrants • Demographics • Education • Retirees • Demographics • Occupations • In- and Out-Migrants • Occupations

  14. 76.0 85.1 7.0 29.0 10.4 Educational Attainment and Rank Among States—Illinois, 2000 (Percent) Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2000 Census

  15. Native American/AK Native Asian/Pacific Islander White African-American Hispanic/Latino Male Female Male Female Male Female Male Female Male Female 1.6 2.5 1.4 2.0 1.2 Top Country (Canada) 1.0 1.5 0.8 US Index = 0.77 Top Country (Norway) 1.0 0.6 US Index = 0.86 0.4 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 Educational Attainment by Gender and Race/Ethnicity, Age 25-34—Indexed to Top Country Percent with a Bachelor’s Degree or Higher Percent with an Associate Degree or Higher Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Public Use Microdata Samples (Based on 2000 Census); Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD)

  16. 33.3 25.3 24.0 14.2 Ohio Iowa Utah Idaho Texas Maine Illinois Alaska Hawaii Florida Indiana Oregon Virginia Kansas Arizona Nevada Georgia Missouri Vermont Montana Alabama Colorado Michigan Maryland Kentucky Wyoming Arkansas California Delaware Nebraska Louisiana New York Wisconsin Minnesota Oklahoma Mississippi Tennessee Washington New Jersey Connecticut New Mexico West Virginia Pennsylvania North Dakota Rhode Island South Dakota United States North Carolina South Carolina Massachusetts New Hampshire Percent of Population Age 18-24 with No High School Diploma Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2000 Census

  17. 5.0 to 16.1 16.1 to 20.6 20.6 to 26.2 26.2 to 34.4 34.4 to 52.1 Percent of Illinois Residents Age 18-24 Who Have Not Completed High School, 2000 Illinois = 24.0% Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2000 Census

  18. Ohio Iowa Utah Idaho Maine Texas Illinois Hawaii Alaska Florida Indiana Virginia Oregon Kansas Arizona Nevada Georgia Missouri Vermont Montana Alabama Michigan Colorado Kentucky Maryland Wyoming Arkansas Delaware California Louisiana Nebraska New York Oklahoma Wisconsin Minnesota Mississippi Tennessee New Jersey Washington Connecticut New Mexico West Virginia North Dakota Rhode Island Pennsylvania United States South Dakota North Carolina South Carolina Massachusetts New Hampshire Percent of Population Age 25 and Older with No High School Diploma 27.1 19.6 18.6 11.7 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2000

  19. 37.1 29.0 26.5 16.5 Utah Iowa Ohio Idaho Texas Maine Illinois Hawaii Alaska Florida Indiana Virginia Oregon Kansas Arizona Nevada Georgia Missouri Vermont Montana Alabama Michigan Colorado Maryland Kentucky Wyoming Arkansas California Delaware Nebraska Louisiana New York Wisconsin Oklahoma Minnesota Mississippi Tennessee New Jersey Connecticut Washington New Mexico Rhode Island North Dakota West Virginia Pennsylvania United States South Dakota North Carolina South Carolina Massachusetts New Hampshire Percent of Adults Age 25-64 with a Bachelor’s Degree or Higher, 2000 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2000

  20. 29.1 to 45.3 17.6 to 29.1 13.6 to 17.6 10.9 to 13.6 6.5 to 10.9 Percent of Illinois Residents Age 25-64 with at Least a Bachelor’s Degree, 2000 Illinois = 29.0% Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2000 Census

  21. Percent of Total Gross State Product by Industry and Comparison to U.S. Source: Bureau of Economic Analysis

  22. Percent of Employed Persons 16 and Older By Industry, 2000 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2000 Census

  23. Percent of Employed Persons 16 and Older By Occupation, 2000 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2000 Census

  24. 41.3 34.2 33.6 25.7 Utah Iowa Ohio Idaho Texas Maine Illinois Alaska Hawaii Florida Indiana Oregon Kansas Virginia Arizona Nevada Georgia Missouri Vermont Montana Alabama Michigan Colorado Maryland Wyoming Kentucky Arkansas California Delaware Nebraska Louisiana New York Minnesota Wisconsin Oklahoma Mississippi Tennessee New Jersey Washington Connecticut New Mexico North Dakota Rhode Island Pennsylvania West Virginia United States South Dakota North Carolina South Carolina Massachusetts New Hampshire Percent Employment in Managerial and Professional Occupations Source: U.S. Census Bureau

