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The Last Word: Assignment 7, 8 due Tuesday

Consider : Why do we have the Electoral College?. The Last Word: Assignment 7, 8 due Tuesday. AP Government and Politics Unit 3. Running from Office?: Congressional versus Presidential Election Campaigns. Elements of Presidential Campaigns. Money – over $3 billion spent in 2012

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The Last Word: Assignment 7, 8 due Tuesday

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  1. Consider: Why do we have the Electoral College? The Last Word: Assignment 7, 8 due Tuesday
  2. AP Government and Politics Unit 3

    Running from Office?: Congressional versus Presidential Election Campaigns

  3. Elements of Presidential Campaigns Money – over $3 billion spent in 2012 Much spent on advertising What is the overall impact of TV political ads (spots) on voters? Organization – staff to run campaign Theme and Strategy Tone – positive or negative Theme Trust, competence, stay the course, change, compassionate conservatism Timing – early primaries, Go for broke or hold back reserves Targets – which voters? Only some change votes from one election to next. Issues Position (two sides) vs. Valence (one side, who’s better) Valence becoming more important Televised Debates Why would incumbent NOT want to debate a challenger?
  4. Primaries and Caucuses 12.2 Methods to select delegates Winner-take-all primary Proportional representation primary Caucus Selecting a system Frontloading Why might some states want to move the date of their primary forward?
  5. Republican Primaries/ Caucuses for the 2012 election January 3rd, 2012 – Iowa caucuses January 10th– New Hampshire primary January 21st– South Carolina primary January 31st – Florida primary February 4th – Nevada caucuses March 6th(SUPER TUESDAY)- primaries in… Alaska, Georgia, Idaho, Massachusetts, North Dakota, Ohio, Oklahoma, Tennessee, Vermont, Virginia **April 24th– Pennsylvania primary June 5th – California, Montana, New Jersey, New Mexico, South Dakota June 26th– Utah Why might some states want to move the date of their primary forward?
  6. When do states choose their nominee for president?
  7. Super Tuesday Name for the day in a presidential campaign when many states hold their primaries. In the 2012 campaign, Super Tuesday fell on March 6th (usually in Feb) Manystates had both their 2012 Democratic and Republican primaries on that day…. Alaska, Georgia, Idaho, Massachusetts, North Dakota, Ohio, Oklahoma, Tennessee, Vermont, Virginia Candidates can take a huge lead, become a front-runner, or drop out
  8. Electing a President: The Electoral College 12.2 Historical challenges Thomas Jefferson and Aaron Burr, 1800 John Quincy Adams and Andrew Jackson, 1824 George W. Bush and Al Gore, 2000
  9. The Electoral College What is it? Why is it used? Federalism Framers fear that voters would not know enough about national candidates Communication Transportation Information How are the votes/voters determined? What are the consequences, both good and bad, of using this system?
  10. How is voting power apportioned in the EC? 12.2
  11. Electing a President: The Electoral College 12.2 Should the Electoral College be reformed? Abolish in favor of popular vote Congressional district plan Proportional votes by state
  12. Consider: If we dislike DC so much, why do elected officials win re-election so much? The Last Word: Assignment 9 due tomorrow
  13. Review the Presidential Election process Which states have the “first in the nation” caucus and primary? Why do many states want to move their primaries earlier in the year? What are “super-delegates”? When voters select a candidate, who are they really choosing? How many electoral votes are there in the country? How is a states EV total determined? Why do we have the Electoral College?
  14. Consider: If we dislike DC so much, why do elected officials win re-election so often? The Last Word: Assignment 8 due tomorrow
  15. Presidential and Congressional Elections Congressional races are different from Prez races in several ways Prez races are more competitive, last longer Turnout lower in midterms Changes appeal to voters MoCs can help constituents in ways president cannot MoCs can “run against DC” – how is this possible? MoCs sometimes enjoy protection/insulated from party of president Coattail effect has lessened as people vote split ticket more often This also illustrates weakening effects of party
  16. The Incumbency Advantage 12.3 Staff Support Directly or indirectly support incumbent through constituent service Visibility Easy access to local media Generous travel allowances Scare-off effect Challengers shy away from incumbent’s institutional advantage
  17. Getting back to the House…
  18. Senate re-election rates
  19. Why Incumbents Lose 12.3 Redistricting Can punish incumbents in the out-of-power party (at the state level) Scandals Sexual improprieties or other offenses– Trey Radel? Presidential Coattails Incumbent presidential election loss can trickle down Mid-Term Elections Can threaten incumbents of president’s party
  20. How does the president affect congressional elections?
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