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Reconstruction of State and Area Industry Series Under NAICS

2. Current Employment Statistics (CES). The Bureau of Labor Statistics Current Employment Statistics (CES) Program, also known as the payroll survey,' is a monthly sample survey with approximately 400,000 reports for businesses nationwide.CES publishes estimates of employment, hours, and earnings

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Reconstruction of State and Area Industry Series Under NAICS

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    1. 1 Reconstruction of State and Area Industry Series Under NAICS Molly E. Garber U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics

    2. 2 Current Employment Statistics (CES) The Bureau of Labor Statistics Current Employment Statistics (CES) Program, also known as the ‘payroll survey,’ is a monthly sample survey with approximately 400,000 reports for businesses nationwide. CES publishes estimates of employment, hours, and earnings for the nation, states, and 274 metropolitan statistical areas (MSAs) each month. CES series also are input to other key economic indicators: National Income and Product Accounts - Personal Income Indexes of Industrial Production Productivity Measures Index of Leading Economic Indicators Index of Coincident Economic Indicators Local Area Unemployment Statistics

    3. 3 Current Employment Statistics (CES) The CES operates as a Federal/State cooperative program. BLS produces national level estimates, while individual states produce state and metropolitan area series. Some aspects of program methodology and procedures vary between National and State estimates, owing to differing sample sizes, timing of publication, and the federal/state nature of the program.

    4. 4 What is NAICS? North American Industry Classification System Established in 1997 Concept: Group establishments by production processes Developed in cooperation with our NAFTA partners, Canada and Mexico Economic Classification Policy Committee (Census, BLS, BEA) represents U.S.

    5. 5 NAICS Breaks Data Time Series 544 SIC industries are either discontinued or unidentifiable within NAICS Only 38 SIC industries have an identical NAICS counterpart 320 new industries created under NAICS Many of our data users rely on historical trends for use in economic models, contracts, and policy making, so we had to find a way to address their needs.Many of our data users rely on historical trends for use in economic models, contracts, and policy making, so we had to find a way to address their needs.

    6. 6 CES NAICS Publication Structure The CES Policy Council guaranteed a minimum amount of industry detail that every state and MSA would be able to publish. Beyond this minimum, additional industry detail can be published if: The sample for that industry contains at least 30 UI accounts OR The universe contains at least 3000 jobs, and the sample covers at least 50 percent of them.

    7. 7 CES NAICS Publication Structure It is not necessary for employment to be additive at all levels of industry detail. Guaranteed levels add to Goods Producing, Service Providing, Total Private, and Total Nonfarm. Detail below the guaranteed levels is additive only where all industries below the higher level have passed the publication criteria. If some of the detailed industries fail, the passing industries are estimated independently of the higher level.

    8. 8 NAICS Publication Structure If any of the guaranteed industries failed the publication criteria in a state or area, then the estimates were based on a model, rather than sample. Regression model based on: Estimate from available sample Projected universe trend Statewide estimate trend (for MSAs)

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