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Lee-Carter 模型分析

Lee-Carter 模型分析. 徐健勳. Lee-Carter. Lee- C arter 模型的配適方法. SVD ( Singular Value Decomposition ) SVD 近似法 參數加權平方估計 ( WLSE : Weighted Least Square Estimation ) 最大概似估計法( MLE ). Singular Value Decomposition. SVD 近似法. 加權平方估計法. 加權平方估計法. 加權平方估計法. 收斂標準. WLSE 與 MLE 利用遞迴方式求解,而參數收斂標準如下:. 最大概似估計法.

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Lee-Carter 模型分析

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  1. Lee-Carter模型分析 徐健勳

  2. Lee-Carter

  3. Lee-Carter模型的配適方法 • SVD(Singular Value Decomposition) • SVD近似法 • 參數加權平方估計 (WLSE:Weighted Least Square Estimation) • 最大概似估計法(MLE)

  4. Singular Value Decomposition

  5. SVD 近似法

  6. 加權平方估計法

  7. 加權平方估計法

  8. 加權平方估計法

  9. 收斂標準 WLSE與MLE利用遞迴方式求解,而參數收斂標準如下:

  10. 最大概似估計法

  11. 最大概似估計法

  12. 最大概似估計法

  13. 最大概似估計法

  14. 時間序列模型 • 算術平均 • 時間序列

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