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Barometer of Public Opinion Ma y 201 1

Barometer of Public Opinion Ma y 201 1

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Barometer of Public Opinion Ma y 201 1

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  1. Barometer of Public Opinion May2011

  2. Information about the Poll • The poll was conducted on-site by CIVIS Centre for Sociological, Political and Psychological Analysis and Investigations • Amount of the national sample: 1152 people aged 18 or more; additional sample in Chișinău municipality – 397 people; the total amount of the sample in Chișinău municipality - 662 people • Representativeness: the national sample is representative for the adult population of the Republic of Moldova, with a maximal error of +3.0%; The sample for Chişinău municipality is representative for the adult population of Chişinău municipality, with a maximal error of ± 4%. • Period of data gathering: May, 6 – 24, 2011. The interviews were conducted at the respondents’ place. • The analysis of the sample structure obtained on-site revealed the concordance between the distribution of the population according to the available statistical data and those obtained, with the admissible statistical deviation. A significant difference was remarked within the structure women/men, women being over-represented, and within age groups, young people and adults aged 18-44 being under-represented • The presented results are balanced. The difference between balanced and non-balanced results does not overpass 1,9% with regard to any question.

  3. Is our country moving towards a right or a wrong direction?

  4. Is our country moving towards a right or a wrong direction?

  5. To what extent are you, in general, content with your living? 40% 40% National Chisinau 33% 35% 30% 25% 25% 25% 20% 20% 17% 20% 15% 10% 10% 4% 3% 2% 1% 5% 0% Very Rather Neither Not so Discontent DK/NA content content content, content nor discontent 5

  6. Assess the present income of your family 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 34% It is not enough at least for for the essential 18% 40% It is enough just for the essential 46% It is enough for a decent living, 19% but we cannot afford buying 27% any expensive things We succeed to buy some expensive 4% things, after cutting 7% spending in other areas National We have everything we 1% need, with no restrictions 0% Chisinau 2% DK/NA 2% 6

  7. Assess the present income of your family

  8. Which of the following statements describes the best the situation of your family? 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% We have savings which 2% we intend to invest 3% 1% We have savings, but we do National not know where to invest them 1% Chisinau 2% We have savings, but we fear to invest them 5% 13% We have savings, but we keep them for bad days 16% 69% We do not have financial resources to be invested 65% 4% We do not have savings, because we have - already invested them 3% 9% DK/NA 7% 8

  9. How often do you. …? (NATIONAL SAMPLE) Daily (6 - 7 days a week) Several times a week Several times a month Once a month or more seldom Never, over the past 3 months DK/NA 28% 9% 3% 2% 47% 11% Use Internet 9% 10% 12% 12% 51% 6% Read books 3% 85% 9% 1% 1% Watch TV 1% 48% 19% 9% 4% 17% 3% Listen to the radio 9% 22% 19% 11% 34% 5% Read newspapers 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% 9

  10. How often do you …? (SAMPLE OF CHIŞINĂU) Daily (6 - 7 days a week) Several times a week Several times a month Once a month or more seldom Never, over the past 3 months DK/NA 4% 2% 54% 9% 3% 28% Use Internet 2% 15% 17% 15% 15% 36% Read books 1% 1% 0% 85% 9% 4% Watch TV 2% 43% 18% 9% 5% 23% Listen to the radio 1% 14% 22% 19% 11% 33% Read newspapers 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% 10

  11. Which is the most important source of information for you?(NATIONAL SAMPLE) First Second 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% Television 71% 16% 2% Newspapers 14% Radio 8% 26% Family 4% 7% Friends, neighbours 2% 12% 0% Job mates 2% Rumours 0% 2% Public opinion polls 0% 0% 0% Local government 1% Internet 12% 15% I am not informed at all 1% DK/NA 0% 11

  12. Which is the most important source of information for you?(SAMPLE OF CHIŞINĂU) First Second 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% Television 65% 18% Newspapers 12% 3% Radio 5% 20% Family 3% 7% 10% Friends, neighbours 1% 4% 0% Job mates Rumours 0% 1% Public opinion polls 0% Local government 1% Internet 23% 24% I am not informed at all DK/NA 0% 12

  13. Which source of information do you trust in the most? 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 58% Television 52% 3% Newspapers 3% 8% Radio 4% 5% Family National 5% 3% Friends, neighbours Chisinau 2% 0% Job mates 1% 0% Rumours 0% 0% Public opinion polls 1% 0% Local government 1% 13% Internet 24% 5% None 4% 0% I am not informed at all 3% DK 2% 2% NA 1% 13

