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Food versus Fuel: Adoption and Distribution of Distillers’ Grains from Ethanol

Food versus Fuel: Adoption and Distribution of Distillers’ Grains from Ethanol. Dr. Dennis M. Conley Symposium of the International Food & Agribusiness Management Association, 19 th Annual Meeting, Budapest, Hungry ___________________________________________

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Food versus Fuel: Adoption and Distribution of Distillers’ Grains from Ethanol

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  1. Food versus Fuel: Adoption and Distribution of Distillers’ Grains from Ethanol Dr. Dennis M. Conley Symposium of the International Food & Agribusiness Management Association, 19th Annual Meeting, Budapest, Hungry ___________________________________________ Nebraska Cooperative Council Distinguished Professor and Director, Graduate Program in Agribusiness, University of Nebraska – Lincoln, USA. MBA/Agribusiness graduate students contributing to the research: Ashley Bergthold, Rodney Ensz, Seth George, Ross Miller and Matt Weeder.

  2. The objectives of this research are to: • Estimate historical supply and use of corn for each state in the U.S. • Use current and projected ethanol production to estimate distillers’ grain (DDGs) supply at the state level. • Show expected geographic pattern of DDG movements in the U.S. under changing conditions of ethanol production and livestock feeding.

  3. MANDATED by 2015 10.6 bil gal

  4. 10.6 bil gal

  5. 1,253 mil bu

  6. 77%

  7. What are the geographic dimensions of: • Increasing ethanol production • Increasing DDG production relative to potential use • Expected movements of DDGs from state-to-state

  8. Ethanol Plants

  9. Net Surplus States for Distillers Grains, 2008-09

  10. Net Deficit States for Distillers Grains, 2008-09

  11. Estimated DDG Movements with Actual Production, 2009

  12. Major States with Unmet Needs for DDGs

  13. CONCLUSIONS • Structural changes in the bio-fuels and feed grain-livestock sectors will significantly alter traditional sources of corn and compel the adoption of DDGs for feed use. • Managers well need to make adjustments in the marketing of corn and how corn will be replaced by DDGs. • Livestock feeders, shippers and carriers will further develop capabilities to transport DDGs over long distances.

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