ST Strategies Vision 2023 a project to build a science and technology vision for Turkey Dr. Serhat CAKIR Head, TUBITA

1. Serhat CAKIR S&T Strategies Vision 2023 (a project to build a science and technology vision for Turkey)Dr. Serhat CAKIRHead,TUBITAK Science, Technology and Innovation Policy Department

2. Serhat CAKIR Content National Science, Technology and Innovation System Vision 2023 Project A New Attempts in Turkish S&T Activities (2004- ) and Impact of Vision 2023

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4. Serhat CAKIR Supreme Council of Science and Technology SCST Highest policy making body Chaired by Prime Minister / Deputy Prime Minister Members: Prime Minister Ministers (most closely concerned with S&T) The Scientific and Technical Research Council of Turkey (TÜBITAK) The Turkish Academy of Sciences (TÜBA) Higher Education Council of Turkey (YÖK) The Turkish Atomic Energy Council (TAEK) Foreign Trade and the Treasury Union of Chambers and Commodity Exchange of Turkey TÜBITAK functions as the general secretariat to the SCST and is responsible for preparing the agenda of the Supreme Council carrying out the preparatory studies following up the implementations evaluating the impacts of the implementations

5. Serhat CAKIR Turkish Research Area (TRA)

6. Serhat CAKIR Turkish Research Area (TRA)

7. Serhat CAKIR Turkish Research Area (TRA) TUBITAK was assigned the task of setting up the necessary system for strategic management of the Turkish Research Area.

8. Serhat CAKIR To increase the quality of life in Turkey To find solutions to social problems To increase the competitive power of our country To create awareness and interest in STI in the society

9. Serhat CAKIR Basic Targets of Turkish Research Area

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12. Serhat CAKIR What was the difference?

13. Serhat CAKIR VISION 2023 SCST Decision on 13 Dec. 2000: A new national S&T policy document for the period 2003-2023 is to be prepared to build a welfare society in 2023 100’th Anniversary of the Foundation of the Turkish Republic

14. Serhat CAKIR Organisation of Vision 2023

15. Serhat CAKIR Steering Committee Structure: 27 Public (Co-ordination: TÜBITAK) 28 Non-Governmental Organizations (NGO’s) and Chambers 10 Academic (Higher Ed. Coun. and 9 Univer.) Total of 65 Bodies Represented Function: Strategic Decisions Ensure sustained commitment of actors Level of Representation: High ranking officials and managers

16. Serhat CAKIR 13 April 2002 Participation from 52 members Decided to form 11 Foresight Panels: An extended list prepared by the project office Additions Prioritisation / first round Clustering Prioritisation / second round Final revision First Steering Committee Meeting

17. Serhat CAKIR Executive Committee Structure: President and Vice-presidents of TÜBITAK Project Manager Representatives of: State Planning Organisation Undersectateriat of Defence Industries Technology Development Foundation of Turkey Function: Operational and budgetary decisions

18. Serhat CAKIR Rationale A tool for formulating S&T policy for 2003-2023 Process benefits Scope Science and Technology Expected Outputs Strategic technologies and R&D priorities Raising awareness on the importance of S&T Wide and effective participation of all stakeholders Main Decisions

19. Serhat CAKIR Guidelines Given the “welfare society” goal for 2023; which socio-economic activities should be covered in the foresight exercise? Criteria: Technology Relevance Policy Relevance 10-12 panels Interrelatedness Manageble

20. Serhat CAKIR Action Plan Nominations for panel membersip (around 2000) A core group consisting of panel chairs, reporters and information multipliers for each panel First Inter-panel Meeting Project Design and Methodology Task Description Foresight Techniques Workshop: Foresight in Action Foresight Panels

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22. Serhat CAKIR Pre-foresight Activities Training Scanning - Foresight in other countries Report on foresight exercises CRITECH-2001 (20-21 Sep.) Participation from OECD, EU, IPTS, Greece, USA Conferences Workshop: Foresight Methodologies (2 March,02) Electronic survey on panel topics Project Planning Rationale, scope, expected outputs Methodology, time table, budget

23. Serhat CAKIR TECHNOLOGY FORESIGHT PROJECT METHODOLOGY

24. Serhat CAKIR Methods Panels Socio-economic Panels Thematic Panels Delphi Survey

25. Serhat CAKIR Thematic Panels Thematic panels will be formed on cross-cutting issues; and cross-cutting technologies raised/demanded by socio-economics panels (and by the Steering Committee) Another thematic panel is to be formed to synthesize the panel findings and proposals, and to build a science and technology vision.

