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SFFES- Ecological Sensitivity Workshop

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17 diapositives · 311 Views · Sep 12, 2014

MHmm. SFFES- Ecological Sensitivity Workshop. (16% of District). MHmm - Mt. Washington. MHmm – Mt. Washington - Current BEC. Bookend climate scenarios. CWHvm2- Stewart Lk, TFL 39 – PCM-B1 2050. MHmm – Mt. Washington – PCM-B1 2050. Temp slightly higher Slightly higher precip.

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  1. MHmm SFFES- Ecological Sensitivity Workshop (16% of District)

  2. MHmm - Mt. Washington

  3. MHmm – Mt. Washington - Current BEC

  4. Bookend climate scenarios

  5. CWHvm2- Stewart Lk, TFL 39 – PCM-B1 2050

  6. MHmm – Mt. Washington – PCM-B1 2050 Temp slightly higher Slightly higher precip

  7. MHmm – Mt. Washington – HAD-A1FI 2050

  8. MHmm – HAD-A1FI 2050 Slightly warmer than the CWHmm2 CWHvm2 Precip (snow less than vm2 and more than mm2

  9. MHmm – HAD-A1FI 2050 Summer heat: moisture index Higher than CWHvm but lower than CWHmm

  10. CONSIDER MHmm - STAND / ECOSYSTEMS – In a changing climate

  11. MHmm - STAND / ECOSYSTEMS- 2050(PCM & HAD) SUMMARY OF DISCUSSION: Vulnerability Classes Opportunity Classes Low – Stands will suffer minor losses due to climate change. Mod – likely will suffer significant but manageable losses and or secondary risks (fire etc.) High – likely will suffer major losses or incur high secondary risks, but catastrophic losses unlikely. Very High – likelihood for catastrophic losses are high. Nil – No opportunity to enhance growth. Minor – Minor growth enhancement likely. Significant – significant growth enhancement likely.

  12. MHmm - STAND / ECOSYSTEMS- 2050(PCM & HAD) SUMMARY OF DISCUSSION:

  13. MHmm - Ecol. Suitable Regen – Now and Future • MESIC SITE DISCUSSION : • What are the vulnerabilities and why? (drought / insects / disease?) • What are the opportunities – where / when? • What are the outstanding questions?

  14. MHmm - Regeneration Vulnerabilities & Opportunities Mesic Sites • Added Comments: • May have some concerns with ice storms • BWA increase potentially • Ba ecologically suited • Bp – see trials – some in Johnstone straight 50 m up (research trial?) Jim Arnott in Iron River - • Cw – trail basis – warmest sites • Fd – only TSA – trail – warm sites – problems with coming out of snow • Yc – could be a problem if roots are exposed to snow free conditions. At this point we have not seen an issue with root problems. • Hm – if it shows up should be acceptable – not a high productivity spp • Hw – may be difficult to get established, if found should be accepted. Will be more suited over time. Lower elevation portion of the unit may be suited now. • Se – don’t go there • Ss – not a winner • Pw – maybe see trials may be an opportunity – south aspect follow Fd use interior seedlots • Ls – siberian larch – trial only • Inversions – will this be an area prone to damage to premature respiration.

  15. PEEK FURTHER INTO THE FUTURE MHmm – Mt. Washington – PCM-B1 2080 CWHmm1 CWHvm2 CWHvm2 MHmm

  16. PEEK FURTHER INTO THE FUTURE MHmm – Mt. Washington – HAD-A1FI 2080 CWHxm1 CWHmm1 CWHmm1 CWHmm1 CWHmm1

  17. PEEK FURTHER INTO THE FUTURE MHmm – Mt. Washington – HAD-A1F1 2080