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Ecological Sensitivity Workshop: Future Climate Scenarios for West Espinosa Inlet

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Explore the implications of climate change on stands and ecosystems in West Espinosa Inlet in 2050. Evaluate vulnerability levels and growth opportunities to adapt to changing conditions.

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Ecological Sensitivity Workshop: Future Climate Scenarios for West Espinosa Inlet

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  1. CWHvm1 Westside SFFES- Ecological Sensitivity Workshop (13% of District)

  2. CWHvm1-West Espinosa Inlet

  3. CWHvm1-West Espinosa Inlet - Current BEC

  4. Bookend climate scenarios

  5. CWHvm1-West Espinosa Inlet– PCM-B1 2050

  6. CWHvm1-West – PCM-B1 2050 CWHxm1 temp CWHvh precip

  7. CWHvm1-West Espinosa Inlet– HAD-A1FI 2050

  8. CWHvm1-West – HAD-A1F1 2050 CWHxm temp CWHvh(+) Precip

  9. CWHvm1-West – HAD-A1F1 2050 Summer heat: moisture index At the CWHvm1(+) level

  10. CONSIDER CWHvm1-West STAND / ECOSYSTEMS – In a changing climate

  11. CWHvm1-West STAND / ECOSYSTEMS- 2050(PCM & HAD) SUMMARY OF DISCUSSION: Vulnerability Classes Opportunity Classes Low – Stands will suffer minor losses due to climate change. Mod – likely will suffer significant but manageable losses and or secondary risks (fire etc.) High – likely will suffer major losses or incur high secondary risks, but catastrophic losses unlikely. Very High – likelihood for catastrophic losses are high. Nil – No opportunity to enhance growth. Minor – Minor growth enhancement likely. Significant – significant growth enhancement likely.

  12. CWHvm1-West STAND / ECOSYSTEMS- 2050(PCM & HAD) SUMMARY OF DISCUSSION:

  13. CWHvm1-West STAND / ECOSYSTEMS- 2050(PCM & HAD) SUMMARY OF DISCUSSION:

  14. CWHvm1-West Ecol. Suitable Regen – Now and Future • MESIC SITE DISCUSSION : • What are the vulnerabilities and why? (drought / insects / disease?) • What are the opportunities – where / when? • What are the outstanding questions?

  15. CWHvm1-West Regeneration Vulnerabilities & Opportunities Mesic Sites • Added Comments: • Bg – seems like the mountains only limitation to getting out here anyway. • Need to be cautious – trial basis – try on the lower end first. We have Ba anyway. • Ba – grows well – should be no problems • Hw and Cw – should be not issues. • Fd – be diligent – be careful where it goes – warm, dry slopes low down – not expanding it outside of where it already is. • Pw – too wet – prone to Dothestroma – endemic and could be a big problem with more humidity

  16. CWHvm1-West Regeneration Vulnerabilities & Opportunities Mesic Sites • Added Comments: • Other species – • Dr – will be good to get a bit more in to increase diversity, and also should grow a bit better. • Ss – same as the vh – resistant stock – may actually grow better here with more warmth and resistant stock.

  17. PEEK FURTHER INTO THE FUTURE CWHvm1-West Espinosa Inlet – PCM-B1 2080 CWHvm1 CWHvm1 CWHvm1

  18. PEEK FURTHER INTO THE FUTURE CWHvm1-West Espinosa Inlet – HAD-A1F1 2080 CWHvm-hot CWHvm1 CWHvm-hot CWHvm1 CWHvm-warm CWHvh - hot CWHvm-warm

  19. PEEK FURTHER INTO THE FUTURE CWHvm1-West Espinosa Inlet – HAD-A1F1 2080 Values for CWHvm-hot (dark green valley bottoms)

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