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Climate change mitigation EU and Russia

Climate change mitigation EU and Russia. Alexander Fedorov Centre for Environmental Initiatives, St.Petersburg Alexey Kokorin WWF-Russia, Moscow. Temperature variations in the 20 th century. Russia. N. Hemisphere. World. Number of dangerous weather events in Russia 1991 - 2005.

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Climate change mitigation EU and Russia

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  1. Climate change mitigationEU and Russia Alexander Fedorov Centre for Environmental Initiatives, St.Petersburg Alexey Kokorin WWF-Russia, Moscow EU – Russia Citizens’ Forum, Lahti - St.Petersburg, 17-20.11.2006

  2. Temperature variations in the 20th century Russia N. Hemisphere World EU – Russia Citizens’ Forum, Lahti - St.Petersburg, 17-20.11.2006

  3. Number of dangerous weather events in Russia 1991 - 2005 EU – Russia Citizens’ Forum, Lahti - St.Petersburg, 17-20.11.2006

  4. Number of dangerous weather events in Russia 1991 - 2005 70% Warm period (Apr. – Oct.) 30% Cold period (Nov. – March) EU – Russia Citizens’ Forum, Lahti - St.Petersburg, 17-20.11.2006

  5. Types of dangerous weather events in Russia 1991 – 2005, % 1 – wind storms; 2 – snow storms; 3 – showers, thunderstorms, hails; 4 – frosts, heats; 5 – floods; 6 – avalanches, mudflows; 7 – draughts; 8 – fires; 9 – others. EU – Russia Citizens’ Forum, Lahti - St.Petersburg, 17-20.11.2006

  6. Russian public and stakeholders’ opinions on climate change 3 years ago now Climate change takes place 50% 90% Climate Change is negative for Russia 30% 70%Reason of current climate change is anthropogenic GHG emission 10% 30%Urgent actions are necessary 5% 10% EU – Russia Citizens’ Forum, Lahti - St.Petersburg, 17-20.11.2006

  7. GHG emissions in Russia in 1990-2004 Emissions, Mt CO2-eq. Years EU – Russia Citizens’ Forum, Lahti - St.Petersburg, 17-20.11.2006

  8. GDP power intensity in 5 regions of the world Energy consumption for production of 1 M€ GDP (toe, 2003) EU – Russia Citizens’ Forum, Lahti - St.Petersburg, 17-20.11.2006

  9. GDP and Use of Energy and Heat, % of 1990 110 100 90 80 70 60 50 40 1990 2000 2002 2004 1995 2001 2003 2005 estimate GDP Energy use The Russian GDP Power Intensity Clear difference between GDP and GHG emissions trends EU – Russia Citizens’ Forum, Lahti - St.Petersburg, 17-20.11.2006

  10. Russian MEDT post-2012 scenario(Russian Ministry of Economic Development and Trade) 2015: -22% of 1990; 2020: -17% of 1990 EU – Russia Citizens’ Forum, Lahti - St.Petersburg, 17-20.11.2006

  11. Official view of MEDTwww.economy.gov.ru ●Russia shares global responsibility for increase of GHG emissions, and aims to reach the UNFCCC goals, based on the necessity of limiting technogenic emissions and increase of absorption by GHG absorbers in accordance with its economic opportunities and principles of sustainable development. ●Presently, Russia decreases the GDP power intensity by 4 percent per year and more. ●Analysis of the EU Emissions Trading Schemes (EU ETS) shows that in the foreseeable future (2013 – 2017) Russian business will not be able to use this system in a considerable scope. EU – Russia Citizens’ Forum, Lahti - St.Petersburg, 17-20.11.2006

  12. Progress in Kyoto Protocol implementation in Russia ● Progress in GHG Inventory and RegistryProblems:● Absence of sense of urgency● Politicians, stakeholders and public (70%) are not sure that current climate change is anthropogenic● Suspending of Joint Implementation (JI) projects (30-50 projects) due to absence of progress in domestic JI Regulation EU – Russia Citizens’ Forum, Lahti - St.Petersburg, 17-20.11.2006

  13. Consequences of climate change in the Baltic Sea Region ● Neva River run-off increasing: 10% by 2015 => decreasing salinity in the Baltic Sea ● Ice weakening => damage to grey seals (Halichoerus grypus) and ringed seals (Phoca hispida botnica) ● Number of dangerous weather events growing: ~ 7% per year (almost twice by 2015)● Winds pressure on power transmission line increasing: ~ 20% in 10 years ● Ground waters rising => damage to buildings & agriculture EU – Russia Citizens’ Forum, Lahti - St.Petersburg, 17-20.11.2006

  14. EU: ● Work also with other actors in Russia, including NGOs, additionally to governmental institutions, to find partners for JIPs in Russia, to considerably broaden the choice Russia: ● Put down barriers to JIPs, incl.: - simplifyJIPs registration to ‘one window’ procedures - low down the threshold limit for a project - etc. Proposal 1 Foster Joint Implementation projects EU – Russia Citizens’ Forum, Lahti - St.Petersburg, 17-20.11.2006

  15. EU: ● Share/transfer experience ● Co-operate with NGOs Russia: ● Adopt relevant laws ● Adopt relevant state programmes ● Co-operate with NGOs Proposal 2 Foster Energy Efficiency and Renewables EU – Russia Citizens’ Forum, Lahti - St.Petersburg, 17-20.11.2006

  16. Climate change mitigationEU and Russia Thank you for your attention! Alexander Fedorov Centre for Environmental Initiatives, St.Petersburg ceispb@gmail.com Alexey Kokorin WWF-Russia, Moscow AKokorin@wwf.ru EU – Russia Citizens’ Forum, Lahti - St.Petersburg, 17-20.11.2006

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