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Defense Wins Championships

This analysis dives deep into the statistics of NFL offenses over the past 20 years, comparing them to the defensive averages of Super Bowl champions. Highlighting crucial metrics such as points and yards gained, the data reveals that Super Bowl-winning defenses have historically held opponents to an average of just 17.7 points. We'll explore the implications of these findings, understand the role of defense in winning championships, and discuss rankings for offensive and defensive teams in the context of championship success.

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Defense Wins Championships

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  1. Defense Wins Championships Luke Ivey, Daniel Levine, Riley McCracken

  2. 5 Year NFL Offense Stats vs. Super Bowl Champion Defensive Averages Year Avg. Avg. Avg. Avg. Pts Yards Air Ground 2007 21.7 325.2 214.3 110.9 2005 20.6 315.9 203.5 112.5 2003 20.8 318.3 200.4 117.9 2001 20.2 317.6 205.8 111.8 1999 20.8 318.8 212.3 106.5 Super Bowl Defense 17.7 291.99 192.41 99.58

  3. Difference Between Means Variable N N* Mean SE Mean StDev Minimum Q1 Median NFL Avg. Pts. Scored 5 0 20.820 0.246 0.550 20.200 20.400 20.800 Variable Q3 Maximum NFL Avg. Pts. Scored 21.250 21.700 …Remember, the Super Bowl Champion holds their opponent to an average of 17.7 points. If you were to use the standard deviation from the data above, you find that this number is almost six standard deviations below the regular season mean.

  4. Box Plots

  5. Defensive Team Rankings YR Team PA YA PYA RYA AVG Rank RankRankRankRank 7 NYG 5 5 8 9 6.75 6 IND 7 11 6 24 12.00 5 NE 8 10 11 15 11.00 4 PIT 1 1 1 2 1.25 3 NE 8 10 11 15 11.00 2 TB 10 9 4 19 10.50 1 NE 8 10 11 15 11.00 0 BLT 3 2 2 3 2.50 99 STL 4 6 20 1 7.75

  6. Comparing Overall Rankings Offense

  7. …vs Defense

  8. Predicting ‘09 Pittsburgh Steelers Arizona Cardinals PA: 26.6 (28th) YA: 331.5 (19th) PYA: 221.2 (22nd) RYA: 110.2 (16th) • Points Allowed: 13.9 (1st) • Yards Allowed: 237.2 (1st) • Pass Yards Alwd: 156.9 (1st) • Rush Yards Alwd: 80.2 (2nd)

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