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Hydrometeorological Prediction Center 2010 Review

Thank you from HPC. Model production suite timeliness and reliability Forecasters know that model output will be timely and availableContinued excellent working relationships Responsive to inquiries and requests Support and improvements for operational models Support for NOAA Hydrometeorological Testbed

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Hydrometeorological Prediction Center 2010 Review

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    1. Hydrometeorological Prediction Center 2010 Review

    2. Thank you from HPC

    3. HPC Operations

    4. QPF

    6. QPF Skill

    11. 2010 Spring Experiment QPF Component 3 components (Severe, Aviation, QPF) 5 week program (May 17- June 18) ~70 participants from research, academia, and operations Rotation thru desks Facilitator at each desk

    12. Models used in Spring Experiment

    13. Daily QPF Schedule Subjective verification of previous days forecast Synoptic overview Use experimental guidance to produce 6 hr PQPF .50 and 1 thresholds Forecasts valid 18-00Z and 00-06Z Subjective evaluation of previous days experimental model guidance Afternoon briefing and discussion of daily forecasts and evaluation activities

    14. RESULTS (Deterministic)

    16. High Resolution Window Upgrade

    19. HPC SREF Wish List

    30. HPC Winter Weather Desk 20092010 Deterministic Verification

    34. Winter Weather Wish List

    35. Medium Range

    36. Gridded Guidance Improvements

    39. HPC Alaska Medium Range Downscaled Bias-Corrected NAEFS 50th percentile and Mean are impressive: -improves over MOS. -very competitive with HPC. Behavior of 10th and 90th consistent with expectations

    40. GFE Implementation GFE implemented on Alaska Desk Used as a post-editing tool

    41. Trends

    42. HPC Product Availability

    45. Summary of HPC Wish List

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