  14. Which TV channels do you get informed from the oftenest?(NATIONAL SAMPLE) First Second 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 2 Plus 1% 1% Eu TV 1% 1% Jurnal TV 6% 5% 29% Moldova 1 17% 1% 1% N4 11% NIT 10% 26% Prime TV 23% PRO TV 12% 12% Publika TV 3% 5% STS (CTC) 1% 2% 2% 5% TV7 (NTV) 2% Other TV channel 1% DK/NA 9% * Basis: 998 respondents for whom television is one of the most important sources of information * Basis: 998 respondents for whom television is one of the most important sources of information 14

  15. Which TV channels do you get informed from the oftenest?(SAMPLE OF CHIŞINĂU) First Second 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 2 Plus 1% 1% Eu TV 1% 1% Jurnal TV 9% 12% Moldova 1 13% 13% 4% N4 4% 17% NIT 10% Prime TV 12% 17% PRO TV 27% 16% Publika TV 5% 8% STS (CTC) 1% 2% TV7 (NTV) 2% 6% 2% 1% Other TV channel 7% DK/NA * Basis: 549 respondents for whom television is one of the most important sources of information 15

  16. How often do you travel to EU countries? 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 1% Monthly or oftener 1% National 1% Once in 2 - 3 months Chisinau 2% 3% Once in half a year 4% 3% Once a year 7% 9% More seldom than once a year 14% 83% Never 72% 16

  17. Would you travel oftener to the EU, if there was no visa requirement? 50% National Chisinau 50% 45% 40% 34% 35% 26% 25% 30% 24% 25% 20% 15% 14% 12% 15% 10% 5% 0% Yes, for sure Yes, probably No, probably No, for sure 17

  18. Which would be the goal of your travel to EU countries?Multiple response 84% 90% National Chisinau 80% 68% 64% 70% 57% 60% 50% 42% 50% 33% 40% 23% 30% 20% 3% 2% 10% 0% Tourism/leisure Business Visit to Labour Other travel relatives 18

  19. Which is the probability for you to go to work to the EU in the coming 12 months? 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 56% Improbable 53% 20% Little probable 21% 10% Neither probable, nor improbable 10% 9% Rather probable 11% 3% Very probable 4% National 2% Chisinau DK/NA 1% 19

  20. Which is the probability for you to go TO WORK to the EU in the coming 12 months, if there was no visa requirement for travelling to the EU? 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 44% Improbable 42% 18% Little probable 18% 9% Neither probable, nor improbable 9% 18% Rather probable 18% 9% Very probable 11% National 2% DK/NA Chisinau 2% 20

  21. If a referendum on the accession of the Republic of Moldova to the European Union is held next Sunday, would you vote for or against it? - 20% - 10% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 64% 66% - 15% - 12% 3% 3% 16% 17% National 2% Chisinau 2% I would vote for I would vote against it I would not vote I have not decided yet NA 21

  22. If a referendum on the accession of the Republic of Moldova to NATO is held next Sunday, would you vote for or against it? - 60% - 50% - 40% - 30% - 20% - 10% 0% 10% 20% 30% 17% 25% - 45% - 48% 5% 6% 26% 16% National 7% Chisinau 5% I would vote for I would vote against it I would not take part in it I have not decided yet NA 22

  23. To what extent are you concerned about politics? 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 12% Very much 17% 22% Much 22% 28% Neither much, nor little 33% 25% Little 17% 12% No concern 10% National 1% DK/NA Chisinau 1% 23

  24. What is your attitude towards the involvement of business people in politics? 46% 50% National Chisinau 40% 45% 40% 35% 25% 24% 30% 22% 22% 25% 20% 13% 15% 8% 10% 5% 0% Positive Negative Neutral /Indifferent DK/NA 24

  25. As a result of the involvement of business people in politics, the corruption …? 60% 52% National Chisinau 43% 50% 40% 29% 27% 30% 20% 16% 20% 8% 5% 10% 0% Will decrease Will not change Will increase DK/NA 25

  26. To what extent do you trust in …?(NATIONAL SAMPLE) - 90% - 70% - 50% - 30% - 10% 10% 30% 50% 70% 90% 4% Government - 41% - 33% 19% - 42% Parliament - 34% 17% 2% President - 29% 3% - 39% 17% 2% Courts - 36% - 32% 22% 11% - 19% Army - 22% 39% 48% Church - 6% - 9% 34% Local government - 21% - 29% 37% 10% - 42% - 35% 16% Political parties 1% Banks - 28% - 28% 28% 5% - 33% - 28% 29% Police 5% 12% Media - 12% - 21% 51% 23% - 23% - 21% NGO-s 3% Trade unions - 30% - 22% 16% 2% No trust / Not so much trust / Some trust / Very much trust Difference up to 100% represents DK/NA responses 26