26. Serhat CAKIR Socio-economic Panels Socio-economic panels will: Assess technological/economic/structural conditions in Turkey and the world, and main drivers of change; Construct vision(s) of future; Determine technological capabilities necessary to make the vision(s) realizable; Conduct SWOT analysis on those capabilities; test the feasibility of vision(s); Determine supporting issues and trends, as well as underpinning technologies (technology demand); Recommend policies necessary to gain those technological capabilities.

27. Serhat CAKIR Foresight Panels 1- Education and Human Resources 2- Environment and Sustainable Dev. 3- Information and Communication (inc. Electronics) 4- Energy and Natural Resources 5- Health and Pharmaceuticals 6- Defence, Aeronautics and Space Industries 7- Agriculture and Food 8- Machinery and Materials 9- Transportation and Tourism 10- Chemicals 11-Textiles 12- Construction and Infrastructure

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29. Serhat CAKIR Strategic Technologies Prioritisation based on Importance index, and Feasibility index Importance Index: “Strategic Technology” Criteria Feasibility Index: Panels and Delphi Survey

30. Serhat CAKIR Criteria for “Strategic Technologies” Given the “welfare society” goal for 2023; what features of a specific technology make it preferable to others? Conditions: Technology Relevance Policy Relevance Discriminating and Objective 2-3

31. Serhat CAKIR Criteria for “Strategic Technologies”: Examples Competitiveness Technology / R&D intensity Productivity Employment Skilled employment SME-oriented Environment friendly Local resources New industries Energy saving Social / cultural acceptance

32. Serhat CAKIR Tasks

33. Serhat CAKIR Other Tasks In co-ordination with the project office and other panels; Classification of technologies Preparation of Delphi statements and questions Nominations of experts for the Delphi survey Analysis of survey findings Suggestions for “Strategic Technology” criteria

34. Serhat CAKIR More on Panels About 15 experts (one from TÜBITAK) Nominations by the “core group” Enlarge the panel if needed Workshops, conferences, surveys, analyses on request All logistics provided by TÜBITAK Panel members were paid

35. Serhat CAKIR R&D Human Resources Database (ARBIS) Interactive (Web based) Available since October 2003 Number of records: >50.000 Estimated number of researchers: 85.000 (head count) All sectors: Higher Education, Governmental Private NGO’s Content of Database: Demographic Education Work Place R&D Activities

36. Serhat CAKIR National R&D Infrastructure Database (TARABIS) Interactive (Web based) Available since: October 2004 Number of records > 800 Labs Price > 10.000 $ The questions will be answered by R&D department chairperson or facility directors Content of Database: Demographic Work place Age and value of the instruments R&D Activities

37. Serhat CAKIR The research priorities for Turkey, based on the input generated by the Vision 2023 project; 1. Information Technologies 2. Biotechnology and Gene Technologies 3. Materials 4. Nanotechnology 5. Design Technologies 6. Mechatronics 7. Production Methods and Machinery 8. Energy and Environmental Technologies

38. Serhat CAKIR Recent Developments in Turkish Research Area

39. Serhat CAKIR Principles Aims Objectives National Priorities

40. Serhat CAKIR To increase the quality of life in Turkey To find solutions to social and economic problems To increase the competitiveness power of our country To improve and disseminate science and technology culture in our society

41. Serhat CAKIR To increase GERD To boost the demand for R&D To improve the quality and quantity of R&D personnel Targets of TRA*

42. Serhat CAKIR GERD as Percentage of GDP

43. Serhat CAKIR GERD Targets and Achivements

44. Serhat CAKIR R&D Expenditures 2000-2005*

45. Serhat CAKIR R&D Expenditures

46. Serhat CAKIR R&D Expenditures*

47. Serhat CAKIR GERD per capita

48. Serhat CAKIR GERD per capita*

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50. Serhat CAKIR GERD by Sector of Performers

51. Serhat CAKIR FTE R&D Personnel

52. Serhat CAKIR FTE R&D Personnel

53. Serhat CAKIR FTE R&D Personnel per 10.000 Employment

54. Serhat CAKIR FTE R&D Personnel per 10.000 Employment

55. Serhat CAKIR FTE R&D Personnel per 10.000 Employment

56. Serhat CAKIR Scientific Publications

57. Serhat CAKIR Scientific Publications per Million Population

58. Serhat CAKIR Triadic Patents

59. Serhat CAKIR Strategic Approach National Science and Technology Strategy Document - Vision 2023 2005-2010 National Science, Technology and Innovation Implementation Plan Concrete Targets (2010) GERD as percentage of GDP %2 Full-time equivalent researchers 40.000

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