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Realignment: A First Look at Statewide Trends

Realignment: A First Look at Statewide Trends. Chief Michael Daly Marin County Probation Kevin O’Connell, Analyst, CPOC. CPOC Realignment Research Priorities. Identify aggregate data elements that all 58 counties can track and submit from October 1, 2011 Focused on:

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Realignment: A First Look at Statewide Trends

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  1. Realignment: A First Look at Statewide Trends Chief Michael Daly Marin County Probation Kevin O’Connell, Analyst, CPOC

  2. CPOC Realignment Research Priorities • Identify aggregate data elements that all 58 counties can track and submit from October 1, 2011 • Focused on: • Movement of Post Release Community Supervision (PRCS) population back to counties • Sentencing of 1170h (non3, non-non-non, local prison) offenders • Disseminate in useful formats • Disseminate in a timely way

  3. CPOC Quarterly Realignment Data Collection Process

  4. Per 100,000 people, where are PRCS going? Per 100,000 people, where are 1170h sentences occurring?

  5. PRCS Measures • PRCS offenders released • PRCS warrant-before appearance • Active PRCS offenders • Active PRCS warrant-after appearance at probation

  6. PRCS Releases as of March 2012 • 99% of expected PRCS cases statewide • 7% of PRCS failed to appear within 72 hours

  7. Active PRCS Population Status • ~23,000 active offenders as of March 31 • 4% of active PRCS cases are wanted on warrants Statewide average of 4%

  8. 1170h Measures • 1170h (a) jail only sentences • 1170h (b) split sentences • 1170h (b) no jail sentences • Active 1170 (b) offenders

  9. Actual vs. Estimated 1170h Sentences • ~15,000 1170h sentences as of March 31 • 34% above initial estimates

  10. 1170h Sentences Statewide • 22% of 1170h sentences were split sentences • 29% of split sentences have started mandatory supervision and are out of custody

  11. Outcome Measures • PRCS Closures (6-12months) • How many PRCS offenders were closed • PRCS Closures (1 year) • How many PRCS cases were closed at 1 year by law as they had no return to custody • Recidivism • Of those terminated, how many had a felony conviction during supervision • PRCS Closures after more than 18 months • PRCS offenders who spent more than 18 months on local supervision

  12. http://cpoc.org/php/realign/dashboardinfo/CPOCbrief11.pdf

  13. http://www.cpoc.org/php/realign/dashboardinfo/dashboard.swf

  14. In Conclusion • Updated data from 9 months don’t show significant changes from 6months at first glance • Too early to draw systematic or county level conclusions • Data has to drive the discussion • All CCP partners should submit data to the conversation • Evidence based programming and practices needs to be the benchmark

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