  27. To what extent do you trust in …?(SAMPLE OF CHIŞINĂU) - 90% - 70% - 50% - 30% - 10% 10% 30% 50% 70% - 42% Government - 33% 20% 3% - 44% Parliament - 35% 16% 2% - 44% - 30% President 3% 13% 1% Courts - 42% - 33% 18% 8% Army - 24% - 26% 33% 40% Church - 11% - 12% 34% 10% Local government - 27% - 29% 31% Political parties 1% - 45% - 37% 14% 6% - 33% - 28% 27% Banks Police - 43% - 30% 21% 4% 12% Media - 14% - 26% 47% 4% NGO-s 22% - 30% - 27% 3% Trade unions - 36% - 26% 16% No trust / Not so much trust / Some trust / Very much trust Difference up to 100% represents DK/NA responses 27

  28. To what extent do you trust in …?(Some trust +Very much trust)

  29. Which is the political personality in the Republic of Moldova you trust in the most?(open-ended question) 29

  30. To what extent do you trust in the following political personalities?(NATIONAL SAMPLE) I have not heard about No trust Not so much trust Some trust / Very much trust Difference up to 100% represents NA 30

  31. To what extent do you trust in the following political personalities?(SAMPLE OF CHIŞINĂU) I have not heard about No trust Not so much trust Some trust/Very much trust Difference up to 100% represents NA responses 31

  32. To what extent do you trust in the following political personalities?(Some trust+Very much trust)

  33. Would you go to voting, if legislative election is held in the Republic of Moldova next Sunday? - 10% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 45% 59% 25% 20% 16% 12% - 5% - 4% - 5% - 3% 4% National 2% Chisinau 0% I would go, I am absolutely sure I would go, for sure I would probably go I would probably not go I would not go, for sure DK NA 33

  34. What party would you vote for, if legislative election is held in the Republic of Moldova next Sunday? 0% 10% 20% 30% 11% Democratic Party 7% 13% Liberal Party 23% 1% People’s Christian-Democratic Party 1% 27% Party of Communists 26% 19% Liberal-Democratic Party 20% 0% Social-Democratic Party 1% 0% Other party 1% National 0% An independent candidate Chisinau 5% I would not vote 3% 19% DK 12% 5% NA 6% Percentage of the total sample 34

  35. Local elections will be held on the 5th of June 2011. Will you go to voting? - 10% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 53% 66% 25% 16% 13% 9% - 3% - 4% - 4% - 3% National 2% 2% Chisinau I would go, I am absolutely sure I would go, for sure I would probably go I would probably not go I would not go, for sure DK/NA 35

  36. Whose political party’s candidates to the function of district councillor will you vote for? 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% Democratic Party 12% Liberal Party 9% People’s Christian-Democratic 0% Party Party of Communists 20% Liberal-Democratic Party 18% Social-Democratic Party 1% Other party 1% An independent candidate 0% I would not vote 4% DK 28% NA 7% Percentage of the total sample * Basis, national sample: 830 respondents outside Chişinău and Bălţi municipalities 36

  37. Which party/partiesyou would not vote for in any case at local elections of 5th of June 2011?Multiple response 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 10% DemocraticParty 15% 24% Liberal Party 23% 15% People’s Christian-Democratic Party 11% 34% Party of Communists 43% 14% Liberal-DemocraticParty 17% 9% Social-Democratic Party 5% 1% Other party 1% 17% DK National 11% 18% NA Chisinau 12% 37

  38. Whom will you vote for the function of General Mayor of the capital? 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% 45% Sergiu Corobceanu (Social-Democratic - Party) Victor Bodiu (Liberal-Democratic Party) 2% Radu Busila (People’s Christian-Democratic 0% Party) Valentin Krylov (Party of Socialists) 0% Oleg Oniscenko (“Casa Noastra - 0% Moldova”) Igor Dodon (Party of Communists) 26% Valeriu Klimenko (“Ravnopravie” Social-political - 0% Movement) Vitalia Pavlicenco (National-Liberal Party) Maia Laguta ( “Patriotii Moldovei” 1% Party) Valentina Buliga (Democratic Party) 4% Valeriu Plesca ( “Forta a treia” Electoral block) Mihai Manoli (People’s Democratic Party) Dorin Chirtoaca (Liberal Party) 39% Other candidate 0% I will not vote 3% I will not vote in Chisinau, because I do not have a 1% legal residence DK 12% NA 12% Percentage of the total sample 38

  39. Impact of participation in voting on the score: example