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Southeast-ACF Drought Early Warning Information System Development Workshop

Southeast-ACF Drought Early Warning Information System Development Workshop Apalachicola River & Bay 27 April 2010. WFO Drought Products Joel Lanier (Senior Service Hydrologist). Our Motto : “We are ready for anything, and our customers know it”. Our Goal:

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Southeast-ACF Drought Early Warning Information System Development Workshop

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  1. Southeast-ACF Drought Early Warning Information System Development Workshop Apalachicola River & Bay 27 April 2010 WFO Drought Products Joel Lanier (Senior Service Hydrologist)

  2. Our Motto: “We are ready for anything, and our customers know it” Our Goal: To be the “go to” source for climate and weather information all of our customers and partners routine and high impact needs

  3. Operational Staff: 5 Lead Forecasters 5 Journeyman Forecasters 5 HMTs/Interns 3 SCEPs

  4. NWS WFOs

  5. SSHCounties Serviced TAE / JAX / TBW / KEY • Alabama 5 ( 5/ 0/ 0/ 0) • Florida 34 (17/15/ 1/ 1) • Georgia 40 (26/14/ 0/ 0) Total 78 Counties – 3 State Area Total of 5 WFOs - Florida

  6. Hydrologic Services WFO Jacksonville (14/28) WFO Tallahassee (33/65) Total (47 / 93)

  7. NWS Tallahassee County Warning and Forecast Area

  8. WFO Drought Topics • What Product does the WFO Produce • Process used to Assess Drought • Products used to Assess Drought • WFO / RFC Duties • Ways NIDIS can help

  9. WFO Drought Product • Synopsis • Summary of Impacts • Climate Summary • Precipitation / Temperature Outlook • Hydrologic Summary and Outlook

  10. Principal Drought Outlook Inputs 2-Wk Soil Moisture CPC Long-Lead Precip. Outlook Constructed Analogue Soil Model Palmer 4-mo Probabilities Short-Range Fcst Medium-Range Fcst Verdi-Pulwarty

  11. Synopsis http://www.hpc.ncep.noaa.gov/dailywxmap/index.html

  12. Summary of Impacts • State and Local Mitigation • Soil moisture / Ground Water • Agricultural • Fire • Current water restrictions • Other impacts (navigation, environmental, etc.)

  13. http://www.srh.noaa.gov/tae/?n=droughtmonitor

  14. State and Local Actions • Internet Research - News • Water Agencies • NWFWMD • SRWMD • SJRWMD • FDEP • GA EPD • AL (Locally Managed)

  15. Soil Moisture / Ground Water • USGS Water Watch (AL, FL, GA) • Comparison to previous droughts • Long period surface flows • Long period well depths • Rainfall accumulations • Soil Moisture Charts

  16. Floridian Aquifer

  17. http://ga.water.usgs.gov/

  18. Well 08K001 – Early County • Latitude 31°22'38",   Longitude 84°39'17"   NAD27Early County, Georgia   , Hydrologic Unit 03130009 • Well depth: 125 feet Hole depth: 125 feetLand surface altitude: 230 feet above sea level NGVD29. Well completed in "Floridan aquifer system" (S400FLORDN) national aquifer. Well completed in "Upper Floridan Aquifer" (120FLRDU) local aquifer

  19. Soil Moisture

  20. Agriculture • Phone Contacts with County Extension • Phone contact with Agriculture Officials • Review of latest Ag Bulletins

  21. Fire Impacts • Review of current Fire conditions and on going fires • KBDI Index (National and State levels)

  22. Current Water Restrictions • Internet Research - News • Water Agencies • NWFWMD • SRWMD • SJRWMD • FDEP • GA EPD • AL (Locally Managed) • Local Water Authorities

  23. Floridian Aquifer

  24. Floridian Aquifer Cross Section

  25. Other Impacts (Navigation etc.) • Future considerations • Fisheries • Navigation • Environment?

  26. Climate Summary

  27. Precipitation / Temperature Outlook

  28. Hydrologic Summary & Outlook • USGS Water Watch (AL, FL, GA) • Comparison to previous droughts • Long period surface flows • Long period well depths • Rainfall accumulations • River conditions • Flow Statistics

  29. Hydrologic Comparisons Chipola River near Altha, FLA http://fl.water.usgs.gov/infodata/duration/tallahassee.html

  30. Drought Products Issued • 2005 – 1 • 2006 – 19 • 2007 – 28 • 2008 – 14 • 2009 – 2 • 2010 – 0 Total - 64

  31. RFC Water Resource Forecasting

  32. RFC Water Resource Forecasting

  33. NWS Drought Links • http://www.srh.noaa.gov/srh/ssd/html/drought.htm • http://www.srh.noaa.gov/tae/?n=hydrology • http://www.srh.noaa.gov/serfc/?n=wro

  34. What is needed from NIDIS • Need County Specific Drought Information • Single Source: State Climatology? Maps • Agriculture conditions • Crops and Hay • Water supply conditions (Sfc and Ground) • Soil Moisture • Fire conditions • Drought Declarations and Water Restrictions

  35. Drought - Positives Deadheading Cypress Logs Economic Activity Photos Courtesy of: Bryan Loveless (http://www.recoveredhollowlog.com/about.php)

  36. Mar 2005

  37. Mar 2006

  38. Mar 2007

  39. Mar 2008

  40. Aug 2008 (Fay)

  41. Mar 2009

  42. Mar 2010

  43. 2005 Total Departure

  44. 2006 Total Departure

  45. 2007 Total Departure

  46. 2008 Total Departure

  47. Jan 2009

  48. Mar 2009

  49. Apr 2009

  50. 2009 Total Departure

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