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RESOURCING THE BOROUGHS CHALLENGES AND OPPORTUNITIES

This presentation by Hugh Grover addresses the various challenges and opportunities facing London boroughs as they navigate local government in 2020. It emphasizes the importance of local autonomy, financial pressures, demographic shifts, and the need for innovative solutions beyond mere funding. The discussion outlines projected population growth, the increasing demand for school places, and the ongoing housing crisis. Emphasizing strong local leadership and integrated service delivery, the presentation explores the potential for greater independence and the distribution of resources to meet public expectations.

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RESOURCING THE BOROUGHS CHALLENGES AND OPPORTUNITIES

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  1. RESOURCING THE BOROUGHSCHALLENGES AND OPPORTUNITIES Hugh Grover 28th June 2013

  2. AGENDA • London Local Government View • Pressures • London Local Government in 2020 • Challenges

  3. LONDON LOCAL GOVERNMENT VIEW

  4. LONDON LOCAL GOVERNMENT VIEW • Broadly supportive • But: • Government willingness? • Challenges to make it work!

  5. LONDON LOCAL GOVERNMENT VIEW • Why? • Belief in local autonomy and accountability • Need to do things differently • Local government can deliver change • It’s not just about money! • But…

  6. FINANCIAL PRESSURES • SR 2010 • -28% for LG to 2014/15 • Additional reductions • closer to 35% • SR 2013 • -10% in 2015/16

  7. £2.4bn 24% shortfall

  8. * Formula grant includes grants being rolled into business rates retention in 2013/14

  9. DEMOGRAPHIC PRESSURES • Fastest growing population in England • likely to be 9m by 2020 and 10m by 2030 • Proportion of over 65s growing disproportionately • Fastest growing school age population and a 13% rise in 0-15 year olds by 2020 • Over a third of all of England’s short term residents • The most ethnically diverse part of England

  10. WIDER PRESSURES • School places • additional 118,000 from 2011/12 to 2016/17 • Housing crisis • Waste management • Transport connectivity

  11. Growth Index – Young Adults with learning disabilities 2012 = 100

  12. THE SOLUTION Prevention & Growth through Strong local leadership at the right spacial level joining up services

  13. LONDON LOCAL GOVERNMENT IN 2020 Potential for greater independence? More explicit settlement about pan-London/sub-regional/local and sub-local? Integrated leadership of a range of local public services? Consensus about public expectations of services and the roles of national and local state and citizens?

  14. CHALLENGES Governance Distribution of money (equalisation) Risk appetite Shared benefits

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