  25. Pennsylvania West Virginia New York Kentucky Michigan Iowa Ohio Utah Idaho Texas Maine Illinois Hawaii Alaska Florida Indiana Oregon Virginia Kansas Arizona Nevada Georgia Missouri Vermont Montana Alabama Colorado Maryland Wyoming Arkansas California Delaware Louisiana Nebraska Oklahoma Wisconsin Minnesota Mississippi Tennessee New Jersey Washington Connecticut New Mexico North Dakota Rhode Island United States South Dakota North Carolina South Carolina Massachusetts New Hampshire Projections of Working Age Population (Ages 18‑64)—Percent Change, 2000-20 Source: U.S. Census Bureau

  26. Projected Change in Population Age 25-64 By Race/Ethnicity—Illinois, 2000-20 Source: U.S. Census Bureau’s Population Projections (from 1995 to 20205) and Census 2000

  27. 71.3 62.6 62.3 51.3 Iowa Utah Ohio Idaho Texas Maine Illinois Hawaii Alaska Florida Indiana Oregon Kansas Virginia Arizona Nevada Georgia Missouri Vermont Montana Colorado Michigan Alabama Wyoming Maryland Kentucky Arkansas Nebraska Delaware New York California Louisiana Minnesota Wisconsin Oklahoma Tennessee Mississippi New Jersey Connecticut Washington New Mexico North Dakota Pennsylvania West Virginia Rhode Island United States South Dakota North Carolina South Carolina Massachusetts New Hampshire Percent of Civilian Population (Age 16 and Older) Participating in the Workforce, 2003 Source: U.S. Census Bureau

  28. Illinois Civilians Age 16 and Older in the Workforce by Education Attainment, 2000 In Civilian Workforce Not in Civilian Workforce Less than High School High School Diploma or GED Some College, No Degree Associate Degree Bachelor's Degree Graduate or Professional Degree NumberPercentNumberPercent 901,816 42.9 1,202,029 57.1 1,555,369 61.3 983,473 38.7 1,531,437 72.4 585,003 27.6 437,748 80.1 108,822 19.9 1,145,490 80.5 277,759 19.5 630,466 81.8 139,875 18.2 Source: Integrated Public Use Microdata Series 5% sample, Minnesota Population Center; www.ipums.org

  29. 10,400 8,000 6,700 Iowa Ohio Utah Idaho Texas Maine Illinois Alaska Hawaii Florida Indiana Virginia Kansas Oregon Arizona Nevada Georgia Missouri Vermont Montana Alabama Michigan Colorado Maryland California Kentucky Arkansas Wyoming Delaware Louisiana New York Nebraska Wisconsin Oklahoma Minnesota Mississippi Tennessee New Jersey Connecticut Washington New Mexico North Dakota Rhode Island West Virginia United States Pennsylvania South Dakota North Carolina South Carolina Massachusetts New Hampshire Difference in Median Earnings Between a High School Diploma and an Associate Degree, 2000 Source: U.S. Census Bureau’s Public Use Samples, based on 2000 Census

  30. 19,000 15,200 13,600 7,600 Iowa Utah Ohio Idaho Texas Maine Illinois Alaska Hawaii Florida Indiana Virginia Oregon Kansas Arizona Nevada Georgia Missouri Vermont Montana Alabama Michigan Colorado Maryland Kentucky Arkansas Wyoming Louisiana California Delaware Nebraska New York Wisconsin Oklahoma Minnesota Mississippi Tennessee New Jersey Washington Connecticut New Mexico Rhode Island West Virginia North Dakota Pennsylvania South Dakota United States North Carolina South Carolina Massachusetts New Hampshire Difference in Median Earnings Between a High School Diploma and a Bachelor’s Degree, 2000 Source: U.S. Census Bureau’s Public Use Samples, based on 2000 Census

  31. 19.3 16.5 16.1 13.0 Iowa Ohio Utah Idaho Maine Texas Illinois Hawaii Alaska Florida Indiana Oregon Kansas Virginia Arizona Nevada Georgia Missouri Vermont Montana Alabama Michigan Colorado Maryland Kentucky Wyoming Arkansas Delaware California Louisiana Nebraska New York Oklahoma Wisconsin Minnesota Mississippi Tennessee New Jersey Washington Connecticut New Mexico West Virginia North Dakota Rhode Island Pennsylvania United States South Dakota North Carolina South Carolina Massachusetts New Hampshire Percent of Workforce (Ages 25-64) Who Will Potentially Retire in the Next 10 Years (Ages 55-64), 2000 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2000 Census

  32. The Education Pipeline

  33. Key Transition Points in the Education Pipeline • Complete High School • Enter College • Finish College • Enter the Workplace

  34. Student Pipeline, 2002 Of 100 9th Graders, How Many… Source: NCES Common Core Data, NCES IPEDS 2002 Residency and Migration Survey, ACT Institutional Survey, NCES IPEDS Graduation Rate Survey

  35. Percent of Whites and Minorities at Each Stage of the Education Pipeline, 2000—Illinois Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2000 Census; NCES Common Core Data, NCES IPEDS Fall 2000 Enrollments and 2000 Completion Surveys

  36. 86.1 71.1 67.1 51.0 Utah Iowa Ohio Idaho Maine Texas Illinois Hawaii Alaska Florida Indiana Virginia Oregon Kansas Arizona Nevada Georgia Missouri Vermont Montana Alabama Michigan Colorado Maryland Kentucky Wyoming Arkansas California Delaware Louisiana Nebraska New York Wisconsin Oklahoma Minnesota Mississippi Tennessee New Jersey Washington Connecticut New Mexico West Virginia Rhode Island North Dakota Pennsylvania United States South Dakota North Carolina South Carolina Massachusetts New Hampshire High School Graduation Rates—Public High School Graduates as a Percent of 9th Graders Four Years Earlier, 2000 Source: Tom Mortenson, Postsecondary Opportunity

  37. 102.6 -0.2 Utah Ohio Idaho Texas Illinois Alaska Florida Indiana Virginia Oregon Kansas Arizona Nevada Georgia Alabama Michigan Colorado Maryland Kentucky Arkansas Delaware California Minnesota Tennessee New Jersey Washington Connecticut Rhode Island United States North Carolina South Carolina New Hampshire Massachusetts South Dakota Pennsylvania West Virginia North Dakota New Mexico Mississippi Oklahoma Wisconsin New York Nebraska Louisiana Wyoming Montana Vermont Missouri Hawaii Maine Iowa Projected Change in High School Graduates, 2002-18 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Statistical Abstract of the United States, 2003

  38. Projections of High School Graduates to 2018 By Race/Ethnicity—Illinois Source: WICHE Projections of High School Graduates

  39. 69.4 59.8 56.7 38.1 Iowa Ohio Utah Idaho Maine Texas Illinois Hawaii Alaska Florida Indiana Virginia Oregon Kansas Arizona Nevada Georgia Missouri Vermont Montana Alabama Michigan Colorado Maryland Kentucky Arkansas Wyoming Delaware California Louisiana Nebraska New York Wisconsin Oklahoma Minnesota Mississippi Tennessee New Jersey Washington Connecticut New Mexico Rhode Island West Virginia North Dakota Pennsylvania United States South Dakota North Carolina South Carolina Massachusetts New Hampshire College-Going Rates—First-Time Freshmen Directly Out of High School as a Percent of Recent High School Graduates, 2000 Source: Tom Mortenson, Postsecondary Opportunity

  40. Utah Iowa Ohio Idaho Texas Maine Illinois Hawaii Alaska Florida Indiana Oregon Kansas Arizona Virginia Nevada Georgia Missouri Vermont Montana Alabama Michigan Colorado Wyoming Maryland Kentucky Arkansas California Nebraska Delaware Louisiana New York Oklahoma Wisconsin Minnesota Mississippi Tennessee New Jersey Washington Connecticut New Mexico North Dakota Pennsylvania West Virginia Rhode Island United States South Dakota North Carolina South Carolina Massachusetts New Hampshire Percent of First-Time Freshmen Who Attend College Within Their Reported State of Residence, Fall 2002 94.0 84.7 81.1 46.8 Source: NCES, IPEDS Fall 2002 Residency and Migration File

  41. Ohio Utah Iowa Idaho Maine Texas Hawaii Alaska Florida Illinois Indiana Oregon Virginia Kansas Arizona Nevada Georgia Missouri Vermont Montana Alabama Michigan Colorado Maryland Kentucky Wyoming Arkansas Delaware California Nebraska Louisiana New York Wisconsin Oklahoma Minnesota Mississippi Tennessee New Jersey Washington Connecticut New Mexico Rhode Island West Virginia North Dakota Pennsylvania South Dakota United States North Carolina South Carolina Massachusetts New Hampshire Degrees and Certificates Awarded by Level, 2002-03 (%) Source: NCES, IPEDS 2002-03 Completions File

  42. 47.6 22.4 21.9 12.0 Iowa Utah Ohio Idaho Texas Maine Illinois Hawaii Alaska Florida Indiana Oregon Kansas Virginia Arizona Nevada Georgia Missouri Vermont Montana Alabama Michigan Colorado Maryland Kentucky Wyoming Arkansas California Delaware Nebraska Louisiana New York Oklahoma Wisconsin Minnesota Mississippi Tennessee New Jersey Washington Connecticut New Mexico Rhode Island North Dakota West Virginia Pennsylvania United States South Dakota North Carolina South Carolina Massachusetts New Hampshire Associate Degrees Awarded per 100 High School Graduates Three Years Earlier, 2003 Source: NCES-IPEDS Completions Survey, WICHE

  43. 65.9 30.6 25.1 10.4 Utah Iowa Ohio Idaho Maine Texas Illinois Alaska Hawaii Florida Indiana Oregon Kansas Virginia Arizona Nevada Georgia Missouri Vermont Montana Alabama Michigan Colorado Maryland Kentucky Wyoming Arkansas California Delaware Nebraska Louisiana New York Wisconsin Oklahoma Minnesota Mississippi Tennessee New Jersey Washington Connecticut New Mexico West Virginia North Dakota Rhode Island Pennsylvania United States South Dakota North Carolina South Carolina Massachusetts New Hampshire Three-Year Graduation Rates at Public Two-Year Colleges (Percent), 2003 Source: NCES, IPEDS Graduation Rate Survey

  44. 99.5 51.8 47.6 21.6 Utah Iowa Ohio Idaho Maine Texas Illinois Hawaii Alaska Florida Indiana Oregon Kansas Virginia Arizona Nevada Georgia Missouri Vermont Montana Alabama Michigan Colorado Maryland Kentucky Wyoming Arkansas Delaware California Nebraska Louisiana New York Wisconsin Oklahoma Minnesota Mississippi Tennessee New Jersey Washington Connecticut New Mexico Rhode Island North Dakota West Virginia Pennsylvania United States South Dakota North Carolina South Carolina Massachusetts New Hampshire Bachelor’s Degrees Awarded per 100 High School Graduates Six Years Earlier, 2003 Source: NCES-IPEDS Completions Survey, WICHE

  45. 66.0 58.1 54.3 20.0 Ohio Utah Iowa Idaho Texas Maine Indina Illinois Hawaii Alaska Florida Oregon Kansas Virginia Arizona Nevada Georgia Missouri Vermont Montana Alabama Michigan Colorado Maryland Kentucky Wyoming Arkansas Delaware California Nebraska Louisiana New York Wisconsin Oklahoma Minnesota Mississippi Tennessee New Jersey Washington Connecticut New Mexico West Virginia Rhode Island North Dakota Pennsylvania United States South Dakota North Carolina South Carolina Massachusetts New Hampshire Six-Year Graduation Rates at Public Four-Year Colleges (Percent), 2003 Source: NCES & IPEDS Graduation Rate Survey

  46. The Impact of Changing Demographics on Educational Attainment and Personal Income, 2000-20 Number Change in Adults Age 25 -64 By Degree Level Change in Per Capita Personal Income(In 2000 $) Source: U.S. Census Bureau’s Population Projections and Census 2000

  47. Migration

  48. Illinois Net Migration by Degree Level and Age Group 22- to 29-Year-Olds 30- to 64-Year-Olds Less than High School High School Some College Associate Bachelor’s Graduate/Professional Total Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2000 Census; 5% Public Use Microdata Sample (PUMS) Files

  49. 199,458 New Hampshire South Dakota Pennsylvania North Dakota Rhode Island West Virginia New Mexico Mississippi Wisconsin Oklahoma Nebraska Louisiana Wyoming Arkansas Michigan Alabama Montana Vermont Kansas Indiana Maine Idaho Utah Iowa Ohio Texas Illinois Hawaii Alaska Florida Oregon Virginia Nevada Arizona Georgia Missouri Colorado Maryland Kentucky California Delaware New York Minnesota Tennessee New Jersey Washington Connecticut North Carolina South Carolina Massachusetts Net Migration of Residents Age 22-29 with a College Degree (Associate or Higher), 1995-2000 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Public Use Microdate Samples, 2000

  50. Computer Specialists Business Operations Specialists Financial Specialists Postsecondary Teachers Sales Representatives, Services Engineers Advertising, Mktg., Promotions, Public Rel., & Sales Mgrs. Legal Support Other Personal Care & Service Workers Health Diagnosing & Treating Practitioners Food Processing Workers First-Line Enlisted Military Supervisor/Managers Supervisors of Installation, Maintenance, & Repair Information & Record Clerks Supervisors, Construction & Extraction Workers Top Executives Military Enlisted Tactical Ops. & Air/Weapons Specs./Crew Supervisors, Sales Workers Law Enforcement Workers Military Officer Special & Tactical Ops. Leaders/Mgrs. Illinois Occupations with High Net Imports & Exports, 1995-2000—Population Age 22-29 with College Degrees Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Public Use Microdata Samples, 2